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Home » Iraq Diary » A Window on the Surge

A Window on the Surge

baghdad.jpg

Primary Sources:

The just-​​released White House interim report on the Baghdad Security Plan, or surge…

Initial Benchmark Assessment Report
UPDATE:

…And a state­ment on the report from the Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, Ike Skelton (D — Mo.)…

“The interim report from General Petraeus and Ambassador Crocker offers a mixed assess­ment, but pro­vides lit­tle rea­son to think that we will see sig­nif­i­cant progress on crit­i­cal bench­marks relat­ing to Iraqi polit­i­cal progress and national rec­on­cil­i­a­tion in the upcom­ing September assess­ment or in the fore­see­able future.

“After more than four years, we can no longer afford the Administration’s open-​​ended com­mit­ments in Iraq that have failed to bring about a sta­ble Iraq and which increas­ingly limit U.S. options to address other crit­i­cal national secu­rity concerns.

“The report rein­forces my belief that we must start tak­ing steps to respon­si­bly rede­ploy U.S. forces from Iraq. Responsible rede­ploy­ment, which would limit the U.S. mil­i­tary to mis­sions such as counter-​​terrorism, pro­tect­ing U.S. Embassy per­son­nel, and train­ing Iraqi secu­rity forces, is nec­es­sary if we expect the Iraqis to take pri­mary respon­si­bil­ity for their coun­try and for their security.”

Update II: The Senate Weighs In

From SASC Chairman, Sen. Carl Levin (D-​​Mich.) -

President Bush tried to paint a pic­ture of the Iraqis mak­ing progress on half of the bench­marks for sta­bi­liz­ing their coun­try. But on the bench­marks that mat­ter most the polit­i­cal goals the pic­ture is a bleak one of con­tin­ued fail­ure by the Iraqi leaders.

The President tried to gloss over their fail­ure to make polit­i­cal progress by call­ing it a lag­ging indi­ca­tor of the surge strat­e­gys suc­cess, but the real lag­ging indi­ca­tor today was the Presidents refusal to face the real­ity that the surge isnt achiev­ing its stated pur­pose giv­ing the Iraqi lead­ers time and space to com­pro­mise their polit­i­cal differences.

Everyone agrees that there is no mil­i­tary solu­tion to the vio­lence in Iraq. Only a polit­i­cal solu­tion among the Iraqi lead­ers them­selves can end the chaos. President Bush acknowl­edged as much when he announced the troop surge in January, argu­ing a surge was nec­es­sary to give the Iraqi lead­ers breath­ing space to reach a polit­i­cal settlement.

Six months into the surge, there is no sign that an increased mil­i­tary pres­ence has spurred the Iraqis to make the polit­i­cal com­pro­mises that only they can make. In fact, most signs point to the con­trary. For exam­ple, the Administrations report con­firms: The Government of Iraq has not made sat­is­fac­tory progress toward enact­ing and imple­ment­ing leg­is­la­tion on de-​​Baathification reform. And it states: The Government of Iraq has not made sat­is­fac­tory progress toward estab­lish­ing a provin­cial elec­tions law.

Yet despite these con­tin­ued fail­ures, the report repeat­edly states: This does not, how­ever, neces­si­tate a revi­sion to our cur­rent plan and strat­egy. I, and a strong major­ity of Americans, disagree.

Even on the bench­marks judged sat­is­fac­tory the report is tainted by a lack of real­ism. The report states: The Government of Iraq — with sub­stan­tial Coalition assis­tance — has made sat­is­fac­tory progress toward reduc­ing sec­tar­ian vio­lence. How many Iraqis would agree that progress in reduc­ing sec­tar­ian vio­lence has been sat­is­fac­tory? How many Americans agree with that assessment?

Likewise, the report states: The Government of Iraq has made sat­is­fac­tory progress toward form­ing a Constitutional Review Committee (CRC) and then com­plet­ing the con­sti­tu­tional review. But the Constitutional Review Committee has made no rec­om­men­da­tions on the most press­ing issues, and the process has been bogged down in polit­i­cal bickering.

