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Archive for January, 2007

Rapid Fire 01/​31/​07 (Updated)

Wednesday, January 31st, 2007

* AQ big offed in Madagascar
* Gonzales turn­ing over domes­tic spy docs?
* Vid: Sea Launch explo­sion
* Tehran behind G.I. kid­nap­ping?
* …Roggio had the story last week
* More Iranian bombs in Iraq (back­ground)
* “Rogue U.S. attack on Brit con­voy?“
* Big cor­rup­tion in Iraqi police train­ing
* Sadr’s rope-​​a-​​dope
* Congress slams Los Alamos
* …Deepwater cut­ters up next (back­ground)
* Cold-​​case cops turn to YouTube
* Plea deal in MySpace mur­der
* 1672 “fold­ing cam­era” comes to life
* Inside Putin’s jet

(Big ups: BB, DG, RC, EM, Hambling)

Starving Iran’s Tomcats

Wednesday, January 31st, 2007

The U.S. gov­ern­ment has stepped in to halt the auc­tion­ing of spare parts for the Northrop Grumman F-​​14 Tomcat fighter jet, Defense News reports:

F14iran

The sales of all F-​​14 parts were sus­pended on January 26 pend­ing a review, the Defense Logistics Agency said in a state­ment. Dawn Dearden, a spoke­woman for the agency, told AFP the sales were frozen given the cur­rent sit­u­a­tion in Iran. Iran bought 79 F-​​14s from the United States before the fall of Shah Mohammed Reza Pahlavi in 1979. The move comes amid grow­ing U.S.-Iranian ten­sions over Tehrans dis­puted nuclear pro­gram and what Washington sees as Iranian sub­ver­sion of U.S. efforts to sta­bi­lize Iraq.

Not to men­tion Iranian agents have been fin­gered in the recent Iraq com­mando raid that killed five U.S. troops, accord­ing to The New York Times:

Investigators say they believe that attack­ers who used American-​​style uni­forms and weapons to infil­trate a secure com­pound and kill five American sol­diers in Karbala on Jan. 20 may have been trained and financed by Iranian agents, accord­ing to American and Iraqi offi­cials knowl­edge­able about the inquiry.

With a con­fronta­tion loom­ing, the U.S. is try­ing to stran­gle the Iranian air force in advance of a bomb­ing cam­paign. As I reported last year at Defense Tech, the Islamic Republic of Iran Air Force has man­aged to main­tain or even increase its com­bat power despite embargoes:

All told, the IRIAF flies as many as 300 fight­ers. All are older designs, but have been main­tained and, in many cases, upgraded by the indige­nous aero­space indus­try, which has become pro­fi­cient in reverse-​​engineering weapons and spare parts — and per­haps even engines. And the IRIAF has aer­ial tankers too — a force mul­ti­plier only the most advanced air forces maintain.

Iran’s air defense net­work would be a tough nut to crack, even with our F-​​22 fight­ers and air­craft car­ri­ers. We could do it, of course, but prob­a­bly not with­out loss. But then what?

And don’t for­get: there is still no direct evi­dence of state-​​sanctioned Iranian med­dling in Iraq. If there is, our gov­ern­ment hasn’t entrusted us with it.

David Axe, cross-​​posted at War Is Boring

DT’s Biggest Hits, Best Posts of January

Wednesday, January 31st, 2007

January has been a hell of a month for Defense Tech: traf­fic is through the roof, reader par­tic­i­pa­tion is way up, and the qual­ity of mate­r­ial is at an all-​​time high. So here are the top five most pop­u­lar posts for the month.

