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Archive for January, 2004

DRONE ARMY? NOT

Friday, January 30th, 2004

Note to wide-​​eyed futur­ists: The Matrix and Terminator 3 are not — repeat not — doc­u­men­taries. There are no all-​​robot armies in the works. Please go back to your desks.

MORE MONEY FOR LAME BIOSENSORS

Friday, January 30th, 2004

The Bush admin­is­tra­tion wants another $119 mil­lion for its BioWatch pro­gram, which puts air fil­ters in 31 major cities, to sniff for toxic ter­ror attacks.
Too bad the system’s close to use­less, experts say.
First off, BioWatch pro­tects against the most unlikely of ter­ror threats: a crop duster, releas­ing a gigan­tic toxic cloud over an urban area. Maybe James Bond’s bad guys would come up with such a scheme. But Osama & Co. haven’t shown any­where near the tech­ni­cal sophis­ti­ca­tion to brew up and main­tain that much poi­son. And even if they did, a cold wind or a hard rain neu­tral­izes most bio­threats.
Plus, why fly a biplane over Times Square when you can send anthrax through the mail, or release it in a skyscraper’s vents?
Even if a grandiose attack should come, BioWatch wouldn’t pro­vide any warn­ing. The BioWatch fil­ters are checked every 24 hours. Then, sam­ples have to be run over to a Centers for Disease Control-​​approved lab. And then it takes another 12 hours to run tests. So if a pathogen is released, BioWatch won’t know about it until a day-​​and-​​a-​​half later.
“You’re get­ting very lit­tle spe­cific data. And it’s unclear what you could do with that infor­ma­tion that’s use­ful in the mid­dle of an emer­gency,” Peter LeJenue, a biode­fense spe­cial­ist with Potomac Institute for Policy Studies said.
What’s more, LeJeune added, hun­dreds of these fil­ters would be needed, to com­pletely track the air in a sin­gle city. And the cur­rent pro­gram isn’t any­where near that exten­sive.
THERE’S MORE: Our friends at DARPA are look­ing for research pro­pos­als to neu­tral­ize toxic clouds before they can reach troops on the bat­tle­field.
AND MORE: Speaking of hare-​​brained schemes, the Pentagon is ask­ing for a 13 per­cent increase in its mis­sile defense pro­grams next year, to $10.2 billion.

ENERGY “COMMANDOS” TEST NUKE SEC’Y

Thursday, January 29th, 2004

Back in the day, secu­rity at the country’s nuclear labs were tested by Navy SEALs and Army Rangers. Not any more.
Today, the Energy Department has its own 40-​​person team, trained to “think like ter­ror­ists,” that con­duct mock attacks on nuclear facil­i­ties. National Defense mag­a­zine claims that these guys are the “cream-​​of-​​the-​​crop of DOEs secu­rity guards.“
Glenn Podonsky, direc­tor of the DOE office of inde­pen­dent over­sight per­for­mance assur­ance, crows, “Were as good as, if not bet­ter than, any mil­i­tary orga­ni­za­tion we have today.“
Maybe. But given the Energy Department’s lame record of defend­ing its bases, a team of grand­moth­ers with their hips recently replaced could prob­a­bly make off with a pile of uranium.

U.S. PLANS PAK OFFENSIVE

Thursday, January 29th, 2004

“The Bush admin­is­tra­tion,” reports the Chicago Tribune, “is prepar­ing a U.S. mil­i­tary offen­sive that would reach inside Pakistan with the goal of destroy­ing Osama bin Laden’s Al Qaeda net­work.“

U.S. Central Command is assem­bling a team of mil­i­tary intel­li­gence offi­cers that would be posted in Pakistan ahead of the oper­a­tion, accord­ing to sources famil­iar with details of the plan and inter­nal mil­i­tary com­mu­ni­ca­tions. The sources spoke on the con­di­tion they not be iden­ti­fied.
As now envi­sioned, the offen­sive would involve Special Operations forces, Army Rangers and Army ground troops, sources said. A Navy air­craft car­rier would be deployed in the Arabian Sea.
Referred to in inter­nal Pentagon mes­sages as the “spring offen­sive,” the oper­a­tion would be dri­ven by cer­tain undis­closed events in Pakistan and across the region, sources said. A source famil­iar with details of the plan said this is “not like a con­tin­gency plan for North Korea, some­thing that sits on a shelf. This plan­ning is like plan­ning for Iraq. They want this plan to be exe­cutable, now.”

THERMOBARIC TERRORISTS?