Its impor­tant to remem­ber that these are not just goals we want the Iraqis to achieve; these are bench­marks they set for them­selves. They were attached to a let­ter addressed to me by Secretary of State Rice on January 30, 2007, and con­firmed in a sub­se­quent let­ter from Secretary Rice on June 13, 2007 as hav­ing been for­mally approved by the Iraqi Political Committee which includes the Presidency Council the President and the two Vice Presidents as well as the lead­ers of all the major polit­i­cal blocs in Iraq. Of those 16 bench­marks, no more than three have been achieved.

The bot­tom line is that this report shows con­tin­ued fail­ure by the Iraqi lead­ers to reach a polit­i­cal rec­on­cil­i­a­tion and a con­tin­ued refusal by the Administration to change course to put pres­sure on the Iraqi lead­ers to achieve that polit­i­cal settlement. 

– Christian

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July 12th, 2007 | Iraq Diary | 361245 Comments »http://defensetech.org/2007/07/12/a-window-on-the-surge/A+Window+on+the+Surge2007-07-12+17%3A03%3A57Ward You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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  1. k says:
    July 12, 2007 at 12:29 pm

    link bro­ken

    Reply
  2. Christian Lowe says:
    July 12, 2007 at 2:31 pm

    Thanks guys, link is fixed…

    Reply
  3. Observer says:
    July 12, 2007 at 4:00 pm

    Besides this report and the spin of the Democrats a good place to go for look­ing at other aspects of the pic­ture is at an Iraqi Blog of high rat­ings in this post and the fol­low on one he recently posted.

    Reply
  4. Observer says:
    July 12, 2007 at 4:02 pm

    I guess post­ing links here doesn’t work so goto this link which is the same I tried to post in html
    http://​iraqthe​model​.blogspot​.com/​2​0​0​7​/​0​7​/​m​o​r​e​-​b​a​g​h​d​a​d​-​s​u​m​m​e​r​-​p​o​l​i​t​i​c​s​.​h​tml

    Reply
  5. JMD says:
    July 12, 2007 at 4:12 pm

    If we are going to pull out of Iraq in 2008, fine, lets start now. But could we please not use euphemisms like “respon­si­ble rede­ploy­ment.” If we are going to make full scale civil war, a pos­si­ble regional war and eth­nic cleans­ing (pos­si­bly even geno­cide) very likely sce­nar­ios, can we at least admit that to our­selves and to rest of the world?
    I do not share the same pes­simism about Iraq that seems preva­lent across the coun­try. I also do not expect much change in 08 or 09. When has nation build­ing ever been a five year project? Did any­one out­side the Bush admin­is­tra­tion expect this to be done in two years?
    I hate see­ing our troops being maimed and killed. I also hate see­ing peo­ple in gen­eral being maimed and killed. If we with­draw pre­ma­turely it will be a “respon­si­ble rede­ploy­ment.” It will be a rede­ploy­ment respon­si­ble for car­nage that will dwarf what we have seen so far.
    For all those peo­ple that bemoan the dam­age Iraq has done to the image of the United States you might want to con­sider that and what it says to coun­tries around the world and far into the future about how we han­dle our responsibilities.

    Reply
  6. BT says:
    July 12, 2007 at 9:41 pm

    That’s pretty much my opin­ion. Either we leave today, and let the place implode like Yugoslavia or Lebanon, or we fin­ish the job to our sat­is­fac­tion, which requires another 5–10 years. There is no point in leav­ing next year. There is a solu­tion to this prob­lem, so why walk away now? The lack of cre­ativ­ity in our Foreign Policy is embarrassing.

    Reply
  7. Kenneth Crook says:
    July 15, 2007 at 1:05 am

    The effec­tive­ness of the “surge” is a mis­lead­ing con­cept. An army can defeat an enemy only if there is a con­trol­ling entity in the enemy that will accept defeat.
    In the events in Bosnia/​Serbia there was a Serbian gov­ern­ment that was will­ing to accept defeat.
    In Iraq, the insur­gency does not have a con­trol­ling entity that can be made to accept defeat. Thus any mil­i­tary action against the insur­gency is doomed to fail.
    The insur­gency can only be brought to an end through polit­i­cal means.

    Reply
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