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Archive for September, 2007

The Sunday Paper

Sunday, September 30th, 2007

Time V22 cover.jpg

This week’s cover arti­cle in Time mag­a­zine is about the V-​​22. The title of the arti­cle — “A Flying Shame” — gives you a pretty good indi­ca­tion of writer Mark Thompson’s thesis.

I was con­tacted by Thompson in late August. During our half hour con­ver­sa­tion I offered pretty much the same thoughts I put out here some months ago regard­ing the Osprey’s warfight­ing poten­tial, includ­ing my belief that the air­plane really could “change every­thing” in terms of how the Marine Corps fights.

Well, Thompson left out the part where I indi­cated my sup­port and hopes for VMM-263’s suc­cess and resul­tantly I am pre­sented as a “critic.”

Serves me right, I guess. I dealt with this type of reporter for three years in sup­port of the pro­gram and was often frus­trated by what they left out of the final prod­uct. That’s what I get for attempt­ing a com­plete thought with a reporter who’s reverse engi­neer­ing a story. I should have used my “risk com­mu­ni­ca­tions” train­ing dur­ing this conversation.

As I’ve writ­ten here before, Godspeed to the “Thunder Chickens” and all who work in sup­port of the V-​​22 around the fleet. I hope to be proved wrong with my (now well cir­cu­lated) con­cerns, includ­ing the mishap rate. In fact, I’m plan­ning on it.

Here’s a video of Colonel “Bluto” Walters, USMC — for­mer CO of VMX-​​22 — address­ing Thompson’s points on Fox News.

As always, we’ll be keep­ing DT read­ers up on what’s hap­pen­ing — both good and bad — with this cru­cial first deployment.

Ward

Why We Fight: Friday Follies Edition

Friday, September 28th, 2007

In this week’s edi­tion of the Friday Follies, here’s why we at DT are con­fi­dent of vic­tory in Afghanistan. With pro­fes­sion­als like these, no one else stands a chance.

Have a great weekend…

– Christian

Army Sees Budget Crunch Looming

Friday, September 28th, 2007

army-maintenance.jpg

From a story we posted on Military​.com this morning…

It’s like call­ing the auto parts store and order­ing a new bat­tery that you’re not sure you can pay for two months from now.

That’s the sit­u­a­tion in which the Army finds itself given the fund­ing delays imposed by Congress for the 2008 fis­cal year that begins Monday.

Army Secretary Pete Geren said Sept. 27 he’s frus­trated that Congress is con­tin­u­ing to dither on approv­ing the money he needs to run the ser­vice, with some reports indi­cat­ing law­mak­ers might not be able to approve a defense bud­get until January.

Instead, law­mak­ers plan to use a bud­get­ing tool called a “con­tin­u­ing res­o­lu­tion” that will fund the over­all gov­ern­ment, includ­ing the Pentagon, at 2007 lev­els for only 45 days. That ambi­gu­ity hurts the Army’s abil­ity to pur­chase needed equip­ment, such as vehi­cle repair parts.

“If we were to find our­selves in a sit­u­a­tion where we had mul­ti­ple 45-​​day [con­tin­u­ing res­o­lu­tions], we can’t run an orga­ni­za­tion like the Army with that kind of pre­dictabil­ity,” Geren told a group of defense reports at a break­fast meet­ing in Washington, D.C.

“We’ve got to be able to plan months out and years out,” he added.

The Senate has yet to agree to a Pentagon autho­riza­tion bill or its ver­sion of the DoD appro­pri­a­tions bill. That could hap­pen by mid-​​October but the House and Senate ver­sion have to be rec­on­ciled then agreed to before the cash can start flowing.

The clock is tick­ing, though, with the House set to recess for the year in late October and the Senate sched­uled to recess in mid-​​November.