Wednesday, January 28th, 2004

The ther­mo­baric bomb is just about the most vicious weapon you can imag­ine — ignit­ing the air, suck­ing the oxy­gen out of an enclosed area, and cre­at­ing a mas­sive pres­sure wave crush­ing any­thing unfor­tu­nate enough to have lived through the con­fla­gra­tion.
So pray — pray hard — that this Defense News story is all wrong:

Thermobaric bombs, which the U.S. mil­i­tary is striv­ing to per­fect, may also be emerg­ing as a weapon of choice for ter­ror­ists, accord­ing to a bomb expert at Battelle, a research insti­tute…
There have been no attacks with ther­mo­baric bombs in the United States, but their use is sus­pected in many ter­ror­ist bomb­ings in Russia and other coun­tries and proven in a few cases, said Tom Burky, Battelles top explo­sives expert.
Thermobarics use an explo­sion to ignite fuel, often metal­lic fuel such as alu­minum. The burn­ing fuel cre­ates a slower and more sus­tained shock wave than a con­ven­tional explo­sion, which makes it bet­ter at break­ing down walls and destroy­ing peo­ple and equip­ment, Burky said.
Thermobaric explo­sives have been used… for decades by non-​​NATO mil­i­taries. In the 1960s, the for­mer Soviet Union devel­oped a vari­ety of ther­mo­baric weapons, includ­ing shoulder-​​fired weapons and artillery shells.
The U.S. mil­i­tary didnt get inter­ested in them until the 1990s. The U.S. Air Force devel­oped a big ther­mo­baric bomb to drop into caves in Afghanistan, and the Army is work­ing on a ther­mo­baric 25mm round
Much of the infor­ma­tion about ther­mo­baric weapons has been clas­si­fied. Thats a prob­lem for home­land secu­rity first respon­ders such as police and fire­fight­ers, Burky said. They are not being pro­vided with impor­tant infor­ma­tion about ther­mo­baric weapons, such as safe stand­off dis­tances, how the much more pow­er­ful blast of a ther­mo­baric weapon would be deflected and chan­neled by build­ings and how to ren­der ther­mo­baric weapons safe, he said.

FLOWER POWER FOR MINE DETECTION

Wednesday, January 28th, 2004

“A Danish biotech com­pany has devel­oped a genet­i­cally mod­i­fied flower that could help detect land mines,” Reuters reports.

The genet­i­cally mod­i­fied weed has been coded to change color when its roots come in con­tact with nitrogen-​​dioxide (NO2) evap­o­rat­ing from explo­sives buried in soil. Within three to six weeks from being sowed over land mine infested areas the small plant, a Thale Cress, will turn a warn­ing red when­ever close to a land mine.

Aresa Biodetection, the Danish firm devel­op­ing the plant, says field tests could begin as early as this year.
(via /​.)

GUARDS CHEATED NUKE SECURITY DRILLS

Tuesday, January 27th, 2004

Security guards at the country’s lead­ing nuclear store­house have been cheat­ing dur­ing antiter­ror­ism drills — per­haps for as long as 20 years, accord­ing to a report released Monday by the Energy Department’s inspec­tor gen­eral.
And now, watch­dogs in Congress and beyond are ques­tion­ing whether the tons of enriched ura­nium at the Y-​​12 National Security Complex in Oak Ridge, Tennessee, are really safe at all.
“First off, heads should roll,” said Rep. Christopher Shays (R-​​CT), who chairs the House Committee on Government Reform’s National Security, Emerging Threats and International Relations Subcommittee. “I can assure you, my com­mit­tee will be fol­low­ing up in a very direct way.“
Y-​​12 is America’s main facil­ity for pro­cess­ing enriched ura­nium. It stores nearly all of the country’s reserve of about 5,000 “sec­on­daries,” the ther­monu­clear hearts of hydro­gen bombs.
When a team of Y-​​12 rent-​​a-​​cops racked up a per­fect score dur­ing an antiter­ror drill June 26, offi­cials there were shocked. How could the guards have per­formed so well, they won­dered, when a com­puter model had pre­dicted that the defend­ers would lose at least half of their con­fronta­tions?
The answer was sim­ple: The guards cheated. They had seen the com­puter mod­els of the strikes the day before they were launched, ren­der­ing the test “tainted and unre­li­able,” accord­ing to the report. And this wasn’t the first time it had hap­pened.
“From the mid-​​1980s to the present,” con­tract secu­rity guards had been given the plans to the attacks before­hand, noted Inspector General Gregory Friedman. The defend­ers knew ahead of time “the spe­cific build­ing and wall to be attacked by the test adver­sary,” and they knew “whether or not a diver­sion­ary tac­tic would be employed…“
If that wasn’t a big enough advan­tage, “man­age­ment would iden­tify the best pre­pared pro­tec­tive force per­son­nel and then sub­sti­tute them for lesser pre­pared per­son­nel,” accord­ing to the report. “Based on spe­cific attack infor­ma­tion, trucks or other obsta­cles would be staged at advan­ta­geous points to be used as bar­ri­cades and con­ceal­ment.“
The guards got slaugh­tered the few times they didn’t cheat, said Ronald Timm, who spent six years as an inde­pen­dent secu­rity ana­lyst at Y-​​12.
During one test, sim­u­lated ter­ror­ists took a mock, 44-​​pound ura­nium pack­age, and “got out­side of the fences in 38 sec­onds,” he said. “People were shocked out of their minds.“
My Wired News arti­cle has details.
THERE’S MORE: When are the Democratic pres­i­den­tial can­di­dates going to go after the Bush admin­is­tra­tion on nuclear secu­rity? That’s what a for­mer senior Energy Department offi­cial wants to know. Recall all the [Republicans] on Capitol Hill beat­ing up Clinton and [then-​​Energy Secretary] Hazel [O’Leary] for their fail­ures,” the offi­cial e-​​mails Defense Tech. “What has changed?“
AND MORE: Rep. Shays notes that nuclear secu­rity test­ing has got­ten much harder since 9/​11. “The basic assump­tion used to be, ter­ror­ists had to get in and get out [of a place like Y-​​12]. And get­ting out was so dif­fi­cult,” he tells Defense Tech. “That’s changed since September the 11th. Now, we’ve got to assume that all they want to do is get in. And that’s much more dif­fi­cult to stop.“
AND MORE: At the Pantex nuclear facil­ity, “work­ers dis­man­tling an aging nuclear weapon secured bro­ken pieces of high explo­sive by tap­ing them together,” accord­ing to the AP.
Homer Simpson has appar­ently relin­quished his post at Springfield nuclear plant,” declares the Register.
AND MORE: “Nice story, but ‘heads should roll’ — don’t make me laugh,” says one insider. “If Shays wants to get at the prob­lem, he ought to go down the hall and talk to the labs’ pro­tec­tors over on the Senate side.“
AND MORE: What’s left of Libya’s still­born nuclear pro­gram has just been shipped to Y-​​12. Oy.

