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Home » Polmar's Perspective » Keeping Marines Off the Beach

Keeping Marines Off the Beach

beach-assault.jpg

As the new admin­is­tra­tion takes office, the defense bud­get will come under exten­sive scrutiny. A recent edi­to­r­ial in The New York Times enti­tled “How to Pay for a 21st-​​Century Military” calls for a halt to the F-​​22 Raptor fighter, the DDG 1000 Zumwalt–class destroyer, SSN 688 Virginia–class sub­marines, and MV-​​22 Osprey pro­grams, among oth­ers.

Some “big dol­lar” pro­grams could be cut, in part to demon­strate the seri­ous­ness of the Obama admin­is­tra­tion to reform the U.S. mil­i­tary establishment. But there will be many pro­grams at risk that have less vis­i­bil­ity. One of the lead­ing can­di­dates for can­cel­la­tion is the long-​​gestating Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle (EFV), the advanced “amtrac” that has been under devel­op­ment for almost two decades.

The Marine Corps now has ten of the EFVs — that des­ig­na­tion being assigned in 2003 to replace the more pro­saic but use­ful AAAV — Advanced Amphibious Assault Vehicle, which in turn replaced the LVT — Landing vehi­cle Tracked — des­ig­na­tion in 1982.

The EFV can carry 17 Marines on land or sea, at a speed up to 45 mph on land and about 25 knots at sea.  The EFVs range is 325 miles on land and 65 nau­ti­cal miles at sea.

But those spec­i­fi­ca­tions are the “rub.” How does the EFV fit into the Marines Corps con­cept of Operational Maneuver From The Sea (OMFTS)? That con­cept calls for launch­ing an assault from 25 to 100 nau­ti­cal miles from the objec­tive — which may be an inland loca­tion, such as an air­field, cap­i­tal, or mil­i­tary base. Recent stud­ies by the Defense Science Board (DSB) and Naval Research Advisory Committee (NRAC) call for amphibi­ous ships to stand off­shore at least 50 miles because of the threat of land-​​launched cruise mis­siles (as struck the Israeli frigate Hanit oper­at­ing off the Lebanese coast in 2006).

Thus, launch­ing an assault from 25 or more nau­ti­cal miles off­shore would see the assault troops flown in by MV-​​22 tilt-​​rotor STOVL air­craft and CH-​​46E and CH-​​53E heli­copters, the for­mer at more than 300 mph and the heli­copters at more than 100 mph. And, of course, they could land troops on an inland objec­tive.

Follow-​​up equip­ment that was not air landed would be brought ashore by Air Cushion Landing Craft (ACLC), with a new design being devel­oped, and the few remain­ing LCU land­ing craft.

Where does the EFV fit in? It can­not be launched from more than about 30 miles off­shore because of its lim­ited water­borne range if it is to return to the launch­ing ship; it could be launched far­ther out if it is to then climb ashore and oper­ate as a per­son­nel car­rier. And, even at 30 miles the tran­sit time would be more than an hour, or longer if the seas are rough. If too rough, of course, the EFVs could not be employed.


After the EFVs “hit the beach” they must then travel to the objec­tive. At that point the troops will have been “in the box” for at least an hour. Once ashore, an EFV oper­at­ing as a per­son­nel car­rier has the ben­e­fit of a rel­a­tively heavy gun arma­ment — a 30-​​mm can­non and 7.62-mm machine gun. But it will lack sup­port from armored vehi­cles — tanks or even the Marines val­ued LAV (Light Armored Vehicle) — mak­ing the EFV par­tic­u­larly vul­ner­a­ble to the widely pro­lif­er­ated anti-​​tank weapons found in the Third World.

The offi­cial cost of the EFV is $10 mil­lion per vehi­cle, with sev­eral hun­dred planned to replace the exist­ing AAV-​​7 series. The total EFV force will not be fielded until at least 2020.

With some “bugs” still to be worked out after two decades of devel­op­ment and the high cost per vehi­cle, cou­pled with the oper­a­tional lim­i­ta­tions or at least ques­tions about how the EFV fits into the OMFTS con­cept, the EFV must be con­sid­ered a highly vis­i­ble tar­get for admin­is­tra­tion bud­get cutters.

