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The Peoples' Site

Let’s Talk Cyber Security

Wednesday, November 5th, 2008

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We did this a while back pretty suc­cess­fully and so I thought it was high time to do it again (and hope­fully more frequently)…

As you might remem­ber, we had DoD Buzz edi­tor Colin Clark do a live Q&A ses­sion with DT read­ers back in July. Well, we’re doing it again — this time with our Cyber Warfare/​Cyber Security expert and con­trib­u­tor Kevin Coleman.

As you’ve read, Kevin’s one tapped in dude when it comes to cyber threats and the tech­niques to meet and defeat them. Cyber war­fare is becom­ing more and more of an issue in national secu­rity cir­cles, com­pet­ing with loose nukes as a top threat to U.S. secu­rity for key Obama defense advi­sor Richard Danzig.

Kevin teases his dis­cus­sion with this:

Cyber attacks and cyber war­fare are hot issues in both the pub­lic and pri­vate sectors.

Earlier this year, President George W. Bush signed mul­ti­ple (2 or 3) clas­si­fied Presidential Directives address­ing cyber secu­rity and war­fare. The price tag on the direc­tives was first reported at $6.6 bil­lion (January). In March the esti­mate grew to $18 bil­lion. Reported last in May the pric­etag had mush­roomed to $30 billion.

A Congressional study has esti­mated the cost of cyber attacks on busi­nesses now exceeds $225 bil­lion annu­ally. Given all the bailout money being handed out, many busi­nesses believe the Federal Government should absorb the cost of defend­ing our busi­nesses against cyber attacks. 

Now some of you think Kevin is off the mark on his cyber secu­rity assess­ments and some of you cheer his fore­sight in sound­ing the alarm. So, here’s your chance to talk to the man himself.

Tune in tomor­row, Nov. 6, 2008, at 1500 EST on this site to par­tic­i­pate in a live Q&A with Kevin Coleman.

See you then…

– Christian

Where Were You Seven Years Ago Today?

Thursday, September 11th, 2008

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Since it’s Sept. 11, 2008, I’m going to do some­thing I’ve never done before and share with you my expe­ri­ence of Sept. 11 and Sept. 12, 2001. I’d like to open up the site all day for DT read­ers — world­wide — to describe where you were, what you saw and your impres­sions were on 9/​11. I’ll post the responses through­out the day… 

I was eat­ing break­fast in the National Press Club that morn­ing when I saw the images of the first hit on the WTC play­ing on the news shows that morn­ing in the din­ing room. At first I really thought this was a mis­take, but when I real­ized it was a much larger plane, I began to sus­pect some sort of ter­ror­ist attack. 

I ran down to my news office — at the time I worked for a defense indus­try newslet­ter called Defense Week — and by the time I got to the TVs in my office, the sec­ond plane had hit. Then I knew we were truly being attacked. 

Then the Pentagon… 

As a new news guy, I fig­ured it was time for me to swing into action. I wasn’t sure what to do so I grabbed my things and headed toward what most peo­ple thought would be the next target…the White House. 

The streets were jammed with cars and peo­ple, but it was orderly. No one was totally freak­ing out but there was a thick ten­sion in the air. I got the sense that folks in that part of DC — near the White House and var­i­ous other ‘exec­u­tive office build­ings” — were used to ten­sion and stress. I walked quickly over to the park in front of the White House and was quickly shoved away by an MP5-​​wielding uni­formed Secret Service. People were start­ing to freak.

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Who Killed the Terror Mastermind?

Friday, February 15th, 2008

I know you guys are prob­a­bly more inter­ested in the upcom­ing plink­ing of a way­ward satel­lite with a Navy SM3 ABM, but I want to see if I can spark your inter­est and resources to run down another mys­tery.
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Imad Mughniyah makes “Carlos the Jackal” look like an afi­cionado. He racked up over 400 kills in var­i­ous ter­ror­ist hits he planned, includ­ing, some believe, the bomb­ing of the US apart­ment com­plex at the Kobar tow­ers in Saudi Arabia. This guy had a $5 mil­lion reward on his head and was arguably worse than Osama bin Laden in his ruth­less­ness and track record of ter­ror­ist attacks.