SPACESHIP DESIGNS ONLINE

Monday, January 26th, 2004

boeing_interplanetary_CEV.JPGThe big aero­space com­pa­nies are start­ing to manuever for Bush’s Moon-​​and-​​Mars lucre. Here’s a Boeing sketch for the “inter­plan­e­tary Crew Exploration Vehicle” — “assem­bled at the Lunar Space Station” and “capa­ble of trav­el­ing to Mars or beyond.“
More graph­ics are here.
(via NASAWatch)

ZEPPELINS RETURN

Monday, January 26th, 2004

ascender.jpgBlimps are back — at least a lit­tle.
Later this month, the Air Force is due to test out in Texas a V-​​shaped, 175 foot-​​long, helium filled air­ship. The goal, accord­ing to Aviation Week: to put together a “near-​​space maneu­ver­ing vehi­cle,” oper­at­ing more than 100,000 feet up, that can relay mes­sages and spy on ene­mies.
It’s one for the first times since the 60’s that Americans has aggres­sive tried to exploited that region of the skies, Col. Kent Traylor, vice com­man­der of the U.S. Air Force’s Space Warfare Center, tells the mag­a­zine.
But it’s not the only lighter-​​than-​​air craft being designed by the U.S. mil­i­tary. By the end of the year, the Missile Defense Agency is sup­posed to pick a con­trac­tor for its High Altitude Airship — a solar-​​powered zep­pelin that’ll track mis­siles from 65,000 feet.
THERE’S MORE: Mirrored, laser-​​firing blimp, any­one? The Pentagon “might com­bine two of its mis­sile defense efforts the Aerospace Relay Mirror System and the High Altitude Airship to increase the range of mil­i­tary laser sys­tems,” accord­ing to a Jane’s story from over the sum­mer (via Global Security Newswire).

The Missile Defense Agency is sched­uled to begin flight tests of the air­ship in 2006, and offi­cials want to con­duct exper­i­ments that com­bine both sys­tems around that time. The air­ship is pri­mar­ily being devel­oped to track mis­siles, but it could be teamed with the mir­ror relay sys­tem to allow ground-​​based lasers to track tar­gets that are out of direct view, accord­ing to Janes. The mir­ror sys­tem would be attached to the air­ship with cables and would sit 50 meters below the aircraft.

AND MORE: Popular Science has details on the High Altitude Airship. Did we men­tion it’s 25 times the size of the Goodyear blimp?

WHAT ABOUT DICK? CIA GETS SOLE BLAME FOR WMD LAPSE

Monday, January 26th, 2004

It’s the CIA’s fault. That’s the long-​​and-​​short of for­mer chief weapons inspec­tor David Kay’s inter­view in the New York Times today. He says the intel­li­gence agency failed to pick up signs of Iraq’s inter­nal chaos, which blocked progress towards nuclear, bio­log­i­cal, and chem­i­cal arms.
Now, it’s true that American intel­li­gence had been say­ing for years that Iraq had WMD stock­piles. But isn’t it just a bit overly-​​simple to blame the CIA?
After all, there have been many, many reports that our pal Dick Cheney and his cronies pres­sured CIA spooks into pump­ing up the WMD threat. Shouldn’t they get skew­ered, too?
THERE’S MORE: Reader MS points out that in his inter­view with the Times, Kay makes sure to say, “I never got any pres­sure to find a cer­tain out­come.” Sure he didn’t.
Slate’s Fred Kaplan has more on Kay’s “Art of Camouflage.”