I’ll try to stay off my soapbox, but two points are worth mentioning. First, as noted by McNeal, is that the primary function of the federal government is to provide for the common defense — not health care, green initiatives (readers: please don’t try to combine global warming projections into security, as some are wont to do. It’s lame) and corporate bailouts.
Second, and perhaps more importantly, is the fact that our powerful military exists to prevent a war as much as it exists to win a war. Si vis pacem, para bellum, if you will. One can argue that our strategic nuclear deterrent accomplishes this well enough, but I’m not convinced. I’d rather spend 5%-6% of our GDP on ensuring we never have to suffer through another WWI or WWII. One can argue Vietnam, Iraq, et al… but neither of those conflicts came close to the cost of the major theater level wars — both in lives and treasure lost.
Back in the day, people ridiculed Reagan’s “Peace through strength.” When December 1991 rolled around, no one was laughing.
–John Noonan
Remember Dick Cheney? No, not the vice president, the Secretary of Defense. Well, back in 1991 he cancelled the A-12 “Avenger II” program because of massive cost overruns. But JUST NOW the program was legally terminated. Here’s an excerpt from an article running at Military.com:
The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit has affirmed a judgment upholding the Navy’s termination for default of a contract with McDonnell Douglas and General Dynamics for the A-12 stealth attack aircraft.
In 1988, the Navy awarded the $4.8 billion fixed-price contract for development of the A-12, which was to be a stealthy, carrier-based attack aircraft. The program encountered serious technical difficulties, and in 1991, after the Department of Defense refused to approve additional funding for the program; the Navy terminated the contract because it was substantially over budget and behind schedule.
On appeal for the third time, the court of appeals on June 2, 2009 affirmed the 2007 judgment of Court of Federal Claims Judge Robert B. Hodges Jr., holding that the Navy had properly terminated the contract for default.
Under the decision, the contractors are required to repay the government more than $1.35 billion in principal for funds advanced under the contract, plus interest accruing since 1991, for a total sum that currently approaches $2.8 billion.
Man, I’d hate to be working for McDonnell Douglas these days. Oh, wait …
When the Department of the Navy temporarily runs low on spending money, it can’t put routine carrier maintenance on a Visa card, nor take out a Citibank mortgage on a hospital ship to pay huge fleet fuel-oil invoices. It has to defer, or forego altogether, things really needed now. The USN is currently suffering a shortfall of almost $420 million in working cash for non-warfighting necessities for the remainder of fiscal year 2009. Defense analysts suggest that this problem, which isn’t entirely new or unique to the Navy, arose because the Pentagon doesn’t fully budget in advance for routine needs and predictable upkeep costs. Senator Jim Webb (D-VA), a former Secretary of the Navy, and President Obama are among those trying to change that.
In the meantime, ships not now in combat theaters are having cruising time cut back, and the air wings are facing reduced flying hours. While more training is going on in land-based simulators instead, this could lead to reduced readiness when the units deploy overseas — and it sends a visible, bad message to the warriors about who does or doesn’t support them.
Thousands of personnel transfers normally done in the summer months are being delayed into FY10 (which starts on October 1, 2009), when more money is expected to be available to cover moving expenses. This means parents with kids will have to relocate in the middle of the upcoming school year, which puts added domestic strains on everyone involved. Retention bonuses are being abruptly discontinued, at least for a while, in all but the most prized specialties. While Navy retention has been good lately due to unemployment in the private sector, those bonuses were counted on by many Sailors and dependents to help make ends meet. The USN has been striving to better support good home life, secure from unnecessary service-enforced disruptions. Now it seems like all involved are losing ground.
The Navy is also cutting back on or eliminating sending ships to yearly Fleet Weeks and harbor festivals along America’s three coasts. Given how hard the Navy worked to try to engage the public on the importance of seapower, during the recent “Conversation with America” program, the conspicuous absence of haze-gray vessels and aircraft this year in so many seaports is bound to erode the benefits of that engagement process. It also means that the general public will become yet more socially isolated from its Sailors, who normally pour ashore during Fleet Weeks to tour and shop and mingle, with positive local media coverage that this year will not happen.
These seem like good reasons for the Department of the Navy to stop relying on mid-year supplementals, whose prompt full approval by Congress is never assured, to pay for normal day-to-day expenditures. The hidden or soft costs of this practice are very real costs.
The Armys 2010 budget request reflects the services shift of focus from the battlefields of Iraq to those of Afghanistan, with a heavy emphasis on delivering more rotary wing aviation, aerial drones and from fielding FCS equipped armored brigades to beefing up the combat power of its light infantry.