– Norman Polmar

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December 29th, 2008 | Polmar's Perspective | 426277 Comments »http://defensetech.org/2008/12/29/keeping-marines-off-the-beach/Keeping+Marines+Off+the+Beach2008-12-29+20%3A49%3A44Ward You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

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  1. Charles says:
    December 29, 2008 at 5:18 pm

    I sup­pose it would have been bet­ter to design a pair of vehi­cles: one purpose-​​made trans­port made to fit the EFV, and the EFV to fight on land. I mean, once you hit the beach you’re not likely to need the EFV to go back out into the ocean. But it’s too late now.
    Also, isn’t that pic­ture an AAAV-​​7?

    Reply
  2. ELP says:
    December 29, 2008 at 5:34 pm

    The EFV is unin­spired junk. Killing it should be an easy deci­sion.
    http://​www​.google​.com/​s​e​a​r​c​h​?​c​l​i​e​n​t​=​s​a​f​a​r​i​&​a​m​p​;​r​l​s​=​e​n​-​u​s​&​a​m​p​;​q​=​E​F​V​+​m​a​r​i​n​e​+​p​r​o​b​l​e​m​s​&​a​m​p​;​i​e​=​U​T​F​-​8​&​a​m​p​;​o​e​=​U​T​F-8

    Reply
  3. Ryan says:
    December 29, 2008 at 7:42 pm

    “I sup­pose it would have been bet­ter to design a pair of vehi­cles: one purpose-​​made trans­port made to fit the EFV, and the EFV to fight on land.“
    I agree. What is the puropse of a high-​​speed amphibi­ous armored vehi­cle when you can shut­tle bet­ter vehi­cles ashore faster by hovercraft?

    Reply
  4. J fields says:
    December 29, 2008 at 8:22 pm

    Bring back the old LVT-​​4 designed Amtrack,But replace the Hull with Balistic alu­minum mate­r­ial instead of rolled steel to lighten it but give it stenght, beef up the track sys­tem and engine, Strap 3 badazz Yamaha 350 HP Monster Outboards on the back ramp (with a quick release mechin­ism and floata­tion devices for retreival)Mount a 25mm Bushmaster gun on it (Like the LAVs have for Logistical and Mechanical com­pat­i­bil­ity, Charge a 1/​4 of what the EFV cost and be done with it.
    It may look ugly as hell but prob­a­bly get the job done.

    Reply
  5. Wes says:
    December 30, 2008 at 10:43 am

    “I sup­pose it would have been bet­ter to design a pair of vehi­cles: one purpose-​​made trans­port made to fit the EFV, and the EFV to fight on land.“
    I agree. The motion is car­ried!
    A few moths ago I read about the MPC, Marine Personnel Carrier pro­gram. It was to pro­vide the Corps with a wheeled APC for inland oper­a­tions, and would have replaced the LAV. I don’t know the cur­rent sta­tus of the pro­gram, but the Patria AMV was a lead­ing con­tender, due to its advanced armor and mine sur­viv­abil­ity.
    http://​con​tract​ing​.tacom​.army​.mil/​m​a​j​o​r​s​y​s​/​m​p​c​/​m​p​c​.​htm

    Reply
  6. Richard says:
    December 30, 2008 at 11:13 am

    The ole AAV7A1 has been a good tool for the Marine Corps and with mod­i­fi­ca­tions has served well, but at an age of 35 years, it’s a lit­tle long in the tooth. EFV (was AAAV) will pro­vide the Marine Corps with bet­ter agility, fire­power and an up to date plat­form to accom­plish the mis­sion with min­imul loses. Even at a cost of $10M it is a bar­gin to be able to hit the beach and con­tinue as a mech­a­nized force. With air­borne assault your afoot! How many EFVs can be pur­chased for the cost of ONE F-​​22A or One DDG-​​1000?

    Reply
  7. Joe says:
    December 30, 2008 at 11:37 am

    Seems time and tech­nol­ogy are against land­ing on a beach. The Airborne no longer uses glid­ers, why do the marines need amtracs?