Geren explained that the fund­ing uncer­tainty makes it nearly impos­si­ble to plan for upgrades and other ini­tia­tives that need some lead time. For exam­ple, it’s dif­fi­cult to com­mit to pay­ments for new Bradley Fighting Vehicle trans­mis­sions if the Army is uncer­tain whether it will have the funds to pay for them a cou­ple months down the road.

“To have uncer­tainty hang­ing over the head of an orga­ni­za­tion that ‘will the next tranche of money come 45 days from now, 60 days from now?’ That’s hard to plan, it’s hard to invest,” Geren explained.

With the Army spend­ing about $18 bil­lion per month just to run the ser­vice, the lack of fund­ing sta­bil­ity makes life hard for Army plan­ners to pay the bills.

“If we do find our­selves in a 45-​​day type of a fund­ing approach, that will make things hard for the Army that will make things expen­sive for the Army,” Geren said. “Much of our sup­port force requires longer-​​term invest­ments that you can’t turn on and turn off.”

– Christian

Are the French Looking to Sling Lead for NATO?

Friday, September 28th, 2007

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France is expected to soon rejoin NATO’s mil­i­tary com­mand after a 40-​​year absence. The French gov­ern­ment with­drew from the NATO mil­i­tary struc­ture in 1966 (although remain­ing a mem­ber of NATO’s political-​​policy struc­ture). France’s new pres­i­dent, Nicolas Sarkozy, has placed strong empha­sis on France’s rela­tion­ship with the United States. And, he recently declared that he would soon under­take “very strong” ini­tia­tives on European defense and give France “its full place” in NATO.

Subsequently, Defense Minister Herve Morin said that he was “con­vinced that European defense will make no progress unless France changes its polit­i­cal behav­ior
within NATO.”

Then-​​general Dwight D. Eisenhower estab­lished NATO’s Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE) as the prin­ci­pal com­mand of NATO’s mil­i­tary forces in Paris in early 1951. The head­quar­ters remained in the Paris area until in February 1966, when French President Charles de Gaulle stated that the changed world order had “stripped NATO of its jus­ti­fi­ca­tion” for mil­i­tary inte­gra­tion and that France was there­fore jus­ti­fied in re-​​asserting its sov­er­eignty over French ter­ri­tory. Consequently, all allied forces within France’s bor­ders would have to come under
French con­trol by April 1969.

Soon after­ward, France stated that it was with­draw­ing from the NATO mil­i­tary struc­ture and that the NATO Headquarters, the NATO Defence College, and SHAPE and its sub­or­di­nate head­quar­ters must leave French ter­ri­tory by April 1967. (NATO Headquarters was based in Paris, in the Palais de l’OTAN, cur­rently occu­pied by the Universit Paris-​​Dauphine.)

Subsequently, NATO’s mil­i­tary head­quar­ters were relo­cated to Casteau, north of the Belgian city of Mons.

Despite hav­ing with­drawn from the NATO mil­i­tary struc­ture, French naval forces con­ducted bilat­eral exer­cises with other NATO navies, includ­ing the U.S. Navy. And, cer­tain U.S.-French weapon agree­ments were under­taken, espe­cially for upgrad­ing American-​​built tanker air­craft and ship-​​launched mis­siles. The French joined other NATO forces in the Bosnia con­flict as well as the 1991 assault on Iraq to free Kuwait, which Iraqi forces had taken over the pre­vi­ous summer.

Although the pre­vi­ous French gov­ern­ment was not sup­port­ive of the 2003 U.S. inva­sion of Iraq, the French did send forces to Afghanistan. However, ear­lier this year France with­drew its 200-​​strong spe­cial forces from Afghanistan; those ground troops were par­tic­i­pat­ing in the U.S anti-​​terror oper­a­tion code-​​named Enduring Freedom. The then-​​Defense Minister Michele Alliot-​​Marie said, “There is a gen­eral reor­ga­ni­za­tion of our [troops].” However, the 1,100 French troops engaged in the sep­a­rate, NATO-​​led International Security Assistance Force remain in Afghanistan.

