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Home » Cyber-warfare » Resilience Engineering

Resilience Engineering

cyberfight.jpg

If a cyber attack occurred tomor­row, could your orga­ni­za­tion con­tinue to func­tion? Odds are the answer is no.

In a sur­vey by Spy-​​Ops, less than 1% of orga­ni­za­tions have planned for a cyber attack. What is even more shock­ing is that less than 1% has busi­ness con­ti­nu­ity plans that address the threat of a ter­ror­ist attack. Both of these events are now fore­see­able threats and as such require all orga­ni­za­tions to cre­ate strate­gies to min­i­mize these risks. Failure to pre­pare for these events could bring charges of neg­li­gence from all of those who are neg­a­tively impacted.

For com­pa­nies in America, the issue of lia­bil­ity for cyber-​​attacks is a sig­nif­i­cant risk, said Edward Maggio of Spy-​​Ops.

Many busi­ness orga­ni­za­tions are wait­ing for spe­cific reg­u­la­tions to require action before they imple­ment pro­ce­dures and safe­guards to a cyber-​​attack. The real­ity is that with so many pub­li­ca­tions like this one and other like news arti­cle, aca­d­e­mic jour­nals or mate­r­ial from a con­fer­ence avail­able to the pub­lic now puts an orga­ni­za­tion on notice that a cyber-​​attack is foreseeable.

Since cyber-​​attacks are now fore­see­able acts that can crip­ple a busi­ness orga­ni­za­tion, the fail­ure to mit­i­gate an attack can rise to the level of neg­li­gence in U.S. civil courts, Maggio stated. He then went on to say: The we didn’t know defense is no longer work­ing in the realm of lia­bil­ity for cyber-​​attacks.

Resilience engi­neer­ing is a rel­a­tively recent term given to a col­lec­tion of activ­i­ties designed to cre­ate the abil­ity for orga­ni­za­tions to con­tinue to oper­ate under extremely adverse con­di­tions such as a cyber attack. These activ­i­ties are rapidly evolv­ing into what is sure to become indus­try Best Practices and some secu­rity experts believe it will soon become a reg­u­la­tory requirement.

Technolytics esti­mates that a one day inter­rup­tion of eBusi­ness could eas­ily exceed $35 bil­lion. If a cyber attack were to occur now or in the near future, it would surely send the already shaky econ­omy into a tail-​​spin. This is con­sid­ered Economic Warfare that is just one of the fif­teen modal­i­ties of UnRestricted Warfare (URW).

Business, Government and Industry need to build resiliency into their sys­tems and oper­a­tions if we are to be secure.

– Kevin Coleman

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February 13th, 2008 | Cyber-warfare | 383567 Comments »http://defensetech.org/2008/02/13/resilience-engineering/Resilience+Engineering2008-02-13+12%3A57%3A20Ward You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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  1. Charly says:
    February 13, 2008 at 9:02 am

    1) The issue of lia­bil­ity is some­thing I’d never thought about, very inter­est­ing.
    2) I sus­pect that the pre­pared­ness num­bers are so low because non-​​international SMEs were included; from a macro­econ per­spec­tive it’s ok if the Indiana Motorparts Co. is out of busi­ness for a while.…
    3)Numbers such as Technolytics remind me of the hey­days of the first inter­net boom…if we only get 1% of the poten­tial global mar­ket for wire­less bras, we’ll pro­vide a 500% ROI. A one day inter­rup­tion of eBusi­ness, exactly who and how is any­one going to achieve this?
    4) I sus­pect the biggest con­crete threat would be for Mastercard-​​Visa-​​AMEX to all lose their pay­ment trans­ac­tion capac­ity, it only takes so many days before peo­ple start tak­ing food, if their cards don’t work. The ques­tion is whether there is any attack that could accom­plish this, I ven­ture to say, no.

    Reply
  2. stephen russell says:
    February 13, 2008 at 9:25 am

    I say think ahead & plan now.
    The need is NOW or soon.
    Why wait.
    Get orga­nized now & do Sim Runs.
    Then U can see your IT IS weak­ness alone.
    ALL com­pa­nies.
    esp Fortune 500 size.
    or MNCs.
    NO excuse.
    Can impact Bottom line & Security alone.