My big ques­tion is, who had the guts (and intel) to kill him in such a pub­lic way? I know everyone’s going to say Israel did it. They sure have motive enough. But I’m inclined to be skep­ti­cal of that view. It’s almost TOO obvi­ous. I’m sure they helped in some man­ner, but I don’t believe it was their operation…though I’m will­ing ot be con­vinced otherwise.

The oft-​​quoted for­mer Israeli intel chief Dani Yatom had an odd quote the other day on FOX News. He said “the free and demo­c­ra­tic world today achieved a very, very impor­tant goal.” Free and demo­c­ra­tic world? Achieved? So a coun­try that’s a mem­ber of “the free and demo­c­ra­tic world” did this…he used the word “achieved,” which implies they DID it, rather than ben­e­fit­ted from another’s actions.

Maybe I’m pars­ing too much, but I’d like to see what you all can find out about this. I’ll keep my scan on.

– Christian

Power to the People on Grounded Eagles

Monday, November 12th, 2007

I want to give our savvy DT read­ers a col­lec­tive pat on the back for your excel­lent dis­cus­sions on the recent F-​​15 ground­ing.
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Though I absorb quite a few barbs from you at times and deservedly so, in very few cases (sar­casm) it is one of the great­est plea­sures edit­ing this blog to see how smart, involved and dialed in our read­ers are. The issue with ground­ing the F-​​15s is a per­fect case in point.

Our boy Byron Skinner pegged it right off the bat when he spoke of known struc­tural prob­lems with the F-​​15:

Welcome to the orig­i­nal air frame struc­tural design flaw dis­cov­ered in the F-​​15 in the late 90’s. In short the tail sec­tion wants to fall off. The F-15E’s had already gone into pro­duc­tion and the AF didn’t want to invest any money in an air­craft designed in the 1970’s so it was let go.

Without 9/​11 they may have got­ten away with it but with the Homeland Security over flights and the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq mis­sions putting exces­sive hours on the flawed F-​​15 air­frames it’s only a mat­ter of time before more fall out of the sky and an air­crew is lost…

…The design defect is in the aft part of the air frame where the tail fins con­nect to the fuse­lage. If it’s a mate­r­ial prob­lem or a struc­tural design fail­ure it still being debated. It was esti­mated that since it appeared that the F-15’s were good for about 20 years before the air­frames via fatigue and other stresses would be come an issue that with the restric­tions the F-​​15 was ser­vice­able with in the oper­a­tional envi­ron­ment before 9/​11.

The AF decided to roll the dice and not cor­rect the prob­lem and made per­ma­nent the oper­a­tional restric­tions on the F-15’s… 

Then our friends at Aviation Week (I won­der if they were tipped off by our com­ments) put together a story on the prob­lem. Heres what they found:

F-​​15 oper­a­tions were sus­pended pend­ing review of a Nov. 2 crash. A pos­si­ble struc­tural fail­ure was involved in the Missouri Air National Guard F-​​15C crash, which could have larger impli­ca­tions about the integrity of the entire F-​​15 fleet, say USAF officials.

Aerospace indus­try and USAF offi­cials say the fuse­lage broke in two imme­di­ately behind the cock­pit dur­ing a 2.5–3.5g maneu­ver. The air­craft had been deliv­ered to USAF in 1982.

In a state­ment, the pilot said his first warn­ings were smoke and fumes in the cock­pit. Almost imme­di­ately he was in the air­crafts slip­stream. He ejected and suf­fered flail­ing injuries. 

Our boy Byron also brought up the BRAC issue…

Let us not for­get that they were fac­ing declin­ing bud­gets, the Soviets were gone, the pub­lic was EXPECTING a PEACE DIVIDEND, BRAC and an admin­is­tra­tion who never really under­stood the military. 

And Av Week, found some­thing similar:

Also, inves­ti­ga­tors are look­ing at main­te­nance prac­tices to see if prob­lems could have been gen­er­ated by clos­ing down the unit as part of the base-​​realignment process. An ini­tial USAF analy­sis found that it was a unique prob­lem with a sin­gle air­craft, not a fleet-​​wide problem. 