U.S. forces have also worked with French forces in Djibouti in north­east Africa. (Djibouti is a small, impov­er­ished repub­lic just north of the Horn of Africa on the strait of Bab el-​​Mandeb. It is bor­dered by Ethiopia, Somalia, and Eritrea, an area of great polit­i­cal and eco­nomic turmoil.)

The United States has used the French military-​​air base in Djibouti for sev­eral com­bat and sup­port oper­a­tions in the region. Indeed, the case can be made that­de­spite its pub­lic stance?the French have been most help­ful to sev­eral U.S. mil­i­tary activities.

Norman Polmar

AF Brass Bristle at Drone Decision

Thursday, September 27th, 2007

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The Pentagon’s num­ber two offi­cial tried to throw cold water on this cat fight, but it seems that the fur is still flying. 

On Sept. 13, Deputy Secretary of Defense Gordon England for­warded a mem­o­ran­dum to the ser­vice chiefs and top Pentagon offi­cials reject­ing a rec­om­men­da­tion that the Air Force be the cen­tral author­ity for high and medium-​​altitude unmanned aer­ial vehicles. 

Air Force brass fig­ured since they do most of the fly­ing these days, the atmos­phere — and most every­thing in it — should be their domain. 

But over the last sev­eral years the Army has expanded its use of UAVs — par­tic­u­larly medium alti­tude ones — and they were dead-​​set against let­ting their sis­ter ser­vice tear con­trol of those assets out of their hands. 

What England did was to shift over­sight respon­si­bil­ity to the Pentagon, con­ven­ing a task force that will exam­ine UAV issues and map out a coher­ent strat­egy for all the ser­vices to develop drone needs, mis­sions and sys­tems, so resources aren’t wasted and there’s bet­ter coordination. 

But that doesn’t sit well with some top Air Force com­man­ders who see this as more of the same. 

“A com­mit­tee has often been described as a cul-​​de-​​sac down which good ideas are lured and then qui­etly stran­gled,” said Gen. Ronald Keys, com­man­der of Air Combat Command, dur­ing a panel dis­cus­sion with top Air Force gen­er­als in Washington. 

“My thought is let’s put some­body in charge of this, let’s hold him account­able, and let’s see if he can’t sort this out,” he said. 

The Air Force’s top gen­eral was more diplo­matic in his crit­i­cism, argu­ing that England’s deci­sion is still new and a lot could come of the task force devel­op­ing the UAV roadmap. 

“There has to be a bet­ter way to do this,” said Air Force chief, Gen. Michael “Buzz” Moseley. “I’m not unhappy with the steps that [England] has made in these first steps. There are more steps to go.“ 

Moseley pointed to the need for an over­all con­cept of oper­a­tions, stan­dard­iza­tion in how to com­mu­ni­cate and guide UAVs, a coher­ent way to man­age all the drones fly­ing around the bat­tle­field and what will be needed to pro­tect drones from an increas­ing air defense threat. 

“This is a recog­ni­tion of the envi­ron­ment that we have iden­ti­fied as Airmen because this bat­tle­space is some­thing we are very famil­iar with,” Moseley added. 

Drones have become an increas­ingly impor­tant part of mil­i­tary oper­a­tions over the last decade. The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have high­lighted the need for pin­point sur­veil­lance of enemy activ­ity, given the rugged ter­rain and inner-​​city war­rens insur­gents covet. 

The explo­sion of unmanned sys­tems has led to the recent debate over con­trol of the drone fleet, a mat­ter of par­tic­u­lar worry to the Air Force which is con­cerned that the grow­ing swarms of UAVs could endan­ger their manned and unmanned planes. 

On the other hand, Army offi­cials are reluc­tant to cede con­trol of their drones for fear they won’t be dis­trib­uted over­head where they’re needed most by com­man­ders in combat. 