The Law Catches Up To Private Militaries, Embeds
Since the start of the Iraq war, tens of thou­sands of heavily-​​armed mil­i­tary con­trac­tors have been roam­ing the coun­try — with­out any law, or any court to con­trol them. That may be about to change, Brookings Institution Senior Fellow P.W. Singer notes in a Defense Tech exclu­sive.
Navy’s Deadly New Darts
David Hambling reveals a fear­some piece of hard­ware: a mod­i­fied satellite-​​guided bomb, releas­ing thou­sands of darts, each car­ry­ing a pay­load of a pow­er­ful chem­i­cal called DETA.
Electric Lasers Shoot Mortars, Gain Strength
Real-​​life laser weapons con­tinue to inch closer to real­ity. Two recent exam­ples: Raytheon says its “pro­to­type solid-​​state Laser Area Defense System suc­cess­fully det­o­nated 60-​​millimeter mor­tars.” And Northrop Grumman is open­ing up a new “directed energy pro­duc­tion facil­ity” for build­ing high energy, solid-​​state lasers.
Second Nork Nuke Test Coming?
I was skep­ti­cal when I heard the news that “senior defense offi­cials” now think North Korea has “put every­thing in place to con­duct a [sec­ond nuclear] test with­out any notice or warn­ing.” But the wonks over at the Center for Nonproliferation Studies are warn­ing us: believe the hype.
China Space Attack: Unstoppable
China has shown it can destroy a satel­lite in orbit. What could the U.S. do to stop Beijing, if it decided to attack an American orbiter next? Short answer: nothing.

And here, in no par­tic­u­lar order, are ten posts that didn’t get quite as many clicks, but really show off the best of the work being done at Defense Tech HQ:

“Non-​​Lethal” Viruses to “Neutralize” Cities
Inside a Cold War plan to develop “bio­log­i­cal agents” — includ­ing ones that can lead to “inflam­ma­tion of the brain, coma and death” — for “inca­pac­i­tat­ing” ene­mies on the bat­tle­field or “neu­tral­iz­ing hos­tile cities.“
Cop Tech Key to Iraq Fight?
All the talk is about more U.S. troops. But if there’s going to be a shot in hell of win­ning the war in Iraq, it’ll be up to the Iraqi police. And those cops will need to be equipped with the lat­est crime-​​fighting gear.
Mr. Plow Eagerly Awaits Nuclear War
Step off, Al Gore! Eric Hundman has found a quick fix to global warm­ing. All we need is a hand­ful of nuclear weapons.
Behind the Ethiopian Blitz
David Axe exam­ines how Ethiopia’s tiny air force, which just four years ago was in dan­ger of implo­sion, spear­headed the effort to drive Islamist mili­tias out of south­ern Somalia.
Real Iraq Surge: Electronic Attack?
Any U.S. mil­i­tary surge in Iraq will be far more than a troop increase. It’ll include a slew of new tech­nolo­gies to inter­rupt and infil­trate insur­gent net­works.
Iran’s Super Missile Will Defeat Great Satan, Steal Your Girlfriend
Robot Economist looks at the Iranian claims, paroted by the U.S. press, that Tehran has a radar-​​evading, multiple-​​warhead rocket.
New Army Camos: No Place to Hide?
The Army’s new uni­form was sup­posed to blend into every envi­ron­ment — from deserts to jun­gles to cityscapes. Has it lived up to the promise?
Merc Chopper Shot Down
Blackwater should’ve seen it com­ing, that one of their copters in Iraq was bound to get blown out of the sky. David Axe explains.
Behind China’s Sat-​​Killer Test
Six posts, cov­er­ing every­thing you wanted to know about Beijing’s strike against a satel­lite, more than 500 miles up.

200 Years of “Mind Control“
Countless thou­sands of peo­ple com­plain today about the gov­ern­ment tak­ing over their minds. But the prob­lem goes way back — to 1810, David Hambling explains. And not all of the claims are com­pletely crazy.