    Reply
  3. Joe says:
    February 13, 2008 at 9:51 am

    Wellpoint aka Blue cross does have a busi­ness con­ti­nu­ity site.
    I am in it right now. Former NSA mon­i­tor­ing site. Kind of cool actually.

    Reply
  4. DC2 Jennings says:
    February 13, 2008 at 10:25 am

    You guys are look­ing on a very micro level with idea that a sin­gle per­son will take down a sin­gle piece of the global net­work. To me, cyber attacks can be used as a method of con­duct­ing war.
    Right now China (DA will love read­ing this) has probed and attacked numer­ous web­sites. This includes shut­ting down the offi­cial White House web­site.
    So what if they have the capac­ity (and it seems quite plau­si­ble) to crip­ple our entire net­work infra­struc­ture? You are talk­ing about revert­ing back to the old paper trans­ac­tion way of doing things which we are really no longer equipped for.
    With our mil­i­tary at bare bones as it is, how easy would it be to ramp up pro­duc­tion on every­thing and cre­ate gov­ern­ment con­tracts for out­sourc­ing pro­duc­tion with the abil­ity to com­mu­ni­cate over a net­work?
    So imag­ine one day of zero dol­lar trans­ac­tions in the US. A state spon­sor of such an event such as China could cause crip­pling effects to our econ­omy. Further erod­ing our abil­ity to con­duct war oper­a­tions.
    Spare fibers mean noth­ing if the equip­ment sit­ting in the racks are locked up and can’t func­tion prop­erly.
    DC2

    Reply
  5. Kevin says:
    February 13, 2008 at 12:16 pm

    Adam and other inter­ested. We saw for the very first time the threat of a cyber attack listed in finan­cial fil­ings required by the SEC as a qual­i­fy­ing state­ment in the area of risks that would neg­a­tively impact the com­pa­nies abil­ity to meet the pro­jected num­bers. One of the Big 4 audi­tors signed was involved in the fil­ing. The com­pany is not a eBusi­ness but used the web for cus­tomer care and order track­ing infor­ma­tion as well as work­ing with their B2B chan­nel part­ners. This indi­cated that a cyber attack is a fore­see­able risk and since one pub­li­cally traded com­pany iden­ti­fied the risk and the Big 4 audi­tor agreed — the rest will soon have to fol­low.
    Now for your com­ment about ISPs capa­bil­i­ties. AT THIS TIME A DDoS at the 21GB per sec­ond scale against the back­bone would impact per­for­mance. A DDoS attach would take hours if not days to block all the IP addresses. THERE IS NO SILVER BULLET to block or recover form a DDoS. BTW — a STORM based bot­net with the 50 to 80 mil­lion com­put­ers cur­rently infected could gen­er­ate in excess of 46GB to 65 GB per sec­ond attack rate.
    ADAM if you really want to get into the details drop me an email and we can get on the phone. kgcoleman@​technolytics.​com

    Reply
  6. kevin says:
    February 13, 2008 at 12:28 pm

    Charly
    It already hap­pened in Estonia. The backs were hit so had by the 21gb per sec­ond DDoA attack that credit and debit card pro­cess­ing was dis­rupted dur­ing the three week attack!

    Reply
  7. The Cenobyte says:
    February 13, 2008 at 3:43 pm

    This is all crap. It’s really just scared tac­tics from the insur­ance com­pa­nies and secu­rity con­trac­tors. Those of us that acually run sys­tems for large com­pa­nies (Apparently I am allowed to tell peo­ple that I work for a ‘Major International Financial Institution’) know that this is all pretty much crap. Attacking sin­gle sytems with large bot or storm attacks can be bad spe­cially if that busi­ness relies heavly on the inter­net (Most busi­nesses don’t, most run via LANs) AND didn’t plan for that kind of attack.
    Ever won­der why Microsoft, Amazon, Ebay, Slashdot, google, etc never go off line. Do you think it’s because they are not a tar­get? Or do you think it’s more lik­ley they have sys­tems in place to deal with the attacks.
    And as I have said before, give me a break on the global dis­as­ter because of inter­net based attacks. It’s a fan­tacy designed to make money for peo­ple that should know better.