The Army requested $142 billion in the base budget for 2010 and an additional $83 billion to fund ongoing combat operations in the 2010 Overseas Contingency Operations request, previously known as emergency supplementals. The budget request fully funded the Armys expansion to 547,400 active duty soldiers.
The massive FCS program is, of course, the hot budget issue when it comes to the Army and with Gates declaration that he would cancel the bulk of the program last month, the Armys modernization strategy will shift from fielding 15 FCS equipped BCTs to building a versatile mix of networked BCTs that leverage mobility, protection, precision, information and fires in order to be effective across the full spectrum of combat operations, said Lt, Gen. Edgar Stanton, the services budget chief, in a briefing to Pentagon reporters.
The 2010 budget accelerates spin-outs, new technologies such as small ground robots and sensors, to all of the Armys 72 BCTs, active and reserve, an effort that will probably take until 2025. Gates directed the Army to stop its expansion of BCTs at 45 instead of the originally planned 48. Stanton said the QDR will determine exactly what type of BCT mix the Army needs, as far as heavy, light infantry or Stryker, and he hinted it might include a requirement for more Stryker equipped brigades. I would expect the QDR to call for more Stryker brigades as they proved their versatility in irregular warfare during fighting in Iraq.
He said the service has already begun to relook the requirements for new armored vehicles to eventually replace the Abrams, Bradley, M-113 legacy fleet, and as per Gates guidance, will incorporate lessons from the ongoing wars in the vehicles design, specifically in providing greater protection against IEDs. Stanton made it clear that he didnt much like Gates characterization of FCS as a Cold War relic. The Army expects to deliver a concept proposal for new vehicles by late summer. Given such an abbreviated timeline for rolling out a new plan, its difficult to imagine that the service will do much more than tweak the existing FCS vehicle design.
I pressed Stanton on that issue and he claimed the Army will start with a blank sheet of paper, but he also said it would be prudent to take into account the vehicle development work thats already been done. The Army could even revisit the whole wheels versus tracks debate, he said, although that doesnt seem very likely. Whatever the final design it would incorporate some form of the V-shaped blast deflecting hull design characteristic of the MRAP series of IED protected vehicles. He said the Army expects to come up with more details of where it goes in terms of new armored vehicles during the QDR strategic review.
The Army had originally planned to replace its Kiowa Warrior scout helicopter with the new Armed Reconnaissance Helicopter, but the ARH program was recently cancelled so $235 million was included in the budget request to upgrade the Kiowa fleet. The Army is also spending around $500 million to train 150 new helicopter crews, and buy new Apaches and Chinooks for flight training, in an effort to bolster Army aviation in Afghanistan. Stanton said the mountainous terrain and lack of roads in Afghanistan puts a premium on helicopter transport.
The Army said its 2010 development and procurement budget is driven primarily by armor and sensor upgrades to the legacy armored fleet, newer helicopters and buying more aerial drones that will advance the Armys adaptation to combat environments where remote weapons platforms and intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance capabilities play an increasingly prominent role.
Additional 2010 development and procurement highlights include:
$2.9 billion for further development of the FCS small unmanned ground vehicles, robots, small aerial drones, the information network and the non-line of sight missile system, the FCS spin-outs.
$738 million for development of the WIN-T information network.
$1.2 billion for 79 UH-60M Black Hawk helicopters.
$1.06 billion for 36 CH-47F Chinook helicopters, of which 25 will be new builds and 14 remanufactured aircraft.
$736 million for 36 Sky Warrior drones, the Army variant of the Predator family armed drone.
$370 million for remanufacture of 8 AH-64 Apaches to the Longbow Block 3 configuration.
$326 million for Lakota Light Utility Helicopters.
It’s a downsized Navy that, save for pirate sniping, is having a hard time grabbing the limelight in a ground-intensive war (sorry, contingency operation) against Islamic extremists.
So, you’ve just got to be ready for the knife when the bean counters try to find money for jeeps and cannons and wonder why you’re spending $2 billion on subs, right?
Well, when the budget finally shook out for 2010, the Navy didn’t stand in terrible shape. A few airplanes cut here, a ship or two there, but in the end, the sea service’s top line increased by about $10 billion over 2009 to more than $156 billion, with another kicker of $15.3 billion for “overseas contingency operations” as the new GWOT is called (and most of that money is for Marine Corps vehicles, ammo and personnel).