Cat & Mouse in Cyberspace

Wednesday, January 31st, 2007

Interesting news on the infowar front, in two parts. First, Declan McCullagh has stum­bled onto a previously-​​undisclosed FBI Net-​​monitoring pro­gram that’s “broader and poten­tially more intru­sive than the FBI’s [infa­mous] Carnivore sur­veil­lance sys­tem.“
keyboard_fingers.jpg

Instead of record­ing only what a par­tic­u­lar sus­pect is doing, agents con­duct­ing inves­ti­ga­tions appear to be assem­bling the activ­i­ties of thou­sands of Internet users at a time into mas­sive data­bases, accord­ing to cur­rent and for­mer offi­cials. That data­base can sub­se­quently be queried for names, e-​​mail addresses or key­words…
Call it the vacuum-​​cleaner approach. It’s employed when police have obtained a court order and an Internet ser­vice provider can’t “iso­late the par­tic­u­lar per­son or IP address” because of tech­ni­cal con­straints, says Paul Ohm, a for­mer trial attor­ney at the Justice Department’s Computer Crime and Intellectual Property Section…
That kind of full-​​pipe sur­veil­lance can record all Internet traf­fic, includ­ing Web browsing–or, option­ally, only cer­tain sub­sets such as all e-​​mail mes­sages flow­ing through the net­work. Interception typ­i­cally takes place inside an Internet provider’s net­work at the junc­tion point of a router or net­work switch. 

Top data-​​miners and social net­work ana­lysts have ques­tioned whether this kind of broad-​​brush sur­veil­lance works at all. And while we’re all get­ting caught in the FBI’s elec­tronic drag­net, the real bad guys are get­ting smarter about hid­ing their tracks. The Middle East Media Research Institute notes:

The Global Islamic Media Front [recently] announced the immi­nent release of new com­puter soft­ware called “Mujahideen Secrets.. [allegedly] the first Islamic com­puter pro­gram for secure exchange [of infor­ma­tion] on the Internet,” and it pro­vides users with “the five best encryp­tion algo­rithms, and with sym­met­ri­cal encryp­tion keys (256 bit), asym­met­ri­cal encryp­tion keys (2048 bit) and data com­pres­sion [tools].”

The pack­age “is com­pa­ra­ble to any num­ber of com­mer­cial prod­ucts avail­able here in the United States,” says ZDNet blog­ger Mitch Ratcliffe. “The dif­fer­ence is an Islamist skin, which seems more a gim­mick to inspire con­fi­dence in the soft­ware than a guar­an­tee it will be effec­tive.“
But “‘Mujahedin Secrets’ is the lat­est exam­ple of the grow­ing tech­ni­cal com­pe­tence of online sup­port­ers of al-​​Qaida and other Islamic ter­ror net­works, but encryp­tion capa­bil­i­ties are not new in the world of cyber-​​jihadis,” IntelCenter’s Ben Venzke tells UPI.

“This is con­sis­tent with the ongo­ing efforts of jihadist sym­pa­thiz­ers online… Encryption is used by some (Islamic ter­ror­ists)” and some al-​​Qaida man­u­als have addressed the ques­tion.
He said encryp­tion is “a stan­dard part of the oper­a­tional secu­rity prac­ticed (online) by those (Islamic ter­ror­ists) who take the time to use it.

Armor Lack Behind Copter Crashes?

