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Home » Polmar's Perspective » Potential Russian Launch Base in Cuba

Potential Russian Launch Base in Cuba

cuban-missile-crisis.jpg

Even as a Russian naval task force enters the Caribbean for joint exer­cises with Venezuelan forces, and a pair of Russian Tu-​​160 Blackjack strate­gic bombers fly from a base in the Kola Peninsula to Venezuela, the Russian gov­ern­ment is dis­cussing the pos­si­bil­ity of a satel­lite launch facil­ity in Cuba.

Revelation of the inter­est in Cuba came from Anatoly Perminov, the head of the Russian space agency Roscosmos, in a September state­ment. This may be the lat­est move by Russian prime min­is­ter (and for­mer pres­i­dent) Vladimir Putin to reestab­lish Russia as a key “player” on the world political-​​military scene.

The Russian inter­est in the Caribbean-​​South America region is reflected in the high-​​level Russian del­e­ga­tion vis­it­ing the area, led by Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin. Perminov is part of the Sechin delegation.

(Sechin had vis­ited Cuba on 30–31 July of this year for talks with Raul Castro and, pos­si­bly, the ail­ing Fidel Castro.Putin fol­lowed up Sechin’s visit with a 5 August announce­ment that Russia should “restore [its] posi­tion in Cuba and other countries.”)

The Soviet Union-​​Russia was the prin­ci­pal polit­i­cal and eco­nomic sup­porter of Cuba from the early 1960s through the demise of the USSR in December 1991. Indeed, Soviet attempts to estab­lish Cuba as a strate­gic mis­sile and mil­i­tary base led to the Cuban mis­sile cri­sis of 1962 when the United States and Soviet union came closer to a nuclear exchange than at any other time dur­ing the 45-​​year Cold War. After the demise of the USSR sup­port for Cuba ended, caus­ing con­sid­er­able eco­nomic hard­ship in Cuba.

A major satel­lite launch facil­ity in Cuba would per­mit plac­ing satel­lites in cer­tain orbits that can­not be done from Russian launch sites: Easterly launches close to the equa­tor are the most effi­cient because of the earth’s rota­tion, max­i­miz­ing the pay­load that a launch vehi­cle can boost into orbit. Such a launch facil­ity and its sup­port infra­struc­ture would be a major source of employ­ment and for­eign invest­ment for the Cuban economy.

From the Russian per­spec­tive, beyond the polit­i­cal impact of hav­ing a major tech­ni­cal facil­ity less than 100 miles from the U.S. coast, it eas­ily enables the reestab­lish­ment of a major intel­li­gence col­lec­tion capa­bil­ity in Cuba. (From the mid-​​1960s until 2002 the Soviet mil­i­tary intel­li­gence agency — the GRU — oper­ated a mas­sive col­lec­tion facil­ity at Lourdes, Cuba. At its peak oper­a­tion it was manned by more than 2,000 tech­ni­cians, both mil­i­tary and civilian.)

Russia’s inter­est in the Western Hemisphere far exceeds Cuba and Venezuela, as the Moscow regime seeks to sell arms to other South American coun­tries, gain access to South American resources (which is now sub­ject to major Chinese efforts), and to develop improved com­mer­cial ties to an area that many feel has long been ignored by the United States.

While some Americans will see a satel­lite launch facil­ity in Cuba as a “cover” for the pos­si­ble use of such launch stands for mil­i­tary mis­siles, that con­cern is a non-​​starter. U.S. satel­lite sur­veil­lance and the pres­ence of numer­ous American tech­ni­cians and busi­ness­men in Cuba, as well as vis­it­ing edu­ca­tional groups, would make such a clan­des­tine effort impossible.

Further, because of the non-​​military nature of such a facil­ity — which would take sev­eral years to estab­lish — the U.S. gov­ern­ment would be hard pressed to claim that it vio­lated the 1962 agree­ments between Moscow and Washington that pro­hib­ited strate­gic weapons — mis­siles and bombers — from being installed in Cuba.