    Reply
  8. Brian says:
    December 30, 2008 at 11:39 am

    If the thing doesn’t work after two decades of devel­op­ment, it’s time to scrap the pro­gram.
    We can make F-​​22s, nuclear air­craft car­ri­ers, trips to the moon, air­borne lasers, and BluRay DVD play­ers in less than two decades. There’s no rea­son we can’t make a damn boat that can drive on land. If the pro­gram isn’t work­ing by now, it’s not the tech­nol­ogy, it’s the leadership.

    Reply
  9. Firebolt says:
    December 30, 2008 at 3:48 pm

    I have often thought that the fol­low­ing would be an inter­ested mix for a 21st cen­tury Marine Force:
    The Combat Boat 90 (CB90) for Littoral Ops, Amphibious Raids, Anti-​​Piracy work and
    A vehi­cle such as the Bronco All Terrain Tracked Carrier (ATTC) for Troop Carrier, Logistics, & Fire Support. It’s Amphibious, comes in
    a num­ber of vari­ants, and can be air and/​or sea lifted. Seem like a good fit for expe­di­tionary operations.

    Reply
  10. Jeff says:
    December 30, 2008 at 6:00 pm

    With the basic oper­a­tions plan for marines being defined that way it does seem box them into the idea of can­cel­ing the EFV. I think the bet­ter alter­na­tive would be to have destroy­ers equipped to shoot down cruise mis­siles to pro­vide close sup­port to land­ing oper­a­tions. It strikes me as a bad idea to give up the mil­i­tary power nec­es­sary for seiz­ing beach head and har­bors needed for estab­lish­ing sup­ply lines.
    The notion that the marines be used for land locked oper­a­tions are a bit ridicu­lous, the fact that they have a spe­cific pur­pose is the rea­son they strug­gle to adapt to cur­rent bat­tle­fields. The sim­ple fact is as a spe­cial­ized force they really shouldn’t be fight­ing that sort of mis­sion. It makes the marines more like the army, cre­at­ing an unnec­es­sary redun­dancy that costs more.
    The aerial-​​centric approach has its advan­tages in avoid­ing cer­tain logis­ti­cal needs but it has its short com­ings too. For exam­ple they will end up need­ing more light vehi­cles capa­ble of being air lifted in to pro­vide that nec­es­sary sup­port. Something the 82nd Airborne has been ask­ing for awhile. Money is going to be spent some­where, its a mat­ter of where and how, just cut­ting a project won’t elim­i­nate the need the project attempted to fulfill.

    Reply
  11. MVC2K says:
    December 31, 2008 at 7:36 am

    Should the EFV go into pro­duc­tion? I think not — nor will it prob­a­bly be allowed to. However, to think of it as a fail­ure is also not quite cor­rect. I have watched this pro­gram closely over the past 10 years and in that time GD has striven to adapt its design to the Marines ever chang­ing mis­sion and require­ments. It became less of a new vehi­cle and more of a sort of Apollo pro­gram for mil­i­tary ground vehi­cle devel­op­ment. Almost every com­po­nent of the vehi­cle has gone through mul­ti­ple rad­i­cal redesigns. As a result of these changes, the Marines have gained sig­nif­i­cant tech­nol­ogy advances in mil­i­tary vehi­cle devel­op­ment.
    The pro­gram has yielded valu­able tech­nol­ogy spin­offs at every level. Its highly accu­rate sta­bi­lized tur­ret is being adapted for all sorts of appli­ca­tions. Its con­trols and dis­plays tech­nol­ogy will prob­a­bly find its way into many future ground vehi­cles. Even some of its more hum­ble com­po­nents will find their way into future sys­tems. For exam­ple its embed­ded train­ing com­po­nent has capa­bil­i­ties that are too good to die, and in fact have already been incor­po­rated into the tur­rets that are des­tined for other plat­forms.
    There is lit­tle doubt that the Marines and GD know that this pro­gram will be shut down. The Marines have shuf­fled off por­tions of the devel­op­ment respon­si­bil­i­ties to what are essen­tially gov­ern­ment moth­ball groups. GD in turn has re-​​targeted por­tions of its devel­op­ment staff to other endeav­ors. What would be tragic, both for the Marines and GD, would be for this pro­gram to die instead of using this as an oppor­tu­nity to cap­i­tal­ize on the tech­nol­ogy advances this pro­gram has achieved.