Tuesday, January 30th, 2007

Three American heli­copters have gone down in Iraq in a lit­tle more than a week. Is there any­thing behind this col­lec­tion of crashes? Or is just lethal coin­ci­dence — part of what hap­pens when troops do some­thing death-​​defying, over and over again? I asked Defense Tech pal ME, a for­mer Kiowa Warrior pilot who served in Iraq, to weigh in with his thoughts.
copter_ME1.jpgI haven’t heard of any rea­son as to why we’re los­ing more lately, but we also haven’t lost any in a long time prior to this — I think it’s reflec­tive of some­what of the odds catch­ing up to us and an increased com­bat oper­a­tions tempo.
[That said], I would point out that US heli­copters aren’t that heav­ily armored. [Something David Axe noted about last week’s Blackwater copter crash — ed.] They have blocks of armor pro­tect­ing some key parts of the engine, and crew com­part­ments, but it’s not nearly com­pre­hen­sive. Most don’t have flare sys­tems, and their only active coun­ter­mea­sure against IR mis­siles is an ALQ-​​144 jam­mer. Relatively speak­ing, there is very lit­tle pro­tec­tion from direct small arms hits.
In my opin­ion, our great­est threat was from small arms and RPGs while oper­at­ing at low alti­tude and low air­speed. My troop was under stand­ing orders not to fly above 500 feet AGL (above ground level) or under 60 knots — and never hover unless absolutely nec­es­sary. At low alti­tude — we felt that it was key to min­i­mize the time avail­able to acquire us as a tar­get. We used the ALQ’s but at the time I was there, we didn’t see much threat from SAMs [surface-​​to-​​air mis­siles]. Towards the fall of 2003 we did start get­ting more reports of SAM engage­ments — spi­ral smoke trails arc­ing up, rather than lob shots from RPGs, but in our flight regime, AK’s and RPGs were the biggest threat.
The Kiowa Warrior… has very lit­tle armor [see the pics]. The Blackhawk is sim­i­lar, and the Apache has rel­a­tively more. A friend of mine who was a troop com­man­der in the (in)famous deep strike to kick off OIF said the only pos­i­tive from that mis­sion was that they learned that the Apache could soak up a lot of small arms fire and keep fly­ing. When you look at the armor though, it’s easy to see how a few small arms rounds in the wrong place can bring a bird down.
There are some other issues with the ALQ-​​144. Some of them are clas­si­fied. Some are mun­dane: they’re dif­fi­cult to keep oper­a­tional in the desert, and must be cleaned to be effec­tive. They also must be turned off and on as part of a land­ing check­list (see my next point). The Blackwater birds don’t appear to have them at all. If there are new sup­plies of SAMS com­ing in, they may be much more effec­tive than RPGs and AKs.
Complacency kills, espe­cially in an envi­ron­ment as unfor­giv­ing as Iraq is. With high temps and fly­ing at high gross weights, there is lit­tle per­for­mance mar­gin. Combat maneu­vers take power, and famil­iar­ity (read bore­dom) take their toll, even on expe­ri­enced pilots. After a few months, I could fly from Baghdad to Al Asad with­out a map, and knew every neigh­bor­hood in between — and it made me too casual at times, about mis­sion prep and pro­ce­dures. As pilots go back for repeat tours, they may fall into that even more quickly.

“Since May 2003, the U.S. mil­i­tary has lost 54 heli­copters in Iraq, about half of them to hos­tile fire,” accord­ing to the AP.

You’re Fired!

Tuesday, January 30th, 2007

Navy chief Admiral Mike Mullen has fired the cap­tain over­see­ing the Littoral Combat Ship pro­gram, Defense News reports:

Lcs

Capt. Donald Babcock, the Navys LCS pro­gram man­ager, was relieved of his duties Jan. 29 by his boss, Rear Adm. Charles Hamilton who also is being reas­signed. Hamilton relieved Babcock due to loss of con­fi­dence in his abil­ity to com­mand, accord­ing to a Navy source, who added that Babcock would be reas­signed to admin­is­tra­tive duties.

Both men got their pink slips after an audit revealed that the Lockheed Martin ver­sion of the LCS would come in at around $400 mil­lion, nearly dou­ble the tar­get cost. Two weeks ago the Navy sus­pended work on the sec­ond LockMart LCS for 90 days, long enough to get new man­agers in place and, hope­fully, put the fear of God in Lockheed Martin.

With 55 ships planned, the LCS is a lynch­pin of the Navy’s future fleet. The class is designed to work close to shore at high speeds and to carry “mod­u­lar” weapons and sen­sors pack­ets to enable it to swing between mis­sions. The idea was to pop­u­late coastal waters with large num­bers of LCSs anchored by a Zumwalt-​​class land-​​attack destroyer. But that con­cept is in jeop­ardy if the Navy can’t keep down costs on both ships. Already the first Zumwalt is careen­ing towards a $3-​​billion pric­etag. Toss in cost over­runs on the LCS and the Navy’s future sur­face fleet is dead in the water.