But wor­ries me most is the idea that the Air Force is using this ground­ing to push Congress for more F-​​22 fund­ing. Im not a huge pro­po­nent of con­spir­acy the­o­ries, but it seems so tempt­ing to me that the Air Force cant help but use the ground­ing to say see, we told you the F-​​15s are old and need replac­ing. And they know that brin­ing up BRAC issues have par­tic­u­lar res­o­nance among law­mak­ers starved for Pentagon pork in their dis­tricts no mat­ter how anti­quated the base may be.

Again, Av Week:

USAF and indus­try offi­cials say fleet ground­ings some­times occur every few months for var­i­ous safety issues. They say senior USAF lead­er­ship is using this ground­ing to push for a larger F-​​22 force. And while USAF was ground­ing its F-​​15s, mil­i­tary offi­cials brief­ing an inter­na­tional fighter con­fer­ence in London said that the F-​​15Cs wouldnt be retired until 2025–30, and that the F-​​15E will serve beyond 2035.

The acci­dent in Missouri could be unique to that [one] air­craft, a vet­eran F-​​15 squadron com­man­der says. And if its not, there are lots of fixes you can make to keep them fly­ing. The pitch for more F-​​22s is whats going on. 

And this was not lost on our DT read­ers either.

What wor­ries me most is that at some insti­tu­tional level, in E-​​Ring Air Force offices in the Pentagon, the deci­sion was made to make a big­ger issue of these seem­ingly iso­lated crashes than should have been so that a bet­ter case for F-​​22s could be made. Again, I dont want to think this, but when a ser­vice makes a deci­sion to define its future with one piece of very expen­sive hard­ware like the F-​​22, its almost too tempt­ing a Devils Bargain to avoid.

But if Byrons right, and there is a long-​​term struc­tural prob­lem with the F-​​15, its our duty as a nation to fix the prob­lem or replace the planes as soon as pos­si­ble. I just dont know enough about the engi­neer­ing side of this debate. Thats what Ive got our read­ers for.

Thanks to every­one for your input. And keep up the good work.

(Av Week gouge from NC)

– Christian

DT Readers Search for Fossett

Tuesday, September 11th, 2007

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On Sunday, we asked Defense Tech read­ers to join in the search of adven­turer and aero­space pio­neer Steve Fossett, who went down in a single-​​engine, civil­ian air­craft more than a week ago.

He flew out of an air sta­tion in west­ern Nevada with­out a flight plan and never returned.

In our post, we made read­ers aware of an effort to enlist blog­gers and con­cerned Internet users into the search. Using Google Maps and other soft­ware, Fossett friends have been scour­ing thou­sands of miles of terrain.

Defense Tech reader Brian Neville sent us a note last night with the fol­low­ing coor­di­nates, say­ing he thinks he might have spot­ted something.

Now, Im no photo-​​interpreter, but look­ing at the hazy image on Google Maps, it seems maybe hes got something.

COORDINATES:

38 degrees, 29 min­utes, 45.05 sec North

119 degrees, 17 min­utes, 40.96 sec West

ele­va­tion = 9976 ft accord­ing to Google Earth. 

So far, nei­ther Brian nor I have been able to find out whom to pass the tip along to and maybe its not a new one, as the Daily Telegraph has reported but Id ask other DT read­ers to help us pass this along and keep their eyes on the net for this avi­a­tion pioneer.

Let me know what you all find…

Christian



July 4th Will Never be the Same

Thursday, July 5th, 2007

An eagle-​​eyed Defense Tech reader pointed out in an email to edi­tors that the post put up yes­ter­day on July 4 fac­toids had been par­tially debunked by the inter­net inves­ti­ga­tors over at Snopes​.com.
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Never shy of embrac­ing infor­ma­tion con­trary to our posts, the edi­to­r­ial board of Defense Tech made the deci­sion to pass along the mit­i­gat­ing data pro­vided by res1huzn even though it was a bit of a stick in the eye for us.

Five sign­ers were cap­tured by the British as trai­tors and tor­tured before they died.