“Now we’re in a sit­u­a­tion where the Army and the Air Force are essen­tially com­pet­ing for pro­duc­tion of UAVs. And that’s not good,” Keys said.

(more…)

The Body Armor Debate Hits PBS

Wednesday, September 26th, 2007

A quick head’s up here. My friend Paul Solman, the eco­nom­ics cor­re­spon­dent for PBS’s News Hour show, just broad­cast his pack­age on the body armor pro­cure­ment controversy.

While he doesn’t men­tion Defense Tech by name, he did afford us a screen shot and pulled doc­u­ments from my pre­vi­ous work on the story with Marine Corps Times newspaper.

Follow this LINK to watch the program.

– Christian

Anti-​​Piracy Missions for Global Hawk

Wednesday, September 26th, 2007

The com­man­der of U.S. Air Force assets in the Pacific said Tuesday hed like to see high-​​altitude, long-​​endurance sur­veil­lance drones like the RQ-​​4 Global Hawk per­form non-​​military mis­sions to pro­tect com­merce in the region.
rq4a-global-hawk.jpg

Gen. Paul Hester told a gath­er­ing at the Air and Space con­fer­ence in Washington hes been in dis­cus­sions with regional com­man­ders and Pacific Rim gov­ern­ments over the last two years to see how the Air Force could patrol eco­nomic choke points, such as the Strait of Malacca, using Global Hawk and other drones.

Theres a much broader array of things that we can do with ISR plat­forms, both RQ-​​1 Predators and Global Hawks, Hester said. Where does ISR play into the per­for­mance of all of us and our desire for peace and secu­rity in the Pacific to secure [and] guar­an­tee the economies of those coun­tries bet­ter through­out the Pacific? And how do we pro­tect those lines of com­mu­ni­ca­tion both air and sea lines of com­mu­ni­ca­tion? Almost half of the worlds oil passes through the Malaccan Straits every day.

Hester said hes been talk­ing to regional gov­ern­ments to see if drones could extend their ranges by stop­ping off at friendly bases some­thing he called gas-​​and-​​go operations.

Is there a way that we can use in a consortium-​​style oper­a­tion … in a way that we can share infor­ma­tion? he wondered.

In the end, though, Hester has a pretty good point. Its what for­mer Marine Commandant Mike Hagee called Phase Zero oper­a­tions. Those all-​​seeing eyes could keep poten­tially bad sit­u­a­tions from get­ting totally out of hand.

I call it the left end of the low end of oper­a­tions where we pro­vide those eyes, ears and infor­ma­tion for deci­sion mak­ers both mil­i­tary and polit­i­cal then we have the abil­ity to solve prob­lems early as opposed to wait­ing until later when weve got our guns drawn and were point­ing them at each other, Hester said.

The Global Hawk is sched­uled to deploy to Andersen Air Force Base in Guam in 2009 to replace the U-​​2 mis­sions over the Korean penin­sula. Hester said hes plan­ning a test-​​run of his eco­nomic secu­rity the­ory with a sin­gle Global Hawk next year to see what the Global Hawk can bring us.

Christian

Israeli Commandos in the Mix

Wednesday, September 26th, 2007

IDFcommandos.jpg

Well, the story of the Israeli incur­sion into Syria is begin­ning to get some gran­u­lar­ity. It now appears that Israeli com­man­dos may have been involved as well. What a totally gutsy move. And, if true, it also shows that Israel took the tar­get seri­ously enough to send in ground forces.

Our friends at Stratfor passed this along to us syn­the­siz­ing the lat­est infor­ma­tion threads:

Another leak appeared via the Sunday Times, this time with enough gran­u­lar­ity to con­sider it a gen­uine leak. According to that report, the oper­a­tion was car­ried out by Israeli com­man­dos sup­ported by Israeli air­craft, under the direct man­age­ment of Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak. It had been planned since June, just after Barak took office, and had been approved by the United States after some hes­i­ta­tion. The tar­get was in fact nuclear “mate­r­ial” pro­vided by North Korea, accord­ing to that leak.