    Reply
  8. Charly says:
    February 14, 2008 at 3:58 am

    Hi Kevin, DC2 etc.,
    Yes, cyber attacks do occur, but on a micro level. Why China gets brought up as a poten­tial attacker of US infra­struc­ture I haven’t got the faintest idea — except to scare peo­ple. If the U.S. can­not do busi­ness for a day/​week, China would lose out too. China’s growth then gets com­pro­mised, which leads to increased inter­nal desta­bi­liza­tion — not some­thing the Chinese lead­er­ship wants. So, yes, the Chinese are good, but why on earth would they do it?
    As to Estonia, I have been told the attacks were far more seri­ous then was pub­licly reported, but again, there’s a vast dif­fer­ence between hav­ing degraded per­for­mance and noth­ing — and I’ve yet to read/​hear any­thing that would con­vince me that any­one has the capa­bil­ity to achieve ‘noth­ing’. But, I’m more than inter­ested in hearing/​seeing otherwise.

    Reply
  9. mike says:
    February 14, 2008 at 6:56 am

    Kevin– you should start pay­ing Ward and Christian for the ad space, if you’re not already. Hope “Resiliency Engineering”™ buys you a new plasma widescreen.

    Reply
  10. Kevin says:
    February 14, 2008 at 11:02 am

    Let’s get this out right now. I get no finan­cial reward from doing this. In fact about 1/​3 of my time is giv­ing closed brief­ings (FREE) to gov­ern­men­tal agen­cies and pri­vate orga­ni­za­tions on inter­net threats. I was proud of what we accom­plished at Netscape and I find it nec­es­sary to help defend what i/​we had a hand in cre­at­ing. So there is my moti­va­tion. I do not want the U.S. to go through what Estonia did. I do not want to see the hun­dreds of orga­ni­za­tions I cre­ated their eBusi­ness strate­gies be hit and harmed by such attacks.

    Reply
  11. DC2 Jennings says:
    February 14, 2008 at 11:16 am

    Are we in pol­i­tics here?
    Why is it that when some­one has a cred­i­ble mes­sage, and attacks against that mes­sage are refuted, we attach the char­ac­ter of the mes­sen­ger?
    I guess we haven’t learned our les­son yet.
    DC2

    Reply
  12. Kevin says:
    February 14, 2008 at 1:10 pm

    Great Point DC2
    People are in denial just how vul­ner­a­ble we are all. Most peo­ple do not real­ize that last year, a new soft­ware vul­ner­a­bil­ity was reported every 69 sec­onds and that was a big improve­ment over the year before. In one closed door meet­ing with a Fortune 500 com­pany the mood and tone changed from “it can’t be that bad” to “It is so bad — much worse that I ever imag­ined.” We are in a crit­i­cal sit­u­a­tion now. Public and pri­vate coop­er­a­tion is needed to respond to this global threat and the inter­ac­tion on here is typ­i­cal to that which is going on at a very high level in cor­po­rate board­rooms and exec­u­tive offices around the beltway.

    Reply
  13. Blake says:
    February 14, 2008 at 2:38 pm

    To go a step fur­ther, I believe it is accept­able for risk to be iden­ti­fied. The busi­ness world has done a excep­tional job of risk man­age­ment. I am assum­ing that the DD (not for politi­cians who have already proven oth­er­wise) is man­ag­ing this risk. To avoid con­fu­sion I defined RM as
    –iden­ti­fy­ing a pos­si­ble out­come
    –deter­mine the cost fix mit­i­gate
    Capability/​intent is part of the risk evaluation.

    Reply
  14. ron pond says:
    February 14, 2008 at 5:43 pm

    then why is it that the only place I’ve seen this write up is in or on mil​.com. get it out there. put it in the media, newspapers.put it out over the inter­net. not only mil​.com but microsoft ‚google,any and all pub­lic infor­ma­tion areas. peo­ple need to be led to water before they can drink. are haven’t you noticed

    Reply
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    good points.

    Reply
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    May 29, 2008 at 11:27 am

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    ALL com­pa­nies.
    esp Fortune 500 size.
    or MNCs.
    NO excuse.

    Reply
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