It is true that five sign­ers of the Declaration of Independence were cap­tured by the British dur­ing the course of the Revolutionary War. However, none of them died while a pris­oner, and four of them were taken into cus­tody not because they were con­sid­ered “trai­tors” due to their sta­tus as sig­na­to­ries to that doc­u­ment, but because they were cap­tured as pris­on­ers of war while actively engaged in mil­i­tary oper­a­tions against the British: George Walton was cap­tured after being wounded while com­mand­ing mili­tia at the Battle of Savannah in December 1778, and Thomas Heyward, Jr., Arthur Middleton, and Edward Rutledge (three of the four Declaration of Independence sign­ers from South Carolina) were taken pris­oner at the Siege of Charleston in May in 1780.

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The Peoples’ Site (Osprey Edition)

Friday, March 23rd, 2007

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The Peoples’ Site! is the DT fea­ture where peri­od­i­cally (when we feel like it) we high­light the best com­ments from our com­ments forums. And no entry gen­er­ated more pas­sion recently than “The Commandant Says ‘There is Going to be a Crash.’” Resultantly, we’re ded­i­cat­ing this edi­tion of The Peoples’ Site to Marine Corps Major Tony “Buddy” Bianca.

Buddy has been an Osprey dri­ver for some years, so his two cents mer­its more than a lit­tle atten­tion. Some addi­tional back­ground: I was a Tomcat RIO (like “Goose” in the movie “Topgun”) and retired at the rank of com­man­der after 20 years in the Navy. And I wrote a hand­ful of nov­els about mil­i­tary top­ics. I was also the PAO for the V-​​22 pro­gram at NAVAIR for three years after I retired (before I assumed the edi­tor job at Military​.com). Knowing that, Buddy’s ad hominem attacks will make more sense. Anyway, here’s his response to my post:

Im curi­ous to know what ques­tion the Commandant was answer­ing when this quote was cap­tured. Or are we led to believe that he called you all to break­fast just to strike up a con­ver­sa­tion and tell V22s were going to crash?

Along those lines, why havent any other ser­vice chiefs invited you to break­fast and announced that there wont be any crashes of any JSF or H60s or any other air­craft in the other ser­vices? Besides, your expla­na­tions about why Opsreys will crash arent well thought out. You do know a lit­tle about the pro­gram, but your infor­ma­tion is old, and you obvi­ously dont know any­thing about the air­craft. Any air­craft is going to suf­fer losses like you described. Anyone with actual oper­a­tional expe­ri­ence knows that. As for your nugget com­ment, weve been train­ing Lts right out of flight school for over a year. There are more than a cou­ple out there in the fleet doing nugget things as we blog.

Your descrip­tion about HROD has a lot of con­jec­ture and a smat­ter­ing of truth in it. The V22 VRS enve­lope is sig­nif­i­cantly smaller than any other rotor­craft out there. To make sure every­body under­stands that, it means it is harder to get a V22 into VRS than a reg­u­lar heli­copter. Heres what you dont talk about in your HROD para­graph: VRS is a func­tion of both for­ward air­speed and rate of descent. When the guys got the inad­ver­tent entry you describe, they were putt-​​putting along set­ting up for the data point they were slow to begin with, so the idea that it will sur­prise some nugget is a lit­tle far-​​fetched. No nugget goes hunt­ing for dat­a­points on test plan designed to answer con­gress and not the oper­a­tional user. Goodness gra­cious, we dont hawk the VSI, nei­ther do our stu­dents, and we dont get the SINK RATE warn­ing. I must say I thor­oughly enjoyed your reply where you said to take the air­craft to a 1000 ft hover and then smoothly pull the TCL to idle! Cripes! How about you fly your F14 to 1.1 Vstall in a turn then slowly pull the stick all the way back that would prob­a­bly be just as stu­pid. Oh, thats right, you didnt have a stick in the back of an F14. But I digress, you said it would lose 500 ft in the time it takes to move the nacelles? Maybe if youre cur­rently in a fully devel­oped VRS state and suf­fer­ing from some kind of time-​​space con­tin­uum warp in the fab­ric of reality.

I would like to counter your pre­dic­tions with one of my own: There wont be a VRS mishap in V22s for many, many years, if ever. We all know what hap­pened in Marana (some of us bet­ter than any inves­ti­ga­tor, if you take my mean­ing) and we all had a lot of beer and agreed not to do that again.

