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Home » Strategery » So Much for Withdrawal

So Much for Withdrawal

Well, so much for those plans to with­draw American forces from Iraq. President Bush’s big speech at the Naval Academy “did not break new ground or present a new strat­egy,” the AP notes. So that means, despite the chat­ter before­hand, no new sched­ule for bring­ing troops home.
GI_point.jpgWhat Bush did say is that “as Iraqi forces become more capa­ble the mis­sion of our forces in Iraq will con­tinue to change.”

We will con­tinue to shift from pro­vid­ing secu­rity and con­duct­ing oper­a­tions against the enemy nation­wide to con­duct­ing more spe­cial­ized oper­a­tions tar­geted at the most dan­ger­ous ter­ror­ists.
We will increas­ingly move out of Iraqi cities, reduce the num­ber of bases from which we oper­ate and con­duct fewer patrols and con­voys.
As the Iraqi forces gain expe­ri­ence and the polit­i­cal progress advances, we will be able to decrease our troop lev­els in Iraq with­out los­ing our capa­bil­ity to defeat the terrorists.

Which says to me: kiss the “oil-​​spot” the­ory good­bye. That’s the idea, which has been gain­ing momen­tum in polit­i­cal cir­cles since an August Foreign Affairs arti­cle, to use our troops to set up safe havens in Iraq, and then slowly grow them out.
But to do that, you need troops — lots of troops — to fill a city up, and patrol vir­tu­ally every cor­ner. If I’m read­ing between the lines of Bush’s speech right, that’s not the idea here — despite talk in the President’s “National Strategy for Victory in Iraq” or “clear[ing]” out and “hold[ing]” insur­gent epi­cen­ters.
Speaking of the “Strategy,” it ain’t. The doc­u­ment reads more like a mar­ket­ing doc­u­ment than a focused plan for win­ning a war. And there are some mighty odd state­ments in it, as Dr. AC Wonk notes. For exam­ple, the Strategy claims that:

As of November 2005, there were more than 212,000 trained and equipped Iraqi Security Forces, com­pared with 96,000 in September of last year.

But “Iraq did not, how­ever, have 96,000 trained and equipped Iraqi Security Forces… in September 2004,” the Wonk responds.

Adam Entous with Reuters obtained inter­nal Defense Department doc­u­ments in September 2004 that revealed only 8,169 had com­pleted the full eight-​​week acad­emy train­ing. 46,176 of what are pub­licly called trained and equipped forces were listed pri­vately as untrained. 

Whatever the num­bers, Bush’s bot­tom line is clear: no big changes to Iraq strat­egy, despite all the heavy-​​breathing. “Stay the course,” he repeated four times at the end of his Annapolis speech. “Our clear, hold, and build strat­egy is work­ing,” add his plan.

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November 30th, 2005 | Strategery | 293716 Comments »http://defensetech.org/2005/11/30/so-much-for-withdrawal/So+Much+for+Withdrawal2005-11-30+17%3A14%3A32jason You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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  1. Byron Skinner says:
    November 30, 2005 at 1:51 pm

    Good Morning Folks,
    Don’t be so down. We all knows President Bush has prob­lems with the truth and quite often he ends up doing the exact oppo­site of what he says he will never do. The big­ger the issue the big­ger the “flop” and this is a “Super Sized” issue.
    Remember “…we will rebuild New Orleans and pay what ever it takes. I can’t imag­ine an America with out a New Orleans.” or an Iraqi War clas­sic “…al Sar has killed Americans and we will do all that is nec­es­sary to bring him to jus­tice.” or the all time clas­sic “I’m a uniter not a divider.“
    On that the­ory, the troops in Iraq should be pack­ing their bags. The “Freedom Birds” are gassing up as I write.
    ALLONS,
    Byrob Skinner

    Reply
  2. pete says:
    November 30, 2005 at 2:44 pm

    Thanks for post­ing that C-​​Low. What you said in the begin­ning about free­ing up troops to do con­stant dis­rup­tion ops is absolutely true. My very good friend just returned from the region and he was vey excited at the progress made against the insur­gency.
    The media never reports a house that is not burning.

