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Home » Drones » Unmanned Future Plotted

Unmanned Future Plotted

The Defense Department’s “Unmanned Systems Roadmap 2005–2030″ is a pretty cold-​​eyed doc­u­ment, detail­ing in no uncer­tain terms what the pilot­less planes of the world can and can­not do. But there is a part of the Roadmap where the Pentagon’s plan­ners let their imag­i­na­tion run wild, where they con­sider the fly­ing robotic equiv­a­lent to con­cept cars. Here are a few mod­els
dp5x.jpgDP-​​5X
length: 11 ft. weight: 475 lbs. endurance: 5.5 hrs. 0 delivered/​TBD planned
The DP-​​5X is planned to be a VTOL [ver­ti­cal take off and land­ing] UA [unmanned air­craft]. The pro­gram has suc­cess­fully com­pleted devel­op­ment and test mile­stones and is plan­ning to enter ini­tial flight demon­stra­tions. The vehi­cle is mod­u­lar and will facil­i­tate recon­fig­u­ra­tions to include or remove sub­sys­tem com­po­nents. The mod­u­lar design allows the air­craft to be sep­a­rated into dis­tinct mod­ules that are man-​​transportable. The DP-​​5X has an ample pay­load capac­ity and is designed to fit into a com­mon HMMWV sys­tem. The unique con­struc­tion allows it to be rapidly launched by two oper­a­tors. The vehi­cle can serve as a tac­ti­cal Reconnaissance, Surveillance, and Target Acquisition (RSTA) and Communication Relay plat­form to the Army small unit com­man­ders at the Battalion and below level.
Long Gun
length: 12 ft. weight: 720 lbs. endurance: 30+ hrs. 0 delivered/​TBD planned
The DARPA Long Gun pro­gram will eval­u­ate and develop a re-​​useable, long endurance, low cost, joint, unmanned/​armed mis­sile sys­tem com­bined with a tri-​​mode long wave infrared/​near infrared/​visible (LWIR/​NIR/​VIS) sen­sor with laser spot tar­get­ing. Ducted fan propul­sion will pro­vide effi­cient thrust for long endurance. The mis­sile will be launched from a can­is­ter car­ried on a sea or ground vehi­cle, will fly to a spec­i­fied tar­get area, and use a tri-​​mode sen­sor oper­at­ing at vis­i­ble, long, and near-​​infrared wave­lengths to search for tar­gets. If a qual­i­fied tar­get is found, the mis­sile will attack the tar­get with a self-​​contained muni­tion. If no tar­gets are found, the mis­sile could be com­manded to return to base. The mis­sile will include a data link back to a human controller/​ oper­a­tor to con­firm tar­get char­ac­ter­is­tics, approve engage­ment, and per­form bat­tle dam­age assess­ment.
A-​​160 Hummingbird
length: 35 ft. weight: 4300 lbs. endurance: 18 hrs. 4 delivered/​10 planned
The A160 Hummingbird is designed to demon­strate the capa­bil­ity for marked improve­ments in per­for­mance (range, endurance, and con­trol­la­bil­ity), as com­pared to con­ven­tional heli­copters, through the use of a rigid rotor with vari­able RPM, light­weight rotor and fuse­lage struc­tures, a high effi­ciency inter­nal com­bus­tion engine, large fuel frac­tion, and an advanced semi-​​autonomous flight control/​flight man­age­ment sys­tem. The patented Optimum Speed Rotor (OSR) sys­tem allows the rotor to oper­ate over a wide band of RPM and enables the A160 rotor blades to oper­ate at the best lift/​drag ratio over the full spec­trum of flight con­di­tions. First flight occurred in January 2002. In flight test­ing, using a 4-​​cylinder rac­ing car engine, the A160 has achieved 135 knots speed, 7.3 hour endurance on an 18% fuel load, 7,000 ft alti­tude, and wide vari­a­tion in rotor RPM. Autonomous flight achieved for take-​​off, way­point flight, land­ing, and lost-​​link return to base. Current plans are to test with a 6-​​cylinder engine, then migrate to a tur­boshaft engine, and ulti­mately to a diesel engine, to achieve high endurance (24+ hours) and high alti­tude (30,000 feet). The DARPA con­tract ends in 2007.
crw.jpgX-​​50 Dragonfly Canard Rotor/​Wing (CRW)
length: 17.7 ft. weight: 1485 lbs. endurance: 30 mins. 2 delivered/​2 planned
The CRW con­cept com­bines the VTOL capa­bil­ity of a heli­copter with the high-​​subsonic cruise speed (as high as 400 knots) of a fixed-​​wing air­craft. CRW intends to achieve this by stop­ping and lock­ing the rotor and using it as a wing to achieve high speed for­ward flight; the canard and tail pro­vide addi­tional lift­ing and con­trol sur­faces. For both rotary and fixed-​​wing flight modes, the CRW is pow­ered by a con­ven­tional tur­bo­fan engine. The X– 50 is a tech­nol­ogy demon­stra­tor designed to assess and val­i­date the CRW con­cept. Hover tests were con­ducted in December 2003 and March 2004, but a hard land­ing resulted in sig­nif­i­cant dam­age to the first air vehi­cle. The sec­ond X-​​50 is now being read­ied to con­tinue the flight test­ing, planned for sum­mer 2005.
Cormorant
Length: 19 ft. weight: 9000 lbs. endurance: 3 hrs
The Cormorant project is cur­rently con­duct­ing a series of risk reduc­tion demon­stra­tions for a multi-​​purpose UA that is immersible and capa­ble of launch, recov­ery, and re-​​launch from a sub­merged SSGN [guided mis­sile] sub­ma­rine or a sur­face ship. Such an UA could pro­vide all– weather ISR&T, BDA [bat­tle dam­age assess­ment], armed recon­nais­sance, or SOF and spe­cial­ized mis­sion sup­port. In par­tic­u­lar, the com­bi­na­tion of a stealthy SSGN sub­ma­rine and a sur­viv­able air vehi­cle could intro­duce a dis­rup­tive capa­bil­ity to sup­port future joint oper­a­tions. If the cur­rent demon­stra­tions are suc­cess­ful, follow-​​on efforts could involve build­ing an immersible and fly­able demon­stra­tor UA.
It’s inter­est­ing to see, too, what’s not on the Roadmap’s list. For exam­ple, Future Combat Systems, the Army’s gazil­lion dol­lar mod­ern­iza­tion pro­gram, is sup­posed to have at least four new kinds of fly­ing drones by 2008, from back­pack to mini-​​helicopter sized. But, accord­ing to the Roadmap, two of those four robo-​​planes will be ones that G.I.s are already fly­ing. Instead of the UFO-​​buttplug hybrid that the Pentagon had orig­i­nally been push­ing to put in sol­diers’ packs, the model airplane-​​esque Raven will get the nod, at least ini­tially. Although there are hopes for the DP-​​5X to become the Army’s two-​​man portable drone of the future, the rail-​​launched Shadow 200, which first flew in 1991, will be drone of choice, for now.
THERE’S MORE: Aviation Week looks at the Roadmap and notes that UA mis­sions “will be quickly expand­ing into the more exotic areas of elec­tronic jam­ming, com­mu­ni­ca­tions inter­cep­tion, pulling imagery from obscure por­tions of the elec­tro­mag­netic spec­trum and the mea­sure­ment of faint sig­nals that could betray enemy activity.”