Im curi­ous, do you know how many times and how far V22 have flown sin­gle engine? Forget about the run-​​stand down in Ft Worth, Im talk­ing about actu­ally fly­ing the air­craft with only one engine? Do you know? Ill bet cred­its to navy beans you dont.

And bul­lets dont bounce off of com­pos­ite fuse­lage? Really? What assault sup­port plat­form do we have that bul­lets do bounce off of? Im also curi­ous to know how the bal­lis­tics of com­pos­ites fair against sheet alu­minum on all the cur­rent air­frames. Just assum­ing the ground fire is com­ing from the ground, will not the pro­jec­tile path travel through the spon­son to get into the cabin? Even with the for­ward veloc­ity of the air­craft taken into account? Or are the shoot­ers just going to aim for head­shots on all the Marines in back as the V22 steaks by at 220 kts?

Now this is a lit­tle off topic, but I have to bring it up. yeah, well it has to slow down to land. Youre absolutely right. And let me assure these read­ers that no hov­er­ing machine in the world can slow down to land or accel­er­ate out of the zone like the V22. Not even a sin­gle engine huey with the twist grip rolled off … Nothing car­ry­ing more than 5 pax any­way. Maybe a lit­tle bird could, but I dont see the Marines turn­ing in 1 V22 and check­ing out 6 MD500s …

Yes, the sup­ply side of V22 is behind. But remem­ber from when you worked in the pro­gram office, mate­r­ial sup­port date is October of 2008thats what you guys pro­grammed, I guess they just didnt tell the PAO … Wonder why? Might have some­thing to do with the war were wag­ing at the moment.

The other another main­te­nance issue you described is going to hap­pen. Its also going to hap­pen to every air­craft we build until we become omni­scient with struc­tures. Yes, the JSF and the EH101 will have struc­ture issues because we cant pre­dict every­thing­should we call the ser­vice chiefs and invite them to break­fast? Maybe theyll say some­thing else!? Rest assured well main­tain the hydraulics with tita­nium tub­ing and 5000 psi. Ive got some really good air­framers who would like to address your chal­lenge if you get the chance to come down to New River.

What the hell do you mean Osprey doesnt fit on an amphib? Umm … then I must have false mem­o­ries. No … Im cer­tain … I took a pic­ture of it. Not just once, not just one ship, over 5 of them. I got lots of pic­tures. Just the same, my pic­tures — theyre really cool Polaroids just like Goose took of the Mig in the movie … You know, Goose, the non-​​flying offi­cers hero in Top Gun? Anyway, make sure you call those NAVSEA engi­neers and tell them you vote no con­fi­dence in their abil­ity to the deck heat­ing prob­lem. I won­der what weve been doing when we go out to train on the ship now, since we dont “fit” on an amphib like you said. Last ques­tion on this sub­ject, how many days you have at sea on an amphib?

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Wow, this just drags on and on, doesnt it?

It sounds like you know all about allo­ca­tion of forces, too. You know, how the MEF pro­vides forces to the COCOMs … Are you sure you wer­ent the PAO for HQMC? Bah, now Im get­ting too sar­cas­tic … Youre [sic} state­ments of where we put the air­craft dont have any­thing to do with our belief its a kick ass air­plane. For exam­ple, “Lets keep it sim­ple”? Are you nuts? How about, lets think about what forces the Marine Corps needs to pro­vide, and what METLs those forces have to be capa­ble of in a joint the­atre before we decide where to send our units. Consider that and then tell us how we should deploy the Marines and their equip­ment to the warfight­ing COs. Be sure to come back and tell us we dont believe the Osprey will make it just because we dont send it to MNW in Iraq.

BTW, Mongo is bet­ter than any Turkey dri­ver you know, and didnt expect to see his name put out there like it was some kind of endorse­ment for your errant points here. Neither did Jim. And Schnieder is a GySgt now, so you owe him 50 pushups for try­ing to demote him in your replies.