Far from being dis­cour­aged, naval ana­lyst Bob Work sees the pink slips and the work stop­page as pos­i­tive signs. “The Navy needed to say it had a prob­lem. The sec­ond thing they had to say was that we have to build afford­able ships. Mullen has shown that he is dead seri­ous about doing that.”

David Axe, cross-​​posted at Ares and War Is Boring

Unearthing the Dead, and Finding Solace

Tuesday, January 30th, 2007

Most of you prob­a­bly know Xeni Jardin for her fun, flirty post­ings on the Boing Boing uberblog. But beneath the beneath the glam exte­rior is one bad-​​ass reporter.
fafg.jpgTake the epic, five-​​part, mul­ti­me­dia series Xeni has put together for NPR, after spend­ing a month in dirt-​​poor, war-​​ravaged Guatemala. “An esti­mated 200,000 peo­ple were killed in Guatemala’s decades-​​long civil war, and another 100,000 ‘dis­ap­peared,’” she writes, to intro­duce the first install­ment. “Many sur­vivors are still search­ing for the remains of their loved ones.”

One group of foren­sic anthro­pol­o­gists is using tech­nol­ogy to help the coun­try come to terms with its past. For 12 years, the Forensic Anthropology Foundation of Guatemala (FAFG) has been exhum­ing clan­des­tine graves that hold vic­tims killed in polit­i­cal mas­sacres.
Most of the peo­ple killed in Guatemala’s 36-​​year civil war were indige­nous. The army’s scorched-​​earth pol­icy some­times lev­eled entire vil­lages.
In tra­di­tional Mayan cul­ture, the dead and the liv­ing are believed to be in con­stant com­mu­ni­ca­tion. For many thou­sands of Mayan peo­ple in Guatemala, how­ever, their dead have never been able to rest. Neither have the rel­a­tives they left behind.
Now, archae­ol­o­gists and anthro­pol­o­gists with the FAFG work to iden­tify the human remains, record evi­dence for pos­si­ble tri­als, and return the dead home for reburial.

You can lis­ten to the audio for part one of the series here or here. And be sure to check out Xeni’s nar­rated tour of the FAFG’s facil­ity here.

Micro Drones’ Killer Intent

Tuesday, January 30th, 2007

My recent piece on Micro Air Vehicles (MAVs) in Wired News> traces a famil­iar pat­tern in the evo­lu­tion of air war­fare. When bal­loons were invented they were first used for obser­va­tion, then for bomb­ing. The first frag­ile biplanes fly­ing over the trenches in WWI were unarmed, but within a few years they car­ry­ing machine guns and bombs. Unmanned Air Vehicles like Predator were fly­ing recon­nais­sance for years before they were armed for strike mis­sions.
(UAV pedants note: the V-​​1 doesnt count as it was only ever one-​​way)
WASP.jpgSo its not sur­pris­ing that British SAS troop­ers should decide that rather than just spy­ing on Taliban with their WASP micro air vehi­cles, they should be able to take them out. Sticking a small C4 charge on these toy-​​sized craft is a rel­a­tively crude approach, but one that should effec­tively con­vert them from silent spies to stealth assas­sins. And at $3,000 a time they are by no means the most expen­sive weapon around.
But, as the arti­cle explains, the US Air Force has much more ambi­tious plans for arm­ing MAVs to take out instal­la­tions, vehi­cles and peo­ple. They might ini­tially be used indi­vid­u­ally like the SASs WASPs, but the obvi­ous approach is to release swarms of them as I have pre­vi­ously described net­worked robots form­ing an effi­cient sin­gle unit.
One area I did not have space for was the use of incen­di­aries, which can be far more effec­tive than explo­sive pound-​​for-​​pound. This is real fire-​​ant war­fare.
A sin­gle insect-​​sized MAV car­ry­ing a few mil­li­liters of napalm would be a dan­ger­ous nui­sance, espe­cially indoors or inside a vehi­cle. Several dozen of them would be lethal, espe­cially when they can locate stored fuel or ammu­ni­tion. Just pro­gram them to look for those dis­tinc­tive dan­ger inflam­ma­ble signs
Similarly, ther­mite could give tiny robots a dis­pro­por­tion­ate destruc­tive capa­bil­ity. A mix­ture of pow­dered metal and metal oxide, it burns at very high tem­per­a­ture (up to over 2,500 degrees centi­grade), enough to turn most met­als to liq­uid. It can burn through metal; in WWII, ther­mite charges were used as a quick way of dis­abling artillery. It would not take too much ther­mite to make an artillery bar­rel haz­ardous to use; and surface-​​to-​​air mis­sile bat­ter­ies are an obvi­ous tar­get.
One armed MAV, or ter­mite with ther­mite, would not be too much of a men­ace, but dozens or hun­dreds could be effec­tive, against even large instal­la­tions. The small size of the war­head is off­set by the extreme pre­ci­sion with which it can be placed by the sort of flying/​crawling robot insect which the Air Force has in mind.
This should help put the ear­lier report on swarm­ing robot cock­roaches intended to attack under­ground instal­la­tions into per­spec­tive. Such weapons are too indis­crim­i­nate to be used in an urban envi­ron­ment, but in an enemy bunker, every­thing is fair game. Stamp on one and the ther­mite will burn through your shoes and keep going…
Individual cock­roaches can burn through grilles or other obsta­cles, mak­ing a way for the rest of the swarm. With their col­lec­tive intel­li­gence they can iden­tify the com­plexes vul­ner­a­ble points, and by com­bin­ing together, they can destroy most things. When the lights in your bunker start to go out and the air fills with the smoke of burn­ing insu­la­tion, how long would you hang around?
– David Hambling