    Reply
  12. Jeffrey says:
    December 31, 2008 at 10:23 pm

    I think MVC2K has a good point. Its often over looked that the accom­plish­ments of later projects are really the accom­plish­ments of “failed” projects. Especially when it comes to tech­nol­ogy there is a lot of trial and error, to bring a piece of tech to fruition. The marines more than the other mil­i­tary branches have strug­gled to get fund­ing and develop their next gen­er­a­tion of equip­ment. With the EFV we hap­pen to have a lot of lit­tle suc­cess that sadly don’t add up to a suc­cess­ful project. Can the project but use what’s been learned.

    Reply
  13. stephen russell says:
    January 2, 2009 at 9:32 am

    Use CV22 to keep Marines off beach or rethink EFV.
    Use Soviet Ekranoplane Tech for new EFV

    Reply
  14. Emastro says:
    January 2, 2009 at 3:44 pm

    Dump the EFV– beach-​​party marines went out with Inchon. If we didn’t use beach landinds against the Vietnamese with all their coast­line– we will never use it.
    Oh– make about $100 bil­lion dol­lars and sell Camp Pendleton — or at least the beach areas– that is some of the most valu­able real-​​estate in the coun­try. Time to give it up.

    Reply
  15. Emastro says:
    January 2, 2009 at 3:45 pm

    Dump the EFV– beach-​​party marines went out with Inchon. If we didn’t use beach land­ings against the Vietnamese with all their coast­line– we will never use it.
    Oh– make about $100 bil­lion dol­lars and sell Camp Pendleton — or at least the beach areas– that is some of the most valu­able real-​​estate in the coun­try. Time to give it up.

    Reply
  16. ohwilleke says:
    January 2, 2009 at 6:40 pm

    One inter­est­ing pos­si­bil­ity that the EFV could facil­i­tate would be to deploy land­ing craft not by ship, but by sea­plane.
    A sea­plane adapted C-​​130 or larger cargo plane (not unprece­dented in U.S. mil­i­tary his­tory, there is also a com­pa­ra­ble plane in the Russian mil­i­tary), could land in a lake or off a coast, deploy the EFVs, and depart. Similarly, EFVs leav­ing a the­ater could seek out the clos­est open water lake or sea and be picked up there.
    This would make pos­si­ble an ele­ment of sur­prise. Cruise mis­sile bear­ing oppo­si­tion forces would not know the exact point of EFV deploy­ment with­out inside infor­ma­tion until moments before the EFVs were deployed, and then, only with sophis­ti­cated sen­sors aimed at all pos­si­ble sea­plane land­ing sites with­out inter­rup­tion 24/​7.
    This would elim­i­nate the need to para­chute in an advance team of engi­neers to cre­ate a ser­vi­ca­ble field airstrip. It would have a longer range than an MV-​​22 or heli­copter, less sophis­ti­cated sys­tems to main­tain and oper­ate (pos­si­bly with com­bat dam­age) than an MV-​​22, and would allow the deployed Marines to have a sys­tem bet­ter armored and armed than a dune buggy or glo­ri­fied jeep upon arrival– mak­ing the seaplane/​EFV com­bi­na­tion attrac­tive for res­cu­ing expa­tri­ots from hot spots (some­thing Marines have done far more often than amphibi­ous assaults and a sit­u­a­tion where armor that can’t be brought in by heli­copter or MV-​​22 is very help­ful). Also, unlike para­troops, Marines deployed by seaplane/​EFV would have an way out, which is use­ful in mis­sions where imme­di­ately tak­ing ter­ri­tory is not the objec­tive.
    The EFV would be supe­rior to other sys­tems in this role, because a land­ing craft and land vehi­cle are too heavy to fit both in scarce air­craft space, and exist­ing sys­tems are too slow in the water to get to shore from a rea­son­able dis­tance out.
    The EFV, deployed by sea­plane and kept at sea, could also be used as an anti-​​piracy plat­form in lieu of a coast guard patrol boat sized vehi­cle, where there are no other local naval forces able to respond promptly, and as a fire sup­port plat­form for forces in coastal or lake­side areas.
    I’m also skep­ti­cal of a need to be 50 miles rather than 25–30 miles out. The issue is not weapon range, but tar­get iden­ti­fi­ca­tion. The cur­va­ture of the Earth implies that the hori­zon is never more than about 25–30 miles out near ground level. If you can deploy from over the hori­zon, only very sophis­ti­cated oppo­si­tion forces (with satel­lites, sea based radar, etc.) should be able to detect the deploy­ing ship. Also, a ship can start 50 miles out, move in to 25 miles, deploy every sin­gle one of its EFVs in on go (rather than shut­tling them with land­ing craft in sev­eral waves) and return to a posi­tion fur­ther out at sea, in a three hour win­dow or so, cho­sen by the deploy­ing ship. While this isn’t the half hour or so win­dow that might be avail­able to a sea­plane deploy­ing an EFV, it also isn’t a ter­rif­i­cally long time — and the 25–30 miles of breath­ing room prob­a­bly make mis­sile coun­ter­mea­sures more effec­tive than they would be if the deploy­ing ship is just 5 miles from shore. And, the ben­e­fits of being able to bring your entire force to bear all at once rather than doing it in mul­ti­ple waves, are con­sid­er­able. Even if sen­sors don’t catch the deploy­ing ship the first time, the oppo­si­tion forces will start pay­ing more atten­tion when they have a few armored vehi­cles on their beach, putting future deploy­ment waves at greater risk.
    While the EFV would be expen­sive, it fills a more mis­sion advanc­ing niche than, for exam­ple, the Crusader self-​​propelled artillery sys­tem or the Comanche heli­copter sys­tem did, and it is also worth not­ing that the Marines have been design­ing mul­ti­ple new ships around the EFV that they have been expecting.