Last of all, does your cur­rent employer know youre just a mouth­piece as PAO? Does he or she have your resume and know as soon as you get a dif­fer­ent job youre going to change your opin­ion, cham­pion a dif­fer­ent cause, then offer piti­ful attempts to make your­self feel bet­ter by say­ing you “respect” all the V22 pilots and main­tain­ers out there by quot­ing names that res­olutely dis­agree with you? Go back to writ­ing fic­tional books and being a mouth­piece for some­one else. You dont speak for V22, or those of us who see the long term invest­ment objec­tive to ensure we can out-​​maneuver any other fight­ing force in the world. The world is chang­ing, 4th gen­er­a­tion war­fare is here, and you can decide how much you want to spend to ensure that America wins every time­and not just win while pro­tect­ing them­selves, but win while ensur­ing min­i­mum loss of life of non-​​combatants by win­ning quickly and deci­sively… or you can hang our with Chris and crit­i­cize oth­ers with con­jec­ture and a back­ground that only impresses the unin­formed, all the while ref­er­enc­ing POM dol­lars like they are the lives of those whos bled out because we couldnt get to them in time.

In the words of naval avi­a­tion, take it around, youre [sic] sig­nal is divert.”

And finally (whew!) I dont believe the Commandant brought up, I believe you and your “amigo” did.

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Damn. Color me bitch-​​slapped, absolutely. To be clear, I didn’t intend to imply that Mongo agreed with me by com­pli­ment­ing him in the orig­i­nal post. My crime here is I truly respect him as a pilot and a leader. I also wasn’t try­ing to demote Gunny Schneider. I was refer­ring to a time when he was, in fact, a staff sergeant. But what­ever. One thing’s for sure: Regardless of the airplane’s issues, with Marines like Buddy Bianca on the case, the Osprey just might suc­ceed. And if it fails, it won’t be with­out a fight.

Ward

Long Live the Peoples’ Site!

Thursday, March 1st, 2007

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(Editor’s Note: The Peoples’ Site! is a new DT fea­ture where peri­od­i­cally (when we feel like it) we will high­light the best com­ments from our dis­cus­sion forums.)

In response to “That Deaf, Dumb, and Blind Jet,” Dr. Curiosity writes: “It may be apoc­ryphal, but I once heard from an elec­tronic engi­neer­ing friend of a sim­i­lar bug in a guid­ance sys­tem, devel­oped in the east­ern part of the Southern Hemisphere, that didn’t work quite so well for the North American customers.

“The prob­lem was one of coor­di­nate sys­tems: When you’re used to get­ting pos­i­tive num­bers for South and East coords, and sud­den you’re get­ting every­thing in North and West, things don’t work so well. To get things resolved quickly, they effec­tively installed it back to front — i.e. invert­ing all the num­bers. No-one’s going to notice if a missile’s fly­ing upside down, right? :-)

John Diuno offered this in response to Stephen Trimble’s provoca­tive post on the Marine Corps’ obses­sion with VSTOL: “One inter­est­ing sta­tis­tic came out of the first Gulf War. Approx 15 per­cent of con­ven­tional air­craft struck by mis­siles were shot down. (my num­bers might be slightly off, but not by far). The per­cent­age of Harriers shot down when struck by a mis­sile? 100 per­cent! The basic rea­son is that most mis­siles are heat-​​seaking, which head to the hottest parts, namely the noz­zles. Where are the noz­zles on each? F-18/F-15/F-14/F-16…they’re many feet behind the crit­i­cal com­po­nents of the engines and even the air­craft. Where are the noz­zles on a Harrier? Directly below the wings, directly astride the engines, fuel lines, con­trol systems…the heart of the beast.”

And in response to another Trimble post that got many of you fired up, Freefallingbomb writes: “If you blunt the pointed tip of a bul­let with a Dremel then you also make the bul­let lighter. But light objects dont travel as far ( through any medium, not in a vac­uum ) as heavy objects do with the same speed …

“Therefore, the only way to avoid weight loss of the bul­let is not to ask sol­diers to per­form their own basic bal­lis­tic exper­i­ments before a fire-​​fight ( thats what they were sent into com­bat for. I only hope that they get paid enough… ), but sim­ply to pro­duce a new, spoon-​​point-​​tipped bul­let that sim­ply weighs the entire orig­i­nal 62 grams!”

Defense Tech — the (really smart) peo­ples’ site. So keep the com­ments com­ing, com­rades. The peace-​​loving staff of the repub­lic of Defense Tech thanks you.