Navy procurement jumped $5.7 billion to $44.8 billion, while research and development funding slumped $400 after the VH-71 presidential helo was axed.
Winners: DDG-51 with a one ship build in 2010 that restarts the line; one SSN-774 and some advanced money kicked in to build 12 Virginia class subs; two TAKE transport ships and another Joint High Speed Vessel; two more STOVL JSFs for a total of 16 funded in ’10; one more C-40A (the admirals will love that); and six P-8A multi-mission aircraft beginning the Lot 1 LRIP buy and 325 new Advanced Precision Kill Weapon System missles designed to compliment the Hellfire rotor wing missiles.
Losers: DDG1000 one ship killed; LPD-17 no ships in 2010; one Maritime Prepositioning Force (Aviation) ship cancelled for a zero buy in 2010; and one MPF Mobile Landing Platform ship deep sixed for a zero buy; cut in half the number of Super Hornets from 18 to nine purchased in 2010, three MH-60Rs cut to 24, one E-2D cut for two; two KC-130Js cut for a zero buy and four T-6A trainers cut for a 38 aircraft buy and one MQ-8B drone cut for a five Fire Scout buy to match LCS needs.
The Navy is devoting $495 million to a ballistic missile sub replacement program for the 2030 timeframe — the money will be used for propulsion and missile compartment research, LCS gets $361 million, $572 million for the CH-53K and $1.7 billion in R&D funds for the JSF program.
The Corps is finally going to get more of its Growler Internally Transportable Vehicles with 48 purchased in 2010 and 52 new Humvees. The Corps gets the lion’s share of OCO funding, buying 18 LW155s, 933 Humvees and — drumroll please — ZERO MRAPs.
Navy officials said a lot of this will of course be dependent on Congresses concerns and also the mulling over the next Quadrennial Defense Review.
We’ll have a lot more detail in the coming days as we analyze deep into the numbers, but that’s a quick wrap up of what’s going to the Blue-Green team.
Well, Pentagon chief Robert Gates finally unveiled the 2010 top line budget with a few nips and tucks here, a smidgen of add ons there, but at the end of the day, entirely predictable and verging on DOA on Capitol Hill.
I loved his line “it is important to remember that every defense dollar spent to over-insure against a remote or diminishing risk or, in effect, to run up the score in a capability where the United States is already dominant is a dollar not available to take care of our people, reset the force, win the wars we are in, and improve capabilities in areas where we are under invested and potentially vulnerable. That is a risk I will not take.”
I agree with this wholeheartedly, but I will say, it’s dangerous to not take seriously prospective threats and deny potential adversaries a “fair fight” — even if it’s a really unfair fight. 2010 SecDef Budget Statement
During the Q&A session, Gates deep sixed HAC-D Chairman John Murtha’s idea of a split tanker buy, setting up a big fight on Capitol Hill and he stopped the F-22 buy at 187, sure to draw the ire of powerful lawmakers from Georgia and other Raptor states.
Lawmakers had a hard time applauding Gates’ plan, with both Murtha and Skelton saying basically “it’s a nice first step, Mr. Secretary, but we’re the ones who appropriate here.
I think the CSAR-X decision makes sense, but I worry that it will severely delay a new bird for rescuers. Gates said he wanted a joint solution, but in the end, CSAR is usually joint, even if it resides in the Air Force.
I’m cool with the missile defense numbers — I like ABL as a technology demonstrator and a test bed for spinoffs and I can see where he’s coming from on FCS…I just worry that as the Army is faced with the decision to buy new versions of the Bradley and M1 and other armored vehicles in the future, it will wind up being more expensive than if it were part of a single program — even one as troubled at FCS is now.
And he couldn’t help taking a swipe at the Army on it either:
We will retain and accelerate the initial increment of the program to spin out technology enhancements to all combat brigades. However, I have concluded that there are significant unanswered questions concerning the FCS vehicle design strategy. I am also concerned that, despite some adjustments, the FCS vehicles where lower weight, higher fuel efficiency, and greater informational awareness are expected to compensate for less armor do not adequately reflect the lessons of counterinsurgency and close quarters combat in Iraq and Afghanistan.
I’ve always said that FCS makes for a great R&D program that can spin off into the current force and press the technological limits to better inform decisions when it’s time to build replacement vehicles, so as long as this happens, I think we’ll be in good shape. But you just wait until Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) gets his hands on the authorization bill and fights for his prized NLOS-C system. Gates’ reform attempt could face death by 1,000 cuts.