As the Russian gov­ern­ment reacts to American anger over Russian inter­ven­tion in Georgia, the con­tin­u­ing expan­sion of NATO, and U.S. plans to install bal­lis­tic mis­sile defense sys­tems in Eastern Europe, a non-​​military satel­lite launch instal­la­tion in Cuba could be con­sid­ered a valid action by the Moscow regime. Of more con­cern to American lead­ers should be the arms sales to Venezuela, espe­cially the expected sale of up to five advanced diesel-​​electric sub­marines of the Project 877EKM or Varshavyanka series, known in the West as the improved Kilo class.

These sub­marines and other arms sales — and joint Russian-​​indigenous weapon pro­grams — will enhance Russia’s influ­ence and access to resources in South America. And that sit­u­a­tion could greatly harm U.S. interests.

– Norman Polmar

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September 30th, 2008 | Polmar's Perspective | 409632 Comments »http://defensetech.org/2008/09/30/potential-russian-launch-base-in-cuba/Potential+Russian+Launch+Base+in+Cuba2008-09-30+10%3A13%3A45Ward You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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  1. David says:
    September 30, 2008 at 11:57 am

    It seems like now we could nego­ti­ate an agree­ment with Russia to say out of their back­yard if they stay out of ours. We would have to give up sta­tion­ing troops and mis­sile defense in coun­tries bor­der­ing them and they would give up all the efforts they are doing in the Caribbean and central/​south America. It would be a small price to pay for not hav­ing Russian troops on our bor­ders. I expected some­thing like this to hap­pen after the whole Georgia busi­ness and our involve­ment in the Ukraine. We ought to trade with those nations but hold back any mil­i­tary support.

    Reply
  2. mwfair says:
    September 30, 2008 at 11:59 am

    Kourou is being con­fig­ured to launch Soyuz rock­ets. Why would the Russians want Cuba? For one, there are lots of inhab­i­tants down­range, not a good fea­ture for a launch site.

    Reply
  3. SMSgt Mac says:
    September 30, 2008 at 2:09 pm

    RE: “It seems like now we could nego­ti­ate an agree­ment with Russia to say out of their back­yard if they stay out of ours. We would have to give up sta­tion­ing troops and mis­sile defense in coun­tries bor­der­ing them and they would give up all the efforts they are doing in the Caribbean and central/​south America. It would be a small price to pay for not hav­ing Russian troops on our bor­ders.“
    Obviously not writ­ten by some­one chan­nel­ing JFK. Chamberlin per­haps, but def­i­nitely NOT JFK.
    Sorry, but that com­ment gives me the Willies.

    Reply
  4. stephen russell says:
    September 30, 2008 at 8:25 pm

    Relive 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis but hide behind “satel­lite” launches.
    Yea, right.
    Is Russia that stu­pid or what.
    Great space­port Cuba is.
    But for satel­lites & why Now vs in the 70s esp under Carter make moves for this Then vs Now.
    Odd tim­ing.
    Remember Cuba Oct 1962

    Reply
  5. Yibin says:
    October 1, 2008 at 5:32 am

    Space launch facil­ity doesn’t make much sense. Venezuela is closer to the equa­tor and less likely to be in the path of major hurricanes.

    Reply
  6. JJ says:
    October 1, 2008 at 8:16 am

    Well, David, if “tit for tat” is the rule, does the Russian inva­sion of Georgia mean we get to invade Cuba or Venezuela when­ever we want?

    Reply
  7. Dave says:
    October 1, 2008 at 8:18 am

    Now would be the per­fect tim­ing for this incur­sion into not only Cuba and Venezuela, but also into Central America. We (in our vast stu­pid­ity) are too wrapped up in our own prob­lems (econ­omy, energy, war, pol­i­tics etc.) to prop­erly address this danger.