The Roadmap has sev­eral chrono­log­i­cal buck­ets for the appear­ance of spe­cific capa­bil­i­ties. In 2005-​​10, some UAVs are to be inaudi­ble from 1,000 ft. or less, detect tar­gets under trees, dis­tin­guish facial fea­tures from 4 naut. mi., and auto­mat­i­cally rec­og­nize tar­get vehi­cles. By 2010–15, UAVs are to be capa­ble of auto­mated aer­ial refu­el­ing and employ­ing a 100-​​band hyper­spec­tral imagery sen­sor. Capabilities added in 2015–20 are to be the abil­ity to map sea mines in real time and increased endurance (of 40%) with­out an increase in fuel load. The period 2025–30 is to pro­duce 1,000-band hyper­spec­tral imagery and human-​​equivalent proces­sor speed and mem­ory in a com­puter small enough for air­borne use…
One big obsta­cle to expan­sion, par­tic­u­larly among the most sophis­ti­cated of these air­craft, appears to be the recruit­ment and train­ing of qual­i­fied pilots and sen­sor oper­a­tors to fly and fight them. Possibly the most sought-​​after and over­worked units are the U.S. Air Force’s three Predator squadrons sta­tioned at Nellis AFB and Creech AFB in Nevada; only the air­craft and small launch and recov­ery teams oper­ate in Afghanistan and Iraq. Crews fly­ing the over­seas mis­sions are actu­ally oper­at­ing from “cock­pits” at Nellis.
For exam­ple, the Predator train­ing squadron fly­ing from Creech will pro­duce only 15 pilots and 15 sen­sor oper­a­tors per class dur­ing the next year, and per­haps dou­ble that in the fol­low­ing year, say USAF offi­cials. There are plans to estab­lish a sec­ond flight train­ing unit, pos­si­bly oper­ated by the Air National Guard. But demands of com­bat in Afghanistan and Iraq will make it a slow process.

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August 15th, 2005 | Drones | 1229 Comments »http://defensetech.org/2005/08/15/unmanned-future-plotted/Unmanned+Future+Plotted2005-08-15+20%3A20%3A32noahmax You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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  1. sr20de says:
    August 15, 2005 at 4:59 pm

    This has “Skynet” writ­ten all over it. Eek.