    Reply
  17. pedestrian says:
    January 3, 2009 at 10:12 am

    Here is another ques­tion. If the old Amtrack vehi­cles are to remain in ser­vice while EFVs are elim­i­nated from the bud­get, how is that going to sur­vive in the envi­ron­ment like Iraq? Of course there are MRAP-​​ATV to be in ser­vice, but will those be enough in quan­ti­ties? What about brown water afairs like Vietnam War where there are lack of bridges forc­ing vehi­cles to cross or engage a cross river bat­tle? I think EFV has other roles. One last ques­tion. If the Amtrack vehi­cles are no longer use­ful, what is the point of keep­ing those now? Why not trash them away now to save main­te­nance fees and just give M-​​2/​M-​​3 to the Marines?

    Reply
  18. Ed says:
    January 3, 2009 at 9:14 pm

    The Soviets looked into build­ing sub­marines designed as land­ing ships a num­ber of times. Project 621 and 748 were the most ambi­tious and would have car­ried a few hun­dred troops as well as two dozen vehi­cles (tanks, APCs, trucks, etc).
    With the NY Times call­ing for a can­cel­la­tion of the Virginia-​​class, those ship­yards would have a lot of idle capacity.

    Reply
  19. Byron Skinner says:
    January 3, 2009 at 10:54 pm

    Good Evening ohwilleke,
    You have some work­able ideas but I see a few prob­lems. First off like all insur­gents how do you sep­a­rate the pirates from the fish­er­man. The only way that I can see is to board the sus­pected ves­sels and look, see. Traditional but effec­tive in sort­ing the bad guys from the good guys. This would be dif­fi­cult after an AH64 Apache attack. There would be lit­tle but float­ing fiber­glass and blood on the water. Also the intel­li­gence guys wouldn’t be all that happy either.
    Secondly, we don’t have any LCS’s and at $400 mil­lion a copy I think we would run into the same prob­lem we have with the Burkes, to expen­sive to risk, the pirates are a prob­lem now. They are tak­ing an aver­age of four prizes a week in the Gulf of Aden and more yet off the East Coast of Africa now and it appears that their infra­struc­ture for infor­ma­tion and mis­sion plan­ning abil­ity is get­ting bet­ter. If al Qaeda are not yet cur­rently involved with this oper­a­tion, and there is every indi­ca­tor, that they are they soon will be. Pirates are bet­ter invest­ment with a higher return then the stock mar­ket or oil futures.
    Thirdly is cost, we already have the Tarawa’s and are retir­ing them with about 1/​3 of there ser­vice life unused. What the Tarawa’s bring to the table is a ten­der, WWII con­cept, that can plant itself in open water and oper­ate, no friendly port is required. The Tarawa’s come already equipped with a wet well that could hold and trans­port six open ocean patrol boats, bar­racks facil­i­ties for 400 Marines, Soldiers or Spec. Ops., a large brig, a 74 bed hos­pi­tal with two oper­at­ing the­aters, flag facil­i­ties (you know this would require both a gen­eral and an Admiral), a robust air defense ( down­stairs would be cov­ered by SSN’s), and of course upstairs there is a flight deck with oper­at­ing UH-1’s, AH1’s, SH-​​60 and CV-22’s and AV-8’s VTL’s every­day oper­a­tions, If AH64’s, CH-​​47 or H-​​60 for a land oper­a­tion were wanted, fly ‘em on board. Everything needed is right there.
