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Home » Eye on China » China Tests Satellite Killer?

China Tests Satellite Killer?

“China per­formed a suc­cess­ful anti-​​satellite weapons test” last week, accord­ing to Aviation Week. In the trial, a bal­lis­tic mis­sile, armed with a non-​​explosive war­head, “destroy[ed] an aging Chinese weather satel­lite tar­get” over 500 miles above the Earth, U.S. intel­li­gence agen­cies believe.
fy-1-1.jpgThe news comes just a few months after reports of China test­ing high-​​powered lasers to tem­porar­ily blind American orbiters. “If the test is ver­i­fied it will sig­nify a major new Chinese mil­i­tary capa­bil­ity,” AvWeek says. And it could be the spark that ignites an arms race in space, ana­lysts believe. Theresa Hitchens, with the Center for Defense Information called it an “irre­spon­si­ble and self-​​defeating act” that will give “space hawks more ammu­ni­tion to take the United States down a sim­i­larly dan­ger­ous path.”

Details emerg­ing from space sources indi­cate that the Chinese Feng Yun 1C (FY-​​1C) polar orbit weather satel­lite… was attacked by an ASAT [anti-​​satellite] sys­tem launched from or near the Xichang Space Center.
The attack is believe to have occurred as the weather satel­lite flew at 530 mi. alti­tude 4 deg. west of Xichang, located in Sichuan province…
Although intel­li­gence agen­cies must com­plete con­fir­ma­tion of the test, the attack is believed to have occurred at about 5:28 p.m. EST Jan. 11. U. S. intel­li­gence agen­cies had been expect­ing some sort of test that day, sources said.…
USAF radar reports on the Chinese FY-​​1C space­craft have been posted once or twice daily for years, but those reports jumped to about 4 times per day just before the alleged test.
The USAF radar reports then ceased Jan. 11, but then appeared for a day show­ing “signs of orbital dis­tress”. The reports were then halted again. The Air Force radars may well be busy cat­a­loging many pieces of debris, sources said.

Harvard University’s Jeffrey Lewis, a self-​​admitted skep­tic about China’s space ambi­tions, has been hear­ing from many sources in recent months that “Chinas ASAT work seem[s] to have been ramp­ing up.” He writes over at his blog, Arms Control Wonk:

If China has con­ducted an ASAT test, this is extremely bad. I had been hop­ing that the Bush Administration would push for a ban on anti-​​satellite test­ing, either in the form of a code of con­duct. The Bush folks, how­ever, have been fond of say­ing that wasnt nec­es­sary, because ‘there is no arms race in space.‘
Well, we have one now, insti­gated by an incred­i­bly short-​​sighted Chinese government.

(Big ups: EM)
UPDATE 11:42 AM: Why would Beijing pull a stunt like this? The China Matters blog has a the­ory. Meanwhile, one keen space-​​watcher notes that, if this anti-​​sat weapon was really “kinetic” — i.e., hit-​​to-​​kill, non-​​explosive — instead of a plain ol’ explod­ing weapon, that’s extremely bad news. That means the booster rocket has to be very accu­rate “in order to deliver the kill vehi­cle to the desired ini­tial tra­jec­tory.… Then the kill vehi­cle needs to tweak its tra­jec­tory into a pre­cise col­li­sion course using on-​​board propul­sion and either on-​​board tar­get track­ing or… com­mand guid­ance from the ground.” That’s no mean task.
ALSO:
* China Space Attack: Unstoppable
* Beijing’s Next-​​Gen Sat Strike
* Satellite Killer’s Broad Impact
* Why Did China Smack the Sat?
* China Sat-​​Killer Not Yet Weapons Grade?
* Who Ordered the Satellite Strike?

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January 18th, 2007 | Eye on China, Space | 3392251 Comments »http://defensetech.org/2007/01/18/china-tests-satellite-killer/China+Tests+Satellite+Killer%3F2007-01-18+08%3A25%3A59hambling You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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