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Home » Cyber-warfare » Cyber Threat Matrix

Cyber Threat Matrix

cyber-threat-matrix.jpg

With 120 coun­tries now in the cyber arms race, intel­li­gence agen­cies around the world are work­ing to assess their offen­sive and defen­sive cyber capa­bil­i­ties. Developing cyber weapons does not require the mas­sive infra­struc­ture usu­ally asso­ci­ated with con­ven­tional arms. A cou­ple of PCs and a cou­ple of smart pro­gram­mers and you have all you need to cre­ate a cyber weapon.

Advanced Data Weapons have unique capa­bil­i­ties that make their detec­tion and elim­i­na­tion much more dif­fi­cult than con­ven­tional viruses and trojans.

 Self mor­ph­ing mali­cious code applications

 Electronic cir­cuitry destruc­tion capabilities

 Self encrypt­ing /​ decrypt­ing of mali­cious code

 External dis­rup­tion capac­ity of wire­less networks

 Exploitation of unre­ported vul­ner­a­bil­i­ties in com­mon com­m­mer­cial software

Working with Intelomics and Spy-​​Ops, two inter­na­tional cyber secu­rity com­pa­nies, we were able to col­lect enough data to con­struct the high level cyber threat matrix fea­tured above.

As with the con­ven­tional arms race, coun­tries with sig­nif­i­cant defense spend­ing have taken the lead in the cyber arms race. But that trend is rapidly chang­ing. In the past few years mali­cious code with advanced fea­tures has been cre­ated for under $3,500 USD. We are begin­ning to see the emer­gence of cyber arms deal­ers. The cost of cyber weapons are in range of poor and devel­op­ing countries.

Question: who is more dan­ger­ous in the cyber weapons race nation states of a sin­gle rogue hacker?

– Kevin Coleman

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December 17th, 2007 | Cyber-warfare | 271512 Comments »http://defensetech.org/2007/12/17/cyber-threat-matrix/Cyber+Threat+Matrix2007-12-17+19%3A02%3A25Ward You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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  1. C says:
    December 17, 2007 at 3:31 pm

    what i’m won­der­ing is why they keep using the word “cyber” to denote software-​​based “weapons”.

    Reply
  2. The Cenobyte says:
    December 17, 2007 at 3:56 pm

    A sin­gle rogue hacker is less likely to cause prob­lems than a group. However groups of hack­ers do not have to be from nation states, they are in fact far more likely to not be nation states. I would sug­gest that these peo­ple, often for higher are more dan­ger­ous than the nation states them­selves for the same rea­sons mercs. are almost always more dangerous.

    Reply
  3. D says:
    December 17, 2007 at 3:56 pm

    Sounds intel­li­gent but isn’t

    Reply
  4. az says:
    December 17, 2007 at 5:03 pm

    To me as a soft­ware engi­neer this arti­cle is sim­ply ludi­crously grotesque and has noth­ing what­so­ever todo with real­ity.
    It’s an embarass­ing dis­play of stark rav­ing incompetence.

    Reply
  5. Brian says:
    December 17, 2007 at 5:13 pm

    Aaargh! Make it where I can read it! Little pic­ture equals fad­ing interest.

    Reply
  6. Curtis says:
    December 17, 2007 at 11:10 pm

    A lone hacker is not that great a threat. A small group of hack­ers aren’t that great a threat, the dif­fer­ence is when you throw in human or onsite intel­li­gence. Government cyber­war­fare teams are slowed down by bureau­cracy when it comes to syn­chro­niz­ing with other forms of intel­li­gence.
    IE Suppose an angry employee at a large cor­po­ra­tion who’s just dying to release some crip­pling back­door tricks on his employee. A nation would send in a KGB or CIA style “Spook” to make con­tact and get the intel. Then thir­teen bureau­crats would have to sign off to allow the cyber team access to the info, with addi­tional regs writ­ten in to main­tain the cloak of Plausible deni­a­bil­ity. The spy agency would want more rules to pro­tect their spy and his source. The hack­ers can just walk up to the guy per­son­ally and get the info. Or they can go dump­ster div­ing behind the cor­po­ra­tions’ head­quar­ters, or any other num­bers of intel. The gov­ern­ment oper­ated Cyber team wouldn’t be allowed to do all that stuff, because that would be encroach­ing on other agen­cies turfs. They’d have their com­put­ers, and noth­ing else.
    A gov­ern­ment has the advan­tage of size and resources. The indi­vid­ual (or inde­pen­dent group of indi­vid­u­als) has the advan­tage of speed and most impor­tantly, agility. They don’t have a big set of rule books to play by, no higher ups look­ing over their shoul­ders, no Bureaucracy. They also have a much eas­ier time keep­ing thier secrets, as only the absolutely crit­i­cal num­ber of peo­ple are informed as to what exactly is going on.

    Reply
  7. Spy Guy says:
    December 18, 2007 at 4:55 pm

    I say Kevin’s pre­sen­ta­tion at SecTor in November and it opened my eyes. The feed­back at the con­fer­ences indi­cates this is a real and cur­rent issue. Does any­one know if it is ille­gal to cre­ate a cyber weapon. If not the black mar­ket for this type of code would be huge and draw the inter­est of those seek­ing to make quick money.

    Reply
  8. Kevin Coleman says:
    December 19, 2007 at 9:28 am

    A few thoughts. First ever con­sider the con­cept of mali­cious code being placed on a com­puter when the hard disk is imaged at the man­u­fac­turer? It hap­pend to over 1,800 Seagate exter­nal hard dri­ves ear­lier this year! Now take that out to a sev­eral mil­lion devices. The dis­cup­tion and loss of con­fi­dence could trig­ger a mas­sive sell off in the stock markets.

    Reply
  9. stephen russell says:
    December 31, 2007 at 12:22 am

    Should be in every Best Buy store etc show­ing the effect Hacking has on Web ser­vices
    & force more Industry wide changes.
    Make Info acess­able to the Public.
    Must know & for all Geek Squads alone.
    & all ISPs, Webhosting, Website devel­op­ers etc.
    VitalInfo.

    Reply
  10. Adv.DeepaMadhu says:
    February 21, 2008 at 1:44 am

    you havent given a clear expla­na­tion for cyber arm.I think it will make the arti­cle more informative.

    Reply

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