    Reply
  8. Fallout says:
    October 1, 2008 at 8:34 am

    It’s a counter move by Russia and our missle defense. The only thing is. I dont care for a dieing man/​commy to have a missle!

    Reply
  9. tommy says:
    October 1, 2008 at 8:59 am

    this is what big­otry gets us, we don’t like the very peo­ple we stole their land from so we don’t deal with them, well ladies, the rus­sians will be happy to deal with the peo­ple we so hate and call them iile­gals, evevn thou they were here before us. stu­pid asses.

    Reply
  10. tommy smith says:
    October 1, 2008 at 9:09 am

    weep!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    Reply
  11. Adam West says:
    October 1, 2008 at 9:59 am

    I hope I’m wrong but I believe we are becom­ing an impe­ri­al­is­tic gov­ern­ment by invad­ing coun­tries that were of no threat to this great nation. We’ve gone into Panama, Granada, Iraq, and now we have Africom and the major­ity of the Africans do not want any mil­i­tary ties to the US because they believe more prob­lems will exists. Africa is the rich­est con­ti­nent on earth with the high­est pop­u­la­tion of poor peo­ple. They fear the US is after their resources and fur­ther to use the Africans as slave labor.
    The US Govt wants ties with the Ukraine, how­ever the major­ity of the peo­ple in that coun­try want no part of it as they do not want US mil­i­tary in their coun­try. Ukraine peo­ple have much closer ties with the Russians than their cur­rent gov­ern­ment.
    In my opin­ion, Russia has the same rights as our great nation and that is to pro­tect its sov­er­eignity. We want mis­siles in Poland and we believe it’s fine while Russia wants to move closer to US bor­ders but we don’t agree!

    Reply
  12. Virgil Mathis says:
    October 1, 2008 at 1:14 pm

    with the bank­ing issues of the United States and social prob­lems of the united states, and the Presidential elec­tion process of the united states and with our Military spread around the world as thin as it is I THINK we as Americans may be sit­ting on a (pow­der key)meaning that other so called enemy coun­trys are wait­ing to find the weak pointin American History to Launch an Attack,
    As being a viet­nam vet­eran ‚I would keep an eye on Russia in south America and what they may be up to close to the USA SIMILAR to the Cuban sit­u­a­tion when pres­i­dent Kennedy was in office and use of an early warn­ing sys­tems for a Missiles defence launch May not be fast enough TO secure our coun­try.
    And our Military forces are spread out to thin as other con­flicts around the world that draws more troops , I Think this weak pos­ture need to be Reengineered and start the Draft to Beef up the Military ‚start­ing with all of those young men that we see ‚who walk with their pants hang­ing off of their Ass,
    We load them up and make MARINES and Soldiers out of them call­ing them the (BUTT Platoon )Special Forces If you are caught wear­ing your pants where your under draws are show­ing the new pub­lic law Allow you to be sent to the mil­i­tary BASE for the BUTT PLATOON Special Forces.
    this solves a National prob­lem, But I Mean it

    Reply
  13. Pete says:
    October 1, 2008 at 2:22 pm

    This is ‘tit for tat’ we nego­ti­ate with Poland and such to put up the mis­sile defence sys­tem right on the Russian bor­ders, well, they do the same under the guise of a satel­lite launch facil­ity.. and there was one per­son who com­mented that our ‘satel­lite mon­i­tor­ing’ would or could rule out any hid­den facil­ity. You are so wrong, the mod­ule assem­bly build­ing for the Energia sys­tem and mis­siles pow­ered by the same was NEVER found until two years ago an Aviation Week and Space Technology edi­tor was given a tour of the facil­ity by the Soviets.…guess where it is? Right under the city of Moscow…that is how good our spies etc were …we couldnt even find where they assem­bled what today is the largest launch pay­load lifter in the world…

    Reply
  14. buddy says:
    October 1, 2008 at 10:29 pm

    Jack Powers: You are a FIRST class HEAD CASE.That’s Why are you so filled with FEAR.