    ALLONS,
    Byron Skinner
    Open ocean fast patrol boats are cur­rently being made by Northrop Grumman for other coun­tries, they are an off the shelf item. The weapons pack­age that I pro­posed again is off the shelf and would in effect make these patrol boats sea going AC-130’s.

    Reply
  20. Charles says:
    January 4, 2009 at 4:50 am

    Bring back those lit­tle Patrol, Coastal boats, and as some­one said before assign them to ten­ders and such.
    Always won­dered why we couldn’t turn the FFGs into some sort of interim LCS…but that’s another thing for another time.
    As for EFV it’s always nice to test­bed techs; but if gov­ern­ment knew noth­ing would come of it why put out?

    Reply
  21. byron Skinner says:
    January 4, 2009 at 3:31 pm

    Good Afternoon Charles,
    You idea of using FFG’s (Perry Class) frigates as ten­ders has been done before by the Navy in the 90’s when the Hurricane Class Spec. Ops. boats were attached for sup­port and refu­el­ing to FFG’s for deploy­ments across the Pacific. It kinda worked and kinda didn’t. One of the issues was that the Hurricanes didn’t have any laun­dry facil­i­ties and they had to use the FFG’s which over loaded the sys­tem.
    There are two prob­lems with using the Perry’s as LCS at 4,200 gross tons. they are about 50% to big and they are being decom­mis­sioned because of age and lots of use. The Perry’s that are left are much in demand for drug oper­a­tions on the west coast of South America and in the Gulf of Mexico. Now that the Gulf od Mexico is chang­ing oper­a­tional con­trol from SOUTHCOM to NORTHCOM I would guess the demands on the FFG’s will increase.
    The ten­der con­cept worked well for the U.S. Navy dur­ing the Second World War in the Pacific where they served as mobile bas­ing, refu­el­ing, rearm­ing and resup­ply points for sub­marines, PT Boats and Seaplanes. As the war moved so could these vital facil­i­ties. The Pirates are mobile and in order to con­tain them we also have to be mobile. The prob­lems faced in the South Pacific are not unlike what we are see­ing today in the Gulf of Aden and off the East Coast of Africa.
    ALLONS,
    Byron Skinner

    Reply
  22. cain97 says:
    January 5, 2009 at 6:26 pm

    Lots of great ideas regard­ing com­bat­ing pirates, etc. Still, it seems like the over­all opin­ion is that the EFV needs to be scrapped. Performing well deck train­ing and oper­a­tions, I could see no way that we would actu­ally con­duct oper­a­tions where the EFV would really come in use. The A dozen lightly armored traks from the back of a sit­ting duck (LSD/​LPD) at $10 mil a piece seems like a waste of money. CIWS/​RAM, etc are spray and pray, no mat­ter how many you stick onboard.
    This is one area where the Marines really need to rethink a core mis­sion area. They are so flex­i­ble in other areas, this one really needs to be pushed. Sunk cost bias is one of the great fail­ings with our cur­rent “peace-​​time” pro­cure­ment system.

