A cabal of terrorist-funding, virulently anti-Semitic, nuclear-armed mullahs is bad, no question. Really bad. But just how awful is the awful situation in Iran?
Those conflicting, confusing reports in the press are no help. So I begged the Arms Control Wonk, Dr. Jeffrey Lewis, to give us some straight answers on three-and-a-half basic questions about Iran:
1. How far is Tehran from getting the Bomb?
2. How easily could that Bomb be attached to missile, and how far can that missile go?
3. How hard would it be for the U.S. or Israel to knock out Iran’s nuclear facilities?
Today, the Wonk takes on the first question. The quick answer is that we’ve probably a little less than a decade until the shit hits the fan, atomically-speaking. Unless the mullahs get really, really lucky. And then it’s more like three years until the big showdown.
But don’t take my word for it. Go read the whole thing for yourself. Even the math. Even the bit about cascading centrifuges. You’ll be a little less unnerved, once you know more about the engineering and the science behind Tehran’s nuclear push.
UPDATE 6:22 PM: If the Wonk’s analysis made you feel slightly better, this Joe Katzman post should take care of that, quick.
(Big ups: Glenn)
The question shouldn’t be, how close; but how soon can we & our allies hit these facilities, when these unreasonable & rabid idealogues, very predictably, continue ondown this road to nuclear capability.
Rather to deal with their & the pundits song & dances, and any conventional repurcussions; than to deal with a certain domino effect exchange of nuclear weapon launches. If & when that ever happens, anyone with any sanity should seek most probable ground zeros. To be a survivor after would be the most terrible thing anyone could ever wish upon themselves.…
You people are incredibly stupid and gullible. Iran does not now have the capacity to make nuclear weapons, and will never have.
“You people are incredibly stupid and gullible. Iran does not now have the capacity to make nuclear weapons, and will never have.
Posted by: Elmore at January 21, 2006 11:39 PM“
I dont believe the phrase, “I know you are but what am I?” has ever applied any better than in this case.
Iran possesses all the necessary technology, and the know how to make and carryout nuclear warfare. They are not idiots and they certainly have no reservations about sacrifice to their people. It takes time to refine and implement these items but they’ve had time, and now they are just finishing the process they started before the UN lockouts were in place. Iran has both launched satalites into space(step one in an ICBM project) and actively pursued refineing nuclear material to weapons grade status. This is not a matter of will they posess these weapons but when, unless something changes drastically with the world political view on Iran.
Don’t hide your head in the sand, you only get your ass kicked.
Remember…that during the Iran/Iraq War, many in the Iranian leadership (that are still there) encouraged & ordered their own young children to cross border minefields& get themselves blownup, in order to make safe paths for their soldiers to cross over. There is no moral conscience nor regard for life here; no matter what the excuse.
They still do sponser insurgent terrorism, & have little or no regard for their women. What would you think their thoughts would be with regard to using nukes or any WMD in order to reak havoc & mayem in their region, or the World?
For some naive “thinkers” like denis; if israel “can handle them all alone” then you just proved the Iranian point-then what is the fuss all about? Besides, how many bomb israel do you think needs to be blown to smitherin?
One or two.
This is to the people who think IRAN is not capable of handling a war on israel. Let me remind u of July 2006 with the little Hizb-Allah.
And what about the person saying that ISRAEL has #1 airforce…well i laugh at his face…IRAN is developing the best DEFENSIVE weapons the world will ever witness.…plus have u heard of SYRIA??
u hit IRAN it means u hit SYRIA…can i mean CAN israel handle IRAN & SYRIA … u can spit in my face when ISRAEL comes out victorious…
Are you wondering and thinking about WWIII
Simple as this..(my predictions)
Allies : USA, ISRAEL, G.B, Other Countries
Axis: N.Korea, Iran, Syria, Russia, China
Winners: Let me hear ur wildest guess.…
As Einstein Said: “I do not know with what weapons World War 3 will be fought, but World War 4 will be fought with sticks and stones.”
I always adhere to and keep a distance from everyone. Until now, I did not have a true friend, although I was a lonely, although I did not like the other players that they have many friends send them cheap zeny, I must be rely on myself, at least I will not hurt anybody, and perhaps this is kind of happiness.
Looking back at the past, in those days, we played together; we have no much rappelz money, we have no need equipment and no senior friends too us, but I am still playing very happy. Rappelz left everywhere in our laughter. There is only one reason is that I have her around, I would meet, everything becomes unimportant. One thing I feel very sorry, that is when I married her, mo gorgeous fireworks, mo friends of blessing. Now I have heart, I feel wronged her, I am sorry to her.
Later, in January of this year, I have entered into this long hoped for world. Following in their previous game, I have some experience, at first I bought some RF cp to arm my number, so I grew up gradually. Later, I joined the empire of darkness, I recognize some friends. Later matured, I separated from the darkness; to join a trade union has just established a new, expanding trade union began a journey, and I recognized a lot of friends.
Virtual net works, virtual role of the game, I did not as him what people. It is only a game; happy is the purpose of the game. I chat with him happy. I have an on line he will not be alone to upgrade and earn GuildWars money, but rather for the first time chat with me, in this way we often sit together.
This is from something I wrote and posted elsewhere a few days ago. I?ll take the time to read the information posted here, Tiffany jwelery but I wanted to submit my little comments first, so as not to be influenced too easily to change my opinion.
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