    Reply
  2. jaspreet says:
    August 16, 2005 at 5:36 am

    long gun = step towards “bril­liant” from smart weapons smart weapons hit the tar­get bril­lant weapons can pick the high­est value tar­get.
    Does seem to ask­ing for increased fractide

    Reply
  3. Byron Skinner says:
    August 16, 2005 at 2:19 pm

    I just love these arti­cles about the lim­i­ta­tions of “UAV’s” and autonomous weapon sys­tems in gen­eral.
    This is just more fear and loth­ing out of the folks that want to build big deck 100ton. Aircraft Carriers forthe F/​35 (CV 77 the George H.W. Bush will be the last car­rier to cone in under $10 Billion, maybe?) and sink another $150 Billion in to amphabi­ous war­fare ships to acco­mo­date the VC-​​22 and to build air­craft with out any known mis­sion the F/​A-​​22.
    Let’s face it the F/A-22’s have bro­ken the $200 Million a copy bar­rier, the VC-​​22 who knows, but surely it has passed the $150 Million mark and the F-​​35, which is still in devel­op­ment has passed $100 per air­plane, aver­age.
    While UAV’s are still strug­gling to with add on’s hit $10 Millionper air­frame. It doesn’t take a U.S. Congressman to fig­ure out what the defense indus­try wants to make.
    And I don’t think it’s by pure chance these same Aero Space Companies are now in ship build­ing busi­ness.
    Can any­one see a sim­u­la­rity here, Northrup Grumman after buy­ing out Litton Industries who make LPD’s for the U.S. Navy have bumped up the price from $835 Million to $1.8 Billion. Of course the new San Antiono class is needed to sup­port the VC-​​22. Next the VC-​​22 will need a new LHA’s, the LHA ®. The twelve barely used LHD’sand LHA’s in the fleet are unsuited for the VC-​​22 and AV-35’s, sur­prise!
    Chig ching, another $100 Billion bucks.
    UAV’s are the future, I just hope we can aford to get there.
    ALLONS,
    Byron Skinner
    “Stewart’s Platoon”

    Reply
  4. Yvgeny says:
    August 17, 2005 at 1:12 am

    Not so sure LHDs and LHAs are “barely used.” It may seem so to the lay­men but they are quite busy.
    Also, the LHA® seems unlikely due to its com­plete lack of sur­face amphibi­ous capa­bil­ity. I would have to agree that it seems like an added expense that we could prob­a­bly do with­out. However, it doesn’t solve the fact that LHA/​Ds lack the space for the extra main­te­nance and logis­ti­cal sup­plies required for the MV-​​22 and JSF.
    However, can’t argue with the com­plaint about acqui­si­tions. It’s busi­ness as usual to go over bud­get.
    And con­sol­i­da­tion with aero­space com­pa­nies was inevitable with all the crossover in tech­nol­ogy. Take a look at how much over­lap there is in aero­space com­pa­nies mak­ing equip­ment for land weapons. That doesn’t take any detec­tive work.

    Reply
  5. Byron Skinner says:
    August 17, 2005 at 1:59 pm

    Good Morning Yveny,
    I’m not so sure about your per­dic­tion on thr LHA®‘s. Yesterday President Bush selected Donald C. Winter to replace Gordon R. English as Secretary of the Navy. Mr. Winter is cur­rently President of Northrop Grumman Millile Systems in Los Angeles.
    It seems­busi­ness as usual at the Pentagon.
    ALLONS,
    Byron Skinner
    “Stewart’s Platoon”

    Reply
  6. organic says:
    August 17, 2005 at 9:33 pm

    > This has “Skynet” writ­ten all over it.
    Yes it cer­tainly does:
    http://​deoxy​.org/​m​e​m​e​/​R​o​b​o​t​A​rmy

    Reply
  7. Byron Skinner says:
    August 17, 2005 at 10:51 pm

    Good Evening “organic”,
    Never heard of “Skynet”, please edu­cate me.
    Everything I post is my “Own” opin­ion. I even use my “Real Name”, no some cute lttle han­dle.
    ALLONS,
    Byron Skinner
    “Stewart’s Platoon”

    Reply
  8. organic says:
    August 18, 2005 at 7:09 pm

    This links explains the ref­er­ence:
    http://​en​.wikipedia​.org/​w​i​k​i​/​S​k​y​net
    An inter­est­ing coin­ci­dence:
    http://​www​.space​-tech​nol​ogy​.com/​p​r​o​j​e​c​t​s​/​s​k​y​n​et/

    Reply
  9. brock says:
    October 9, 2005 at 10:36 pm

    how much will is cost a person

    Reply

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