    Reply
  3. Smolinsky says:
    November 30, 2005 at 3:35 pm

    “…If we lose the WOT it wont be over we maybe able to hide in our lit­tle iso­la­tion­ist cacoon for a time but at some point the ter­ror­ist will get the WMD and they will make the Big Satan really pay and on that day that hun­dreds of thou­sands US civil­ians die and the peo­ple demand ret­ri­bu­tion, maybe they even dont at first but then the sec­ond attack, then they do, the war that will fol­low be that war of civ­i­liza­tions and the tat­ics that will be required are insane ugly, time will not be a advan­tage like we have today with WMD out of the bot­tle every attack will have to be stopped at all cost thier will be real police state patriot act nesse­cary, the mus­lim reli­gion will be either heav­ily restricted or out­right out­lawed, mul­sims here will be in con­cen­tra­tion camps, thier cities will be burn­ing across from Indonesia to Morroco that will be a war that will make WW2 look like a freekin cream­puff in its bru­tal­ity on both sides.“
    Whew.
    I’ll take the Mother of All Run-​​On Sentences for 500, Alex.
    It’s all good Low… I promise we’ll all still be here to read the fin­ished prod­uct.
    Now, could you go back and slice and dice that bad boy a lit­tle shorter, tighten up the spelling and throw in a lit­tle punc­tu­a­tion. I’m sure there was a good point in there somewhere.

    Reply
  4. C-Low says:
    November 30, 2005 at 3:50 pm

    Thanks Pete
    And sorry guys for the book­long rant but one thing that has just dri­ven me crazy about this war is the mis­in­for­ma­tion and incom­pe­tent report­ing on the sub­ject. In past wars the media sup­ported and did thier part for the nations war effort and in this war they have either been out­right anit-​​american or at best equal to both sides amer­i­can and ter­rror­ist. What really sikens me that peo­ple dont have pride in thier nation to the point were a war effort strated by the slaugh­ter of 3000 civil­ians cant be sup­ported or at least make room for the good news to, the ohh good news dont sell line I just dont buy. Whatever hap­pened to respon­si­ble report­ing?
    What scares me is the WOT wont end with Iraq and if this nation has no abil­ity to make thier case con­tin­u­aly on the media front while our ene­mies have free reign to the point were every mis­take is blown out of pro­por­tion every suc­cess is ignored or just briefed with more doom right after and what is his­tor­i­cally min­imul casu­al­ties unbear­able we are doomed. If we cant make the fight on the media front we may skin by on Iraq but I dont look for­ward to the future espe­cially when some major ene­mies on the hori­zon I couldnt even imag­ine think­ing about fight­ing a WW2 level war agian in todays envi­ro­ment we would have no chance. War is hell war is bru­tal bad things hap­pen peo­ple die that is real­ity and it will never be any different.

    Reply
  5. Max says:
    November 30, 2005 at 6:59 pm

    Peter– I think Bryon is hav­ing a lit­tle fun with the whole “no plan + aggi­ta­tion to leave + GOP inabil­ity to admit mis­takes + GOP inabil­ity to allow the Dems any say + the GOP say­ing that leav­ing is los­ing and unpa­tri­otic= stay the course” when we all know we gotta get out before the next elec­tion cycle (or at least GOP sen­a­tors and con­gress­men know that).
    And C-​​Low, you gotta edit those things. Would like to read em, but no way I am going to slog through all that.

    Reply
  6. Matt Stevens says:
    November 30, 2005 at 10:14 pm

    well im happy to see that our stay the course strat­egy will be con­tin­ued. After all the blood thats been shed, to have the place turn into a ter­ror haven that we most likely would have to re invade in a few years is not cool. And i believe that is what would hap­pen if we so much as anounced even a ‘gen­eral’ timesched­ule for our pull out. If we announce a date they’d just lay low till it came. Better we stay the course, and not aboan­don those who have put their fiath and future in us.

    Reply
  7. C-Low says:
    November 30, 2005 at 11:59 pm

    Sorry guys never have been any good at English hated it in school and just barely got by now math I can swing a lit­tle bit but dont do me much good on this. Either way I know it was too long and I appol­o­gize, got a lit­tle well alot car­ried away.

    Reply
  8. JSAllison says:
    December 1, 2005 at 9:18 am

    So does any­one here hap­pen to know just when things are going to be suf­fi­ciently set­tled down to mag­i­cally bring our troops home? No? I thought not.
    Sounds to me like the mil­i­tary and DoD are tieing troop with­drawal to suc­cess indi­ca­tors rather than lock­ing in to an arbi­trar­ily cho­sen sched­ule. We all know how well *those* work.

    Reply
  9. Forum says:
    April 16, 2007 at 4:06 am

    The time of pres­i­dent Bush is over.

    Reply
  10. Amber says:
    July 5, 2007 at 9:16 am

    Hi every­one my name is Amber Homolak and I’m new. does any­one want to talk to me and be my friend?

    Reply
  11. mehmet ali says:
    February 5, 2008 at 6:51 pm

    thanks…

    Reply
  12. Gazeteler says:
    July 31, 2008 at 10:37 am

    The time of pres­i­dent Bush is over.

    Reply

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