    Reply
  15. DC2 Jennings says:
    October 2, 2008 at 6:07 am

    Why do peo­ple always bring left/​right pol­i­tics into these dis­cus­sions? What’s worse is their gram­mar and spelling clearly indi­cate their igno­rance and intel­li­gence lev­els.
    The Russians want to put a space launch facil­ity in Cuba? Great. Who really cares? I think they learned from the Cuban Missile Crisis what they should not put on that country’s soil. Besides, that will give us an excuse to put a new early warn­ing radar in the Keys.
    I do agree with most of the com­men­tary focus­ing on what a creek we are in right now and our pad­dle might not be bro­ken but it is def­i­nitely cracked.
    On a dif­fer­ent note, I won­der where we will be bor­row­ing that $800B from? Hmmm, China and rich mid­dle east­ern princes is pre­sume. But we should fear for our lives that Russia is build­ing a space launch facil­ity. Yep, that’s con­cern num­ber one.
    DC2

    Reply
  16. Nathan Sawyer says:
    October 2, 2008 at 11:19 am

    OOPS! Entered wrong email address (isaw1​@​yahoo.​com should have been isaw1​6​9​@​yahoo.​com on last post­ing. Sorry about that.
    Thanks
    Nathan Sawyer

    Reply
  17. MOM says:
    October 2, 2008 at 11:30 am

    Let us con­sider FIRST ‚AT THE VERY BEGINING,
    why Cuba have never been con­sid­ered in the plan of dis­mount­ing of east­ern Europe pack­ige coun­tres
    well known as Berlin wall.Think about that my friends,.….….

    Reply
  18. NSawyer says:
    October 2, 2008 at 11:49 am

    First: I enlisted in the US Air Force. This post­ing cor­rects the sec­ond sig­na­ture block below post­ing enti­tled: “My Friends and Neighbors through­out the USA”.
    The sec­ond sig­na­ture block of that post­ing was added by some­one else and is incor­rect and was not meant to be part of the orig­i­nal post­ing. To set the record straight, that block is cor­rected to read:
    Nathan Sawyer, Vietnam Vet

    Reply
  19. Ptsfp says:
    October 2, 2008 at 12:34 pm

    Russia is just “retal­i­at­ing” for the US involve­ment in Georgia. They are try­ing to once again make Cuba a thorn in our side. They are also just stir­ring up Latin America.
    They, like the Germans in World War 2, are try­ing to make bases of sup­port in Latin America. It’s a strate­gic move.
    I just think that it is funny that we are cur­rently watch­ing a hijacked Ukrainian ship loaded with t-​​72 tanks for Russia and hold­ing it so they can get a strike team in posi­tion. See, the love affair can’t be com­pletely over…

    Reply
  20. Jimbo Jones says:
    October 2, 2008 at 5:15 pm

    Well that dis­cus­sion went well i see. All we need now is Roy Smith to top it off with inco­her­ent rambling.

    Reply
  21. DC2 Jennings says:
    October 2, 2008 at 6:03 pm

    Jimbo, couldn’t have said it bet­ter myself.
    DC2

    Reply
  22. Greg says:
    October 3, 2008 at 8:25 am

    What in the world does Obama have to do with Cuba? Why are you mix­ing pol­i­tics with a Russian space launch sta­tion. What are you ram­bling about, and why in this thread?

    Reply
  23. rigma says:
    October 5, 2008 at 8:44 pm

    This proves Russia’s involve­ment with Iran!
    And Russia wants to us down again…

    Reply
  24. angel says:
    October 23, 2008 at 1:18 am

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    con­verter for mac!
    http://​www​.macd​v​drip​per​.org
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    Reply
  25. Mike says:
    December 17, 2008 at 9:22 pm

    I think we should Position a sub or two in close range of there ship and let them know intim­i­da­tion of any kind will not be ACCEPTED BY THE WORLDS LEADING NATION. GET REAL AND GROW A SACK.…MIKE

    Reply

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