I’m not as smart on the DDG-1000 vs. DDG-51 vs. LCS vs. whatever the heck naval ship system…smarter people on this site can try and help me understand the best way to go on that one. Seems to me, though, that our Navy might be a tad small and a tad vulnerable and superiority of the seas has stood powerful nations in better stead than superiority of the air. But I’m agnostic.
It also surprises me he canned the “Presidential Helo” program, though you gotta bet the Sikorsky folks in Connecticut are jumping for joy on that one.
We’ll have a bunch more coverage here and at DoD Buzz on this as the service-specific budgets roll out and the R-1s and P-1s become available. We’ll do a document dump here when they do and continue with interviews and analysis. Our boy Winslow Wheeler says it’s more of the same:
For the defense Departments broken acquisition system, the Secretarys endorsement of the Levin McCain procurement reform bill (now watered down at the Defense Departments urging) means that business as usual is very alive and well. There will be some new bottles for some very old wine, but the bitterness of the taste will still be around as we rush to build untested aircraft (e.g. F-35), endorse problematic, unaffordable ship designs (e.g. LCS), and spend generously to defend against less, not more likely, threats (e.g. missile defense).
For one set of decisions, even if they are unspectacular, Secretary Gates deserves much good credit. He made people his first priority. Hopefully, that was not just rhetorical. The emphasis he put on medical research, caring for the wounded, and family support are all to be greatly commended. I fear, however, that Congress will do little more on this prime issue than simply throw money as it has in the past.
Here’s the Pentagon specific portion of the Obama budget, just released. No commentary as of yet, still have to read it. Update – Reader Bdwilcox had me laughing with this comment, down below: Why bother reading it? Congress voted on an $800 billion “stimulus package” without reading it, so why should we hold you to a higher standard? Just comment away…
Heh, right on.
–John Noonan
Senators are pressing President-elect Obama to allow the Air Force to continue buying F-22 Raptor fighter jets.
Deciding whether to buy more F-22s after the final aircraft on order is delivered at the end of 2011 is one of the first strategic and business decisions Obamas Pentagon leaders will have to make after Inauguration.
A group of 44 senators 25 Democrats and 19 Republicans sent Obama a letter with the request. Sen. Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.), a defense authorizer who represents a state where Lockheed Martin builds the fighter plane, and Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.), a defense appropriator whose state is home to Boeings operations, headlined the letter. Boeing is a subcontractor for the F-22.
Continued F-22 production is critical to both the national security and economic interests of our country, Murray said in a statement. At a time when we are looking to create jobs and stimulate the economy, eliminating the $12 billion in economic activity and thousands of American jobs tied to F-22 production simply doesnt make sense.
The 2009 defense authorization bill requires Obama to decide by March 1 whether to continue the production of the F-22.
Over at The Daily Standard, Dan Blumenthal makes some interesting and important points regarding the sale of the super advanced F-22 Raptor to the Japanese Self Defense Force. From an economic standpoint, it’s win-win. Lockheed employs over 3300 personnel at their F-22 plants in Georgia and Texas, jobs that will mostly disappear once that last F-22 rolls off the assembly line. Congress, simply by signing over the technology to a trusted ally, can protect every one of those jobs –and perhaps create new ones– on Japan’s dime.
I’d even take it a step further, and offer the F-22 to Australia as well. Both nations have clamored for the jet as a replacement to the F-4 Phantom and F/A-18 Super Hornet, respectively, and both have a common interest in containing a rapidly mobilizing China. Furthermore, any additional Raptors that we can sell to our allies, the cheaper the jet becomes for domestic purchase, as assembly line costs are inversely proportional to the number of jets Lockheed can push through its factories.
In a time of economic crisis, we can ill afford ignoring solutions which cost the US taxpayer nothing and indeed save the government money. That beats the Detroit auto bailout any day of the week.
–John Noonan
Recent Comments
something about stacking 40mm grenades behind each other...
DC2 Jennings
I think the point is that we're not currently in a global war against...
Philo
That's a bet I don't mind losing sammy boy.
Philo
Looks like you lost that bet.
Sam
I discussed it with one of the MetalStorm's armorers. It is a...
Steve
"This is not the first Muslim soldier to commit treason against his...
Sam
On shrapnel popping the airbags….I don't think that will be a...
Noah Mayer
I had no idea Bush did that. Thanks for bringing it to our...
Tad
Oh wow, what is with the questions here? The camera's/light sensors...
Noah Mayer
Come on, you know the answer to that question – only things that are super...
Tad