Darpa Takes $300 Million Hit

Monday, January 29th, 2007

You’d think that the Defense Department’s higher-​​ups would be happy, when their research agen­cies start demand­ing results from the sci­en­tists and engi­neers that they fund. Not nec­es­sar­ily. Inside Defense reports that the Pentagon’s comp­trol­lers have slashed Darpa’s bud­get by $300 mil­lion — about 10% — for the next fis­cal year. Another $200 mil­lion is sup­posed to come off the top, the year after that. The rea­son: “A project man­age­ment over­sight struc­ture intro­duced in DARPA… mandat[ing] that projects are reviewed at reg­u­lar exe­cu­tion inter­vals to ensure that they are meet­ing defined pro­gram goals and objec­tives.“
darpa_chart.JPG
The switch “has resulted in more effec­tive link­ing of resources to out­comes,” accord­ing to “Program Budget Decision 704,” an inter­nal Defense Department doc­u­ment obtained by Inside Defense. Which would be a good thing, ordi­nar­ily. Except that Darpa hasn’t been spend­ing the money it’s been given, appar­ently. While fund­ing for the agency has gone up, up, up since 9/​11, the num­ber of pro­gram man­agers hasn’t increased as fast. Combined with the new, results-​​driven process, that “has slowed exe­cu­tion of DARPAs fund­ing.… result­ing in a sig­nif­i­cant decline in oblig­a­tions and expen­di­tures,” says PBD 704. So what hap­pened to all that excess cash? I haven’t been able to get a straight answer, yet.
The sub­text to all this wran­gling is the lead­er­ship of Darpa chief Tony Tether. In the mil­i­tary research world, he’s known as a hands-​​on man­ager — a very, very hands-​​on man­ager. No item in his $3 bil­lion bud­get is too small; even some of the names of Darpa research efforts require his approval. “Nothing hap­pens with­out his say-​​so,” one Darpa-​​funded researcher tells me.
That’s a change for the agency, which has tra­di­tion­ally let its pro­gram man­agers — and its researchers — more or less fol­low their imag­i­na­tions. Some cur­rent and for­mer Darpa types mum­ble that the qual­ity of research has been under­mined, as a result; after all, “Darpa-​​hard” prob­lems can take longer than six months to solve. But with the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq are suck­ing up more and more money, Defense research bud­gets are tight­en­ing up; demand­ing results doesn’t seem like such a bad thing. We’ll see how this one shakes out.
While PDB 704 takes from Darpa, it adds $300 mil­lion to the Reliable Replacement Warhead pro­gram. That’s the widely-​​criticized effort to build new nukes — a con­struc­tion effort many sage observers thinks is com­pletely unneeded.