All of this makes per­fect sense, save one thing. Why the secrecy? If the Syrians have nuclear facil­i­ties, the Israelis should be delighted to make it pub­lic. Frankly, so should the United States, since the Bush admin­is­tra­tion has always argued that nuclear pro­lif­er­a­tion to rogue states, includ­ing Syria, is one of the key prob­lems in the world. The Syrians should be spin­ning the story like crazy as well, deny­ing the nuclear pro­gram but scream­ing about unpro­voked Israeli-U.S. aggres­sion. The silence from one or two par­ties makes sense. The silence from all par­ties makes lit­tle sense.

Looked at dif­fer­ently, Israel and the United States both have gone out of their way to draw atten­tion to the fact that a highly sig­nif­i­cant mil­i­tary oper­a­tion took place in Northern Syria, and com­pounded the atten­tion by mak­ing no attempt to pro­vide a plau­si­ble cover story. They have done every­thing pos­si­ble to draw atten­tion to the affair with­out reveal­ing what the affair was about. Israel and the United States have a lot of ways to min­i­mize the impor­tance of the oper­a­tion. By the way they have han­dled it, how­ever, each has cho­sen to max­i­mize its importance.

Whoever they are keep­ing the secret from, it is not the Syrians. They know pre­cisely what was attacked and why. The secret is not being kept from the Iranians either. The Syrians talk to them all the time. It is hard to imag­ine any gov­ern­ment of impor­tance and involve­ment that has not been briefed by some­one. And by now, the pub­lic per­cep­tion has been shaped as well. So, why the dra­matic secrecy designed to draw everyone’s atten­tion to the secret and the leaks that seem to explain it?

Let us assume that the Sunday Times report is cor­rect. According to the Times, Barak focused on the mate­r­ial as soon as he became defense min­is­ter in June. That would mean the mate­r­ial had reached Syria prior to that date. Obviously, the mate­r­ial was not a bomb, or Israel would not have waited until September to act. So it was, at most, some pre­cur­sor nuclear mate­r­ial or equipment.

However, an inter­ven­ing event occurred this sum­mer that should be fac­tored in here. North Korea pub­licly shifted its posi­tion on its nuclear pro­gram, agree­ing to aban­don it and allow inspec­tions of its facil­i­ties. It also was asked to pro­vide infor­ma­tion on the coun­tries it sold any nuclear tech­nol­ogy to, though North Korea has pub­licly denied any pro­lif­er­a­tion. This was, in the con­text of the six-​​party nego­ti­a­tions sur­round­ing North Korea, a major breakthrough.

Any agree­ment with North Korea is, by def­i­n­i­tion, unsta­ble. North Korea many times has backed off of agree­ments that seemed cast in stone. In par­tic­u­lar, North Korea wants to be seen as a sig­nif­i­cant power and treated with all due respect. It does not intend to be treated as an out­law nation sub­ject to inter­ro­ga­tion and accu­sa­tions. Its self-​​image is an impor­tant part of its domes­tic strat­egy and, inter­nally, it can posi­tion its shift in its nuclear stance as North Korea mak­ing a strate­gic deal with other major pow­ers. If North Korea is pressed pub­licly, its will­ing­ness to imple­ment its agree­ments can very quickly erode. That is not some­thing the United States and other pow­ers want to see happen.

Whether the Israelis found out about the mate­r­ial through their own intel­li­gence sources or North Korea pro­vided a list of recip­i­ents of nuclear tech­nol­ogy to the United States is unclear. The Israelis have made every effort to make it appear that they knew about this inde­pen­dently. They also have tried to make it appear that they noti­fied the United States, rather than the other way around. But whether the intel­li­gence came from North Korea or was obtained inde­pen­dently, Washington wants to be very care­ful in its han­dling of Pyongyang right now. 