    Reply
  23. ohwilleke says:
    January 6, 2009 at 3:31 pm

    The $10 mil­lion a unit num­ber is prob­a­bly a real­is­tic plan­ning num­ber for the EFV. It is high com­pared to a roughly com­pa­ra­ble non-​​amphibious Stryker (a hair under $1 mil­lion each with infla­tion) plus the cost of a fleet of land­ing craft. But, you get increased func­tion­al­ity.
    But, the $400 mil­lion per unit for the LCS is not only a first in class, but a first in ship con­cept price, which led to a lot of med­dling in the pro­cure­ment process. This is unlikely to be matched in sub­se­quent units of the win­ner of the con­test between the two cur­rently con­tend­ing mod­els, par­tic­u­larly in light of the fact that LCS quan­ti­tites are con­tem­plated to be in the sev­eral dozens. I sus­pect that some­thing closer to $100 mil­lion to $200 mil­lion per unit is a likely mass pro­duc­tion scale cost.
    One good place to cut is the MV-​​22, which is a need, but is turn­ing out to be a nar­rower niche than antic­i­pated mostly because of its small pay­load. There are def­i­nitely MV-​​22 mis­sions that aren’t equally well served by a heli­copter or a C-​​27 (both of which have far lower acqui­si­tion costs per unit), but not enough to jus­tify more than one or two of them per amphibi­ous group.

    Reply
  24. Byron Skinner says:
    January 7, 2009 at 2:51 pm

    Good Morning ohwilleke,
    You rise some good points and I would like to address a cou­ple of the. The EFV is not an AFV. A Navy sur­vey of amphibi­ous land­ing at Iwo Jima and Okinawa in WWII showed that most of the amphibi­ous land­ing craft never made it off the beach. Those that did made it only a few hun­dred yards before being taken out. The Marines attempted in 2006 in the Anbur to use the AAAV7 with deadly results, dead Marines. None of these alu­minum skinned vehi­cles are a match for PRG’s and that includes the Stryker, which has been a $3.5 bil­lion loser for the Army. At $10 mil­lion a pop the EFV is just to expen­sive for the lim­ited roll it would play in ay future amphibi­ous assault.
    The LCS. I have to dis­agree with you on the price. If past expe­ri­ence is a guide the $400 mil­lion is a base price. I of the impres­sion that the size of this ves­sel is way to large for the “Green Water” mis­sion the Navy has planned. Ships more the size of WWII Destroyers at 1,500–1,800 gt. and Escort Size Destroyers of less the 1,500 gt. per­formed the inside fight very well. This should be the gross ton­nage that the Navy should be look­ing for.
    What ever the decis­sions made the LCS is still way into the future. Even if a ship can be set­tled on and a price arrive at and pro­duc­tion started it would be at least 2015 before the first LCS’s would be pt into the fleet. Like the CV-​​22 and the F-​​22 the LCS devel­op­ment pro­gram has taken to long. If I recall the Sea Shadow has been around for nearly 20 years now. We are at war now and need these sys­tems 8 years ago, not 8 years for now.
    ALLONS,
    Byron Skinner

    Reply
  25. leesea says:
    January 14, 2009 at 11:45 pm

    I read that the Marines expect the EFV to spend only 20% of its time at sea. To my way of think­ing, the EFV is far too costly already and too much of that cost is for water­borne oper­a­tions. The Marine have or will have good AFVs (MRAP lite or sim­i­lar) which should be lifted from ship to shore in high speed lighter­age, dis­charged to pro­ceed as a land war­fare vehi­cle. The speed of mod­ern lighters should more than com­pen­sate for the sup­posed stealth­i­ness of the EFV. I am not talk­ing about LCACs or the follow-​​on hov­er­craft here. The French Navy is already test­ing at rev­o­lu­tionay hispd cat the L-​​Cat and there are much more capa­ble hov­er­craft which could be used.

    Reply
  26. Malina says:
    July 11, 2009 at 4:07 pm

    Hey. Do what you feel in your heart to be right — for you’ll be crit­i­cized any­way. You’ll be damned if you do, and damned if you don’t.
    I am from Mauritius and , too, and now am writ­ing in English, tell me right I wrote the fol­low­ing sen­tence: “Excessive sweat­ing stop your sweat­ing prob­lem; today.“
    Thank you very much :o . Malina.

    Reply

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