T.M.I., Robo-​​Dude

Monday, January 29th, 2007

That’s “too much infor­ma­tion,” for those of you over the age of four­teen. These days, infor­ma­tion supe­ri­or­ity is sup­posed to make U.S. mil­i­tary forces faster, smarter and more lethal and able to defeat more numer­ous foes on their own turf. But how much infor­ma­tion can one sol­dier process, and how fast can he make decisions?

Packbot8_5

Unmanned vehi­cles sport­ing sophis­ti­cated sen­sors are key sup­pli­ers of new and more volu­mi­nous streams of info to grunts on the ground. But in addi­tion to poten­tially over­whelm­ing cus­tomers with too much infor­ma­tion, robots require reg­u­lar input from their human masters.

That’s a key prob­lem fac­ing the engi­neers respon­si­ble for devel­op­ing the Army’s human-​​robot inter­faces. At the U.S. Army Tank-​​Automotive Research, Development and Engineering Center in sub­ur­ban Detroit, Gregory Hudas and his col­leagues are try­ing to fig­ure out what robots should be allowed to do on their own, and what they should ask per­mis­sion for. The key fac­tors are what human oper­a­tors are com­fort­able with, and what they’re capa­ble of. “We must be aware of when they [sol­diers] get overloaded.”

To work out this prob­lem, the folks at TARDEC have linked up two con­soles rep­re­sent­ing the con­trols of a Future Combat Systems fight­ing vehi­cle. Each con­sole boasts three tall touch-​​screen dis­plays. At the cen­ter in front of a padded seat, there is a con­trol stick sim­i­lar to what you might see on an arcade game. The con­soles include a sim­u­la­tion func­tion, akin to a video game, that the TARDEC engi­neers use for tests.

On one screen, a TARDEC engi­neer rep­re­sent­ing an FCS crew­man brings up an over­head map of the bat­tle­field dot­ted with icons rep­re­sent­ing his vehi­cle and four robots that he’s con­trol­ling. One is a Fire Scout aer­ial drone. The oth­ers are ground drones equipped with cam­eras and guns. On his other screens, the crew­man can see what his robots are see­ing in addi­tion to what’s out­side his own vehi­cle. It’s a mas­sive amount of data for one man to process, and things are sure to get worse when he decides to send his drones on a recon­nais­sance mis­sion, poten­tially forc­ing him to also coor­di­nate the move­ments of five vehi­cles simul­ta­ne­ously while fac­ing an elu­sive enemy on unfa­mil­iar terrain.

Which is why the Army decided that each FCS vehi­cle would include two iden­ti­cal con­soles. Side-​​by-​​side crew­men would share respon­si­bil­ity for all the func­tions described above. The Army believed that by coor­di­nat­ing their efforts, one two-​​man crew should be able to con­trol 10 drones and keep up with all their data feeds.

But that’s too many robots, Hudas says. Four drones is the real­is­tic max. And a third crew­man at an addi­tional con­sole is ideal. And that’s assum­ing a min­i­mal level of human inter­ven­tion in the drones activ­i­ties. Basically, you tell a drone what to do, con­firm the com­mand, then let it go. Now, if the drone wants to kill some­thing, it’s going to need a soldier’s per­mis­sion. But for sur­veil­lance and recon­nais­sance, it can make its own deci­sions. “With those appli­ca­tions,” Hudas says, “we don’t even want a soldier.”

Thanks to TARDEC and other research orga­ni­za­tions, the Army is mak­ing enor­mous strides in com­bin­ing think­ing men and think­ing machines into one cohe­sive fight­ing force. That’s the sub­ject of a fea­ture slated for our March issue. Stay tuned.

David Axe, cross-​​posted at Ares and War Is Boring