– Christian

San Fran Again

Wednesday, September 26th, 2007

Marines-Corps Seal Plaque M.jpgFirst USS Iowa. Then high school ROTC. Then the Blue Angels. Now the US Marine Corp. How much more dis’in can the US Military take from the city and ‘burbs by the bay?
A new adver­tis­ing cam­paign by the Marine Corp has a their Silent Drill Team (an absolutely amaz­ing dis­play of pre­ci­sion and dis­ci­pline) being filmed at var­i­ous places around the US. You can see the prod­ucts here.
When they wanted to film, on September 11 no less, on California Street in down­town San Francisco, the group was denied a per­mit to film. While ini­tial inquiries by the press to Stefanie Coyote, the exec­u­tive direc­tor of the San Francisco Film Commission, received the “unavail­able to com­ment” response, Coyote later said to KGO-​​TV that “traf­fic con­trol was the issue.“
“Traffic con­trol”.
So what did the Marines do? They went to the Golden Gate National Recreation Area for the final seg­ment of its “America’s Marines” TV com­mer­cial then pro­ceeded to New York City and filmed at Times Square where, appar­ently, traf­fic is less of an issue that in San Fran.
Yet another slap in the face of the US Military by a shrill anti-​​military area or a pru­dent exer­cis­ing of civil traf­fic con­trol by sage city elders?
You decide.
–Pinch Paisley

Bombs vs. Bayonets? USAF Picks Bombs

Tuesday, September 25th, 2007

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The Air Force may have adopted a doc­trine on irreg­u­lar war­fare — com­bat­ing insur­gents and guer­ril­las while try­ing to win the hearts and minds of a local pop­u­la­tion — but it’s not about to aban­don the advan­tages of air­power and sophis­ti­cated weaponry in the name of “fight­ing fair.”

Maj. Gen. Allen Peck, com­man­der of the Air Force Doctrine Development and Education Center, made that pretty clear today at the Air & Space Conference spon­sored by the Air Force Association in Washington, D.C.

Peck — not­ing that the Air Force’s irreg­u­lar war­fare doc­trine stip­u­lates that mil­i­tary actions must come sec­ond to influ­enc­ing the pop­u­la­tion you’re try­ing to win over — heard that an ear­lier speaker said that just using air­power, even on a legit­i­mate tar­get, gives the enemy a pro­pa­ganda opportunity.

The argu­ment made by the ear­lier speaker is that enemy troops will claim the Air Force attacks them from the air but will not come face to face to fight them.

It was obvi­ously not a ques­tion Peck usu­ally gets. Or, per­haps, one hed ever heard.

“We should eschew capa­bil­i­ties that the enemy doesn’t have and just drive up and put a bay­o­net in his chest because that’s the only capa­bil­ity they have?” Peck asked. “We’re using weapons from the air, and that’s cheat­ing? And we’re doing it at night and we have pre­ci­sion weapons and they don’t? I don’t even know how to respond to that.”

The fact is, Peck said, “I don’t want a fair fight.”

The Air Force drew up an irreg­u­lar war­fare doc­trine that was approved by Chief of Staff Gen. T. Michael Moseley on Aug. 24. A key part of the doc­trine is that while com­bat­ing and defeat­ing the enemy, you don’t things to turn the civil­ian pop­u­la­tion against you.

Legitimacy and influ­ence are crit­i­cal, accord­ing to the doc­trine, and “the bat­tle of arms” must work in har­mony with “the bat­tle for influ­ence,” but not become more important.

Still, its war­fare. And some­body has to decide when a par­tic­u­lar action is nec­es­sary — even if it may be viewed neg­a­tively by the population.

If the tar­get is a mosque, for exam­ple, “chances are some­thing like that, the approval level is going to be pretty high,” Peck said, with the per­son mak­ing that call likely being the one who will have to pub­licly jus­tify it later.